Will 2024 be better than 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.0390
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 01 2024
|
|
-0.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.66
|
Trades
|
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.9366
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-11.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.32
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-14.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.71
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-216.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-216.39
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
572.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
572.65
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
400.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
400.85
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
271.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
271.57
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
252.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
252.21
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
206.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
206.16
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
49.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.52
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
12.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.9046
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
47.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.58
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
28.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.43
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
22.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.55
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
10.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.77
|
Trades
|
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
10.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.55
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
27.17
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.17
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
1.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.81
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.9680
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.83
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on April 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.28
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.19
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.79
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.03
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.75
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? |
Yes |
No |
7.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0130
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.0190
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
9.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.2900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
54.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.0364
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
-325.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-325.90
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.19
|
58.85
|
|
|
1,464.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,523.49
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-251.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-251.05
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.19
|
58.85
|
|
|
1,213.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,272.44
|
|