Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
11.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3445
|
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.97
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.02
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
57.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.1682
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
11.88
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-9.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.16
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
3.98
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.60
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
3.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? |
Yes |
No |
7.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
5.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
2.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
7.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.2344
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
2.97
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.53
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
7.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
42.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1180
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3086
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
2.52
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-10.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.28
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
209.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1384
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
11.94
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-29.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.11
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
138.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
666.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0450
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 01 2024
|
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
85.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.24
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
21.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.07
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.47
|
Trades
|
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.0850
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
4.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
3.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.15
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
116.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.0399
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
-4.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.66
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-7.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.15
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1347
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.45
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
240.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0941
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-22.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.62
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
45.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.95
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.49
|
17.37
|
|
|
-163.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.45
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.50
|
17.37
|
|
|
-117.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.50
|
|