Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
6.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7300
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
5.98
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.98
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
10.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
27.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
1.83
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.17
|
Trades
|
Will Kraken IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
27.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? |
Yes |
No |
17.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
103.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.21
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
39.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.86
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
33.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.46
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
28.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.59
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
✅ |
27.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.59
|
Trades
|
Cricket World Cup: India vs. Australia |
India |
Australia |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
27.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.26
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
20.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.64
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
13.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.87
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
6.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.63
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
6.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.11
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
5.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.05
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
✅ |
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.26
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
52.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0190
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
28.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0690
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
35.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0850
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
90.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0440
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
17.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
45.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
37.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1333
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
11.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
55.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0899
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Salah join a Saudi club next transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
33.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1490
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
246.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0203
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
17.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.3010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
416.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0120
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? |
Yes |
No |
333.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
20.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 28 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? |
Yes |
No |
83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
172.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
11.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Aleo airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
22.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
US travel ban for China in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
172.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.1700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
23.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
41.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
$BONK all time high before February? |
Yes |
No |
11.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
15.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Rabby airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
176.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0396
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
17.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5793
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
76.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
47.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3192
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
149.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.1336
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
9,015.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0294
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
-265.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-265.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-272.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-272.48
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.81
|
0.00
|
|
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.19
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.81
|
0.00
|
|
|
-294.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-286.68
|
|