Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
5,010.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7385
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
4,375.29
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-3,700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
675.29
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.39
|
0.00% |
|
1.2650
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
16.66
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.34
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
277.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-252.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-252.78
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-280.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-280.00
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19,553.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9205
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-17,999.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17,999.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,447.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,447.77
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
1,614.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,614.15
|
Trades
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,515.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,515.60
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
949.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
949.10
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
848.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
848.80
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
637.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
637.12
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
521.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
521.45
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,117.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.8548
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,117.54
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,810.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
307.54
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
245.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
245.41
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
225.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
225.55
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,055.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7987
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,055.70
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-843.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.55
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
61.34
|
0.00% |
|
-0.5665
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
61.34
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
34.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.10
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
85.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.56
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,162.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.9481
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,162.78
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,102.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.36
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-81.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9690
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-193.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.20
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0338
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
260.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.3835
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
950.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3189
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-303.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-303.00
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-312.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-312.00
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,012.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-330.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-330.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-340.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-340.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,268.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.2910
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-660.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-660.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
3,155.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4018
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1,268.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,268.18
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
4,697.36
|
|
|
1,737.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,435.08
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,375.29
|
16.66
|
|
|
-22,253.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17,861.82
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,375.29
|
4,714.03
|
|
|
-20,516.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11,426.74
|
|