Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
426.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2110
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
396.14
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-90.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
306.09
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
96.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.43
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
109.15
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.15
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
6.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.37
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.24
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.43
|
0.48
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.46
|
1.13
|
0.00
|
-0.34
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.81
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
633.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.5312
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
332.46
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-336.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.04
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-40.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.70
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-102.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.18
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
277.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.7042
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-195.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-195.50
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
352.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
352.41
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
220.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
220.52
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
187.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
187.89
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
187.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
187.85
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
186.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
186.65
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
177.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
177.48
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
172.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
172.68
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
168.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
168.34
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
817.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8585
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
817.26
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-701.62
|
2.15
|
0.00
|
117.79
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
49.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.50
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
47.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.50
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
42.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.45
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.67
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
16.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.66
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
31.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.5721
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
31.94
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-18.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.67
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
10.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.17
|
Trades
|
Will the British Pound be below $1.15 USD on September 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 23 2022
|
β
|
9.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.03
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
8.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.41
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
6.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.56
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
4.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.56
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.8693
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
34.51
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.51
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
3.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.99
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $17000 by January 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.80
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.49
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
2.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.06
|
Trades
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
31.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9402
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
31.91
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.91
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.51
|
Trades
|
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.42
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Feb 28, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9802
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
51.01
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.01
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.51
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.45
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-2.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.39
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6? |
Yes |
No |
20.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1405
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.92
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
13.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3740
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.12
|
1.12
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-4.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.47
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
65.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1487
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.69
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
-9.67
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.0950
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.18
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
63.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.6262
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? |
Yes |
No |
11.34
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
3.6561
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-41.46
|
0.70
|
0.00
|
-40.75
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,766.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.1705
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-301.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-301.20
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
849.17
|
117.47
|
|
|
628.93
|
3.99
|
0.00
|
1,599.56
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
505.29
|
332.47
|
|
|
-764.60
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
74.76
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,354.46
|
449.94
|
|
|
-135.68
|
5.60
|
0.00
|
1,674.32
|
|