Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-2.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.56
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-5.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.45
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-1.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.98
|
Trades
|
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
0.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.61
|
Trades
|
Will Bronny James be drafted? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 27 2024
|
β
|
-4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.10
|
Trades
|
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.50
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8268
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-8.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.73
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9810
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.10
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.8767
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.15
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-8.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0151
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.77
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.32
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-8.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.4420
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.40
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Haiti intervention in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.45
|
Trades
|
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
4.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.39
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
4.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.57
|
Trades
|
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
10.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7442
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-7.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.73
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.3000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
3.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9980
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9680
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.17
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.6890
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.11
|
Trades
|
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9985
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.02
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.21
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? |
Yes |
No |
5.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.49
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
Trades
|
Will roon deactivate his account in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.18
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
5.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.42
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9920
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
-9.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9890
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.06
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
5.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9640
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.19
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
16.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.47
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
15.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.54
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
18.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.17
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Coin Toss Heads or Tails? |
Heads |
Tails |
0.00
|
9.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.5100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.50
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4.76
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
9.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
2.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.22
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
49.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.5602
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-27.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.76
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-7.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.60
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-7.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.28
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
-3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.10
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.29
|
108.08
|
|
|
-99.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.91
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-42.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.08
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.29
|
108.08
|
|
|
-141.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.17
|
|