Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
14.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
13.85
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.85
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.4500
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
2.89
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.29
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
4.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.7100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.00
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.82
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.55
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.30
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.02
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
14.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0670
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
7.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-1.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.49
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
1.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.68
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
22.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
39.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.79
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
4.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
83.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.3000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
26.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
8.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
-5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32,176.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.0044
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-141.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-141.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
13,437.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0106
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-142.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-142.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-284.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-284.42
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.85
|
2.89
|
|
|
-16.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.85
|
2.89
|
|
|
-301.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-284.28
|
|