ARB above $1.50 on April 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
β
|
2,784.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,784.96
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
1,351.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,351.65
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
312.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
312.66
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
224.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
224.62
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
510.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
510.11
|
Wed May 03 2023
|
β
|
-357.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.03
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
91.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.61
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Apr 27 2023
|
β
|
66.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.86
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
53.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.45
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
1k |
2k |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
32.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.21
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
β
|
23.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.03
|
Trades
|
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
21.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.67
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
21.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.72
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
4.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.011 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
53.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
53.19
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.19
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
2.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.94
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22.47
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.47
|
Trades
|
Did US GDP grow 2.5% or more in Q1 2023? |
Yes |
No |
255.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0076
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
β
|
1.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.95
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-48.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
21.05
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-19.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.9826
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.35
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.20
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.72
|
Trades
|
Will France win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.82
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.17
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
β
|
-2.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.96
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.30
|
Trades
|
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
-3.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.51
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
386.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-7.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.73
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-8.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.27
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will a European team win LOL Worlds 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3,175.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0039
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-12.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.32
|
Trades
|
Will Trump have a Blue checkmark on April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-18.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Drake AI song still be available on Youtube on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
β
|
-19.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.80
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.3849
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
158.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1262
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
67.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
330.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0809
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-26.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.70
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies |
Lakers |
Grizzlies |
0.00
|
425.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0738
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-31.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.38
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
570.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0575
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-32.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.80
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
36.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-37.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,075.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.0465
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 12 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.7012
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-53.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.20
|
Trades
|
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
142.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 07 2023
|
β
|
-84.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.13
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks |
Cavaliers |
Knicks |
505.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1977
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat |
Bucks |
Heat |
239.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-103.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.04
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
799.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.4754
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-379.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-379.92
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,570.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.2005
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-515.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-515.49
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,775.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.5544
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-984.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-984.37
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.01
|
702.42
|
|
|
1,770.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,493.41
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.01
|
702.42
|
|
|
1,770.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,493.41
|
|