Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 11.65 0.00 0.00 11.65 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 9.62 0.00 0.00 9.62 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 9.20 0.00 0.00 9.20 Trades
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 6.16 0.00 0.00 6.16 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 6.01 0.00 0.00 6.01 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 3.97 0.00 0.00 3.97 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 3.14 0.00 0.00 3.14 Trades
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 2.29 0.00 0.00 2.29 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 75.47 0.00% 0.4700 0.50 0.50 0.00 37.74 Sun Jun 30 2024 -35.47 0.00 0.00 2.26 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 17.52 0.00% 0.8600 0.08 0.92 0.00 16.08 Sat Aug 10 2024 -15.07 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.48 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 36.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.04 0.96 1.44 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.06 0.94 4.78 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -11.11 0.00 0.00 -6.33 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 93.17 0.00 0.00% 0.5800 0.50 0.50 46.58 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -54.04 0.00 0.00 -7.45 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 60.00 0.00% 0.1503 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -9.02 0.00 0.00 -9.02 Trades
Will Blur Season 3 end by May? Yes No 0.00 52.91 0.00% 0.4900 0.75 0.25 0.00 13.08 Fri May 31 2024 -25.93 0.00 0.00 -12.85 Trades
Base airdrop by May 1? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -22.22 0.00 0.00 -22.22 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.00 52.91 0.00% 0.7400 0.69 0.31 0.00 16.28 Wed May 31 2023 -39.15 0.00 0.00 -22.87 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 25.64 0.00% 0.9220 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -23.64 0.00 0.00 -23.64 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 85.71 0.00 0.00% 0.3500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 95.94 0.00% 0.3600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -34.54 0.00 0.00 -34.54 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 79.35 0.00 0.00% 0.4982 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -39.54 0.00 0.00 -39.54 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.5100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -40.48 0.00 0.00 -40.48 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 52.91 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -42.33 0.00 0.00 -42.33 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -50.80 0.00 0.00 -50.80 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.7165 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -56.87 0.00 0.00 -56.87 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 83.52 0.00 0.00% -1.9489 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 162.77 0.00 0.00 162.77 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 42.46 0.00% -1.3057 0.00 1.00 0.00 42.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 55.43 0.00 0.00 97.89 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 130.00 0.00 0.00% -0.6318 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 82.14 0.00 0.00 82.14 Trades
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ 75.44 0.00 0.00 75.44 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 66.99 0.00 0.00 66.99 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 66.65 0.00 0.00 66.65 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 52.91 0.00% -1.2241 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 64.76 0.00 0.00 64.76 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 79.37 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -29.37 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% -3.0989 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 46.49 0.00 0.00 46.49 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 45.63 0.00 0.00 45.63 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 45.24 0.00 0.00 45.24 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 84.75 0.00 0.00% 0.4688 1.00 0.00 84.75 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -39.73 0.00 0.00 45.02 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 43.65 0.00 0.00 43.65 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 52.91 0.00% -0.8010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 42.38 0.00 0.00 42.38 Trades
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 39.53 0.00 0.00 39.53 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 66.23 0.00% -0.5542 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 36.71 0.00 0.00 36.71 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 34.69 0.00 0.00 34.69 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 39.86 0.00 0.00% 0.2800 1.00 0.00 39.86 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -11.16 0.00 0.00 28.70 Trades
Will Josh Dobbs start for the Vikings in Week 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 ✅ 27.22 0.00 0.00 27.22 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ 27.15 0.00 0.00 27.15 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 75.00 0.00 0.00% -0.3298 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 24.73 0.00 0.00 24.73 Trades
Will Jordan Henderson leave Saudi Arabia this transfer window? Yes No 74.23 0.00 0.00% 0.6679 1.00 0.00 74.23 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -49.58 0.00 0.00 24.65 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 21.22 0.00 0.00 21.22 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 20.31 0.00 0.00 20.31 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ 20.28 0.00 0.00 20.28 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 89.82 0.00% 0.2828 0.50 0.50 0.00 44.91 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -25.40 0.00 0.00 19.51 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 36.91 0.00% -0.4976 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ 18.37 0.00 0.00 18.37 Trades
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? Yes No 0.00 59.88 0.00% -0.2909 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 17.42 0.00 0.00 17.42 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 16.61 0.00 0.00 16.61 Trades
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 14.72 0.00 0.00 14.72 Trades
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ 14.44 0.00 0.00 14.44 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% -0.9018 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 13.53 0.00 0.00 13.53 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 51.97 0.00% 0.7520 0.00 1.00 0.00 51.97 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -39.08 0.00 0.00 12.89 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 12.68 0.00 0.00 12.68 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 12.56 0.00 0.00 12.56 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 16.00 0.00% -0.7435 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11.90 0.00 0.00 11.90 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% -0.1494 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ 11.85 0.00 0.00 11.85 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 24.58 0.00 0.00% -0.4797 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11.79 0.00 0.00 11.79 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 86.91 0.00% -0.1309 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11.38 0.00 0.00 11.38 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% -0.5663 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 11.33 0.00 0.00 11.33 Trades
Will Manchester United make it out of their group? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 11.05 0.00 0.00 11.05 Trades
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 10.63 0.00 0.00 10.63 Trades
Will US attack Yemen before February? Yes No 0.00 14.90 0.00% -0.7117 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 10.60 0.00 0.00 10.60 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 10.24 0.00 0.00 10.24 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 8.65 0.00 0.00 8.65 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 67.44 0.00 0.00% -0.1224 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 8.25 0.00 0.00 8.25 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% -0.0985 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7.82 0.00 0.00 7.82 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 7.81 0.00 0.00 7.81 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 112.78 0.00% -0.0688 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 7.76 0.00 0.00 7.76 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 7.30 0.00 0.00 7.30 Trades
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 7.14 0.00 0.00 7.14 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ 7.03 0.00 0.00 7.03 Trades
Will a Korean team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 6.89 0.00 0.00 6.89 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 6.46 0.00 0.00 6.46 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 131.52 0.00% 0.9520 0.00 1.00 0.00 131.52 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -125.21 0.00 0.00 6.31 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 94.14 0.00 0.00% -0.0666 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 6.27 0.00 0.00 6.27 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 5.51 0.00 0.00 5.51 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ 5.50 0.00 0.00 5.50 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ 5.29 0.00 0.00 5.29 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5.23 0.00 0.00 5.23 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 5.23 0.00 0.00 5.23 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 65.36 0.00 0.00% -0.0788 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 5.15 0.00 0.00 5.15 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 4.94 0.00 0.00 4.94 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ 4.76 0.00 0.00 4.76 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 4.68 0.00 0.00 4.68 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 20.45 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.45 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -15.95 0.00 0.00 4.50 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 27.89 0.00 0.00% -0.1610 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 4.49 0.00 0.00 4.49 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% -0.0563 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 4.47 0.00 0.00 4.47 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 3.97 0.00 0.00 3.97 Trades
Kamino airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 3.17 0.00 0.00 3.17 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ 2.63 0.00 0.00 2.63 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 ✅ 2.60 0.00 0.00 2.60 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2.52 0.00 0.00 2.52 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
AI on Amazon speaker by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ 2.38 0.00 0.00 2.38 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% -0.1394 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ 2.09 0.00 0.00 2.09 Trades
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.12 0.00% -0.3891 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.99 0.00 0.00 1.99 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 34.10 0.00% -0.0482 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.64 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1.58 0.00 0.00 1.58 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1.37 0.00 0.00 1.37 Trades
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 1.35 0.00 0.00 1.35 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0591 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1.18 0.00 0.00 1.18 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 32.41 0.00% -0.0302 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.98 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 2.71 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.50 0.50 1.36 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.92 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 83.80 0.00% -0.0096 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 5.46 0.00% -0.1444 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.53 Trades
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? Yes No 0.00 5.10 0.00% 0.9020 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.10 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -4.60 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 53.19 0.00 0.00% -0.0079 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.42 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 17.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0135 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 80.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0057 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.46 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.69 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 87.21 0.00% 0.0080 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.70 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? Yes No 54.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0140 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.76 Trades
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $10b 1 week after launch? Yes No 0.00 82.87 0.00% 0.5100 0.50 0.50 0.00 41.44 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -42.26 0.00 0.00 -0.83 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 21.15 0.00 0.00% 0.0408 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.86 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 16.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.97 0.00 0.00 -0.97 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 19.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.19 0.00 0.00 -1.19 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 78.95 0.00 0.00% 0.0153 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ -1.21 0.00 0.00 -1.21 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 79.70 0.00 0.00% 0.0180 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.43 0.00 0.00 -1.43 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 81.97 0.00 0.00% 0.0176 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.44 0.00 0.00 -1.44 Trades
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? Yes No 26.23 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.36 0.00 0.00 -2.36 Trades
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 23.82 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -2.38 0.00 0.00 -2.38 Trades
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? Yes No 22.27 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -2.67 0.00 0.00 -2.67 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -2.70 0.00 0.00 -2.70 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? Yes No 0.00 76.05 0.00% 0.0395 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.2297 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.44 0.00 0.00 -3.44 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 17.21 0.00% 0.2961 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -5.09 0.00 0.00 -5.09 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 28.49 0.00 0.00% 0.1824 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -5.20 0.00 0.00 -5.20 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 25.27 0.00% 0.2072 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 ✅ -5.24 0.00 0.00 -5.24 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3570 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -5.35 0.00 0.00 -5.35 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 88.76 0.00% 0.0619 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.50 0.00 0.00 -5.50 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 0.00 18.68 0.00% 0.3046 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -5.69 0.00 0.00 -5.69 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 29.37 0.00 0.00% 0.2120 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6.23 0.00 0.00 -6.23 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 20.63 0.00 0.00% 0.3146 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 ✅ -6.49 0.00 0.00 -6.49 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 59.88 0.00% 0.1100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6.59 0.00 0.00 -6.59 Trades
Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 20.00 0.00% 0.3300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 ✅ -6.60 0.00 0.00 -6.60 Trades
“All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4410 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 06 2024 ✅ -6.62 0.00 0.00 -6.62 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? Yes No 28.03 0.00 0.00% 0.2518 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -7.06 0.00 0.00 -7.06 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -7.14 0.00 0.00 -7.14 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 30.73 0.00% 0.2426 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -7.46 0.00 0.00 -7.46 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 82.87 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -7.46 0.00 0.00 -7.46 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -7.94 0.00 0.00 -7.94 Trades
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -7.94 0.00 0.00 -7.94 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.1100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -8.73 0.00 0.00 -8.73 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? Yes No 91.58 0.00 0.00% 0.0960 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -8.79 0.00 0.00 -8.79 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 88.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.80 0.00 0.00 -8.80 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 80.20 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 28 2024 ✅ -8.82 0.00 0.00 -8.82 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 58.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1529 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -8.94 0.00 0.00 -8.94 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 44.59 0.00 0.00% 0.2066 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ -9.21 0.00 0.00 -9.21 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? Yes No 52.91 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 17 2024 ✅ -9.52 0.00 0.00 -9.52 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 348.84 0.00 0.00% 0.0280 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 02 2023 ✅ -9.77 0.00 0.00 -9.77 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.1300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -10.32 0.00 0.00 -10.32 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 28.14 0.00 0.00% 0.3684 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -10.37 0.00 0.00 -10.37 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 62.11 0.00% 0.1852 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -11.50 0.00 0.00 -11.50 Trades
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? Yes No 24.80 0.00 0.00% 0.4658 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -11.55 0.00 0.00 -11.55 Trades
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -11.91 0.00 0.00 -11.91 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 70.92 0.00% 0.1776 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -12.60 0.00 0.00 -12.60 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 41.10 0.00 0.00% 0.3088 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -12.69 0.00 0.00 -12.69 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -12.70 0.00 0.00 -12.70 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 80.20 0.00% 0.1666 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -13.37 0.00 0.00 -13.37 Trades
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 85.71 0.00 0.00% 0.1622 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -13.90 0.00 0.00 -13.90 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 22.08 0.00% 0.6536 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.43 0.00 0.00 -14.43 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -14.60 0.00 0.00 -14.60 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 92.03 0.00% 0.1620 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ -14.91 0.00 0.00 -14.91 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 187.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 38.21 0.00 0.00% 0.3931 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -15.02 0.00 0.00 -15.02 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.1900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.08 0.00 0.00 -15.08 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.1900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -15.08 0.00 0.00 -15.08 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 185.36 0.00 0.00% 0.0819 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.18 0.00 0.00 -15.18 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 46.64 0.00% 0.3268 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -15.25 0.00 0.00 -15.25 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 52.91 0.00 0.00% 0.2974 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -15.73 0.00 0.00 -15.73 Trades
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? Yes No 52.91 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -15.87 0.00 0.00 -15.87 Trades
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.87 0.00 0.00 -15.87 Trades
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -17.46 0.00 0.00 -17.46 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 79.36 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 ✅ -18.25 0.00 0.00 -18.25 Trades
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.2300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -18.26 0.00 0.00 -18.26 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? Yes No 85.62 0.00 0.00% 0.2244 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -19.21 0.00 0.00 -19.21 Trades
$WIF all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 130.00 0.00% 0.1496 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -19.45 0.00 0.00 -19.45 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 52.91 0.00 0.00% 0.3761 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -19.90 0.00 0.00 -19.90 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 95.24 0.00% 0.2259 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -21.51 0.00 0.00 -21.51 Trades
Tensor airdrop by March 1? Yes No 69.37 0.00 0.00% 0.3257 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -22.59 0.00 0.00 -22.59 Trades
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.3000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -23.81 0.00 0.00 -23.81 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.3100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -24.60 0.00 0.00 -24.60 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.3100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -24.60 0.00 0.00 -24.60 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 99.34 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -24.84 0.00 0.00 -24.84 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.3300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -26.19 0.00 0.00 -26.19 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.3300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -26.19 0.00 0.00 -26.19 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -26.99 0.00 0.00 -26.99 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -30.95 0.00 0.00 -30.95 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $40m over its opening weekend? Yes No 82.87 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ -32.32 0.00 0.00 -32.32 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 121.95 0.00 0.00% 0.2905 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -35.42 0.00 0.00 -35.42 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 52.91 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -37.04 0.00 0.00 -37.04 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.00 79.00 0.00% 0.5060 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 ✅ -39.98 0.00 0.00 -39.98 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 55.68 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -41.76 0.00 0.00 -41.76 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day? Yes No 79.37 0.00 0.00% 0.5300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -42.07 0.00 0.00 -42.07 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? Yes No 0.00 81.08 0.00% 0.5200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -42.16 0.00 0.00 -42.16 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 81.08 0.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ -47.84 0.00 0.00 -47.84 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.6100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -48.42 0.00 0.00 -48.42 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 74.47 0.00% 0.6881 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ -51.24 0.00 0.00 -51.24 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 75.95 0.00 0.00% 0.7900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -60.00 0.00 0.00 -60.00 Trades
Continued US strikes against Houthis? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.7800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -61.91 0.00 0.00 -61.91 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 83.80 0.00% 0.7460 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -62.51 0.00 0.00 -62.51 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 79.37 0.00% 0.8100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -64.29 0.00 0.00 -64.29 Trades
Resolved 200.20 417.22 -496.27 0.00 0.00 121.15
Unresolved 52.80 83.17 -572.25 0.00 0.00 -436.28
Total 253.00 500.39 -1,068.51 0.00 0.00 -315.12