Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
2.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.4600
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
1.14
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
2.11
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.01 |
0.99 |
0.00
|
1.03
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.01 |
0.99 |
0.00
|
1.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
1.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
1.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9830
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.99
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.99
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9870
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.99
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9880
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.99
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
0.99
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.98
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.60
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.2300
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.31
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.69
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.73
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
14.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.38
|
Trades
|
Cardinals vs. Rams |
Cardinals |
Rams |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.17
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.03
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.99
|
Trades
|
Chargers vs. Ravens |
Chargers |
Ravens |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.99
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.67
|
Trades
|
Titans vs. Panthers |
Titans |
Panthers |
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.43
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Raiders vs. Chiefs |
Raiders |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
1.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.14
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.69
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF testify? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.2700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
20.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0480
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.0870
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Rams vs. Steelers |
Rams |
Steelers |
1.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
1.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Vikings vs. Bears |
Vikings |
Bears |
1.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Eagles vs. Bills |
Eagles |
Bills |
0.00
|
2.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.4900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Texans vs. Jaguars |
Texans |
Jaguars |
2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? |
Yes |
No |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Lions vs. Rams |
Lions |
Rams |
0.00
|
3.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.2600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of any charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.4918
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.07
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.6240
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0444
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
7.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
18.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-10.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.14
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.43
|
1.14
|
|
|
-13.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.08
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
14.14
|
|
|
-17.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.60
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.43
|
15.27
|
|
|
-31.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.68
|
|