Account
0x82c88446599f88c174f0332147e7e4e1eea603ee Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 72.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4118 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 72.85 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.85 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 16 2021 | ✅ | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | |||||||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.60 | 0.00% | 0.9387 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 32.60 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -30.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.89 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 71.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9789 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 71.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -69.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | |
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | ✅ | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | Trades | ||
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.31 | 0.00% | 0.9110 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 11.31 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | -10.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.00 | 0.00% | 0.7995 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? | Yes | No | 24.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9596 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 24.81 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -23.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 07 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.50 | 0.00% | 0.8946 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.50 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -8.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” sell more than 400K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? | Magnus Carlsen | Ian Nepomniachtchi | 4.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7825 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.60 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | ✅ | -3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.80 | 0.00% | 0.8863 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.80 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -7.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 7.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8581 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.05 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -6.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.83 | 0.00% | 0.7390 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.83 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | -2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 8.25 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 8.25 0.00 |
✅ | -7.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |||||||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium be the Group B winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Coldplay and BTS single 'My Universe' debut at #1 on the Billboard Global 200 chart? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.10 | 0.00% | 0.8364 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.10 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -5.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.13 | 0.00% | 0.7584 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.13 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.80 | 0.00% | 0.9077 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.80 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | ✅ | -9.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |||
| Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.01 | 0.00% | 0.7513 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.01 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 5.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8282 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.80 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.90 | 0.00% | 0.8311 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.90 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
| Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $GM be above $.000216 on November 19, 2021 (11:30 PM ET)? | Yes | No | 6.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8542 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.73 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | -5.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.98 | Trades | |
| What will be the average price for a NYC unrestricted taxi medallion in August 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.77 | Trades | ||
| Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.50 | 0.00% | 0.9563 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 11.50 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.00 | 0.00% | 0.9164 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -5.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 04 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23.00 | 0.00% | 0.9783 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 23.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -22.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.30 | 0.00% | 0.9056 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.30 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 7.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9342 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.60 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -7.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be above 200 for July 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 17 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.70 | 0.00% | 0.9609 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12.70 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -12.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 19.49 | 0.00% | 0.9749 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 19.49 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -19.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Trades | |
| Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 4,229.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -0.55 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | |
| Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
| Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | Trades | ||
| Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.72 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 3.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7176 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.53 | Trades | |
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 3.56 | 0.00% | 0.7200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.56 | Trades | |
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.70 | 0.00% | 1.7219 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.92 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | -3.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.16 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 5.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8241 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | -4.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.70 | Trades | |
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 6.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8513 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | -5.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.70 | Trades | |
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 10.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5417 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -5.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.91 | Trades | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.25 | 0.00% | 1.7194 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -9.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.02 | Trades | |
| Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.30 | 0.00% | 0.9032 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -9.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.30 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 13.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9270 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | ✅ | -12.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.70 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -32.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -40.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.53 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 200.44 | 188.20 | -389.64 | 0.84 | 0.00 | -0.15 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 200.44 | 188.20 | -389.64 | 0.84 | 0.00 | -0.15 | ||||||||||||