Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
72.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
67.70
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.70
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
22.65
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.65
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.9130
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
20.99
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
96.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.40
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
85.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.26
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
78.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.49
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
β
|
50.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
47.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.46
|
Trades
|
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
45.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.51
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
41.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.54
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
39.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.70
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
32.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.73
|
Trades
|
Will PP win a plurality in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
32.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.50
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
30.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.63
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
28.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.85
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
28.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
28.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
28.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.75
|
Trades
|
Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
26.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.99
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
26.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.51
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
25.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.98
|
Trades
|
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
25.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.98
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
25.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.45
|
Trades
|
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 24 2023
|
β
|
24.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.94
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
24.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.44
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
23.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.96
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
β
|
23.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.96
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
23.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.62
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
23.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.24
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
23.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.01
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
23.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.01
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
23.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.01
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
23.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.01
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
22.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.88
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
22.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.55
|
Trades
|
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
22.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.11
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
22.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.11
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
22.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.11
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
21.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.24
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
21.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.24
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
21.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.24
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
21.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.07
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
21.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.05
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
16.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.98
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
13.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.33
|
Trades
|
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
11.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.56
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
11.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.51
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
8.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.35
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
2.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.73
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
2.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.54
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.38
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.22
|
Trades
|
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
2.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.18
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
1.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.63
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
1.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.58
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.47
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
1.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.32
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.28
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.67
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Drake drop his album on time? |
Yes |
No |
11.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
-15.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.12
|
Trades
|
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 03 2023
|
β
|
-18.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.94
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
20.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9740
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.7100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-31.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.76
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
56.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.8973
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-50.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.70
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-61.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.11
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
1,113.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,113.69
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
111.34
|
|
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.34
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
111.35
|
|
|
1,023.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,135.02
|
|