Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
1.43
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.3900
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
2.64
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.36
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.2800
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
2.26
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.74
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
29.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
1.77
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.23
|
Trades
|
Will Kristi Noem win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
5.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kari Lake win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
20.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
19.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.00
|
8.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.6200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
16.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.20
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
15.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.41
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
11.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.33
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
9.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.71
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.66
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
5.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.42
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from May to June 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
5.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.42
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.81
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.81
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.64
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.56
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.56
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.56
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.56
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.38
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.32
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.32
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9720
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.14
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
9.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
4.63
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
SBF jail by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
16.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.6100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.46
|
43.38
|
|
|
5.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.16
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.20
|
4.90
|
|
|
-46.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.90
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.66
|
48.28
|
|
|
-40.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.26
|
|