Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.01 |
0.99 |
0.17
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
370.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.1238
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
415.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
415.80
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
390.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
390.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
259.88
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3645
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
94.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.72
|
Trades
|
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
964.74
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0942
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
90.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.86
|
Trades
|
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
424.02
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1332
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
56.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.49
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
48.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
499.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0910
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
45.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.49
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
36.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.78
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
452.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0805
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
36.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.46
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,900.95
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0060
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
35.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.23
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
17.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.53
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2546
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
12.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.73
|
Trades
|
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
113.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0974
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 20 2023
|
β
|
11.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.04
|
Trades
|
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? |
Yes |
No |
21.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4977
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
10.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.74
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
9.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.52
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
999.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0092
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
9.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.18
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.01
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3898
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
7.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.80
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.78
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
5.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.71
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
200.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0282
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.66
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.04
|
Trades
|
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
499.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0094
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
β
|
4.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.72
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2101
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
3.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.15
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
2.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.36
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
53.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0443
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
2.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.35
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0210
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.50
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0441
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 03 2023
|
β
|
1.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.88
|
Trades
|
Will Aston Martin beat Mercedes in the 2023 F1 season? |
Yes |
No |
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.80
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1977
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
16.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
62.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
34.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.35
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
35.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.35
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
41.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.41
|
Trades
|
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
499.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
500.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the US in September? |
Yes |
No |
53.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.53
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0008
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.78
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
78.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.79
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
98.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.0091
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
99.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
99.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 04 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
99.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will England win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
99.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $70m on its 3-day open? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
151.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.52
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? |
Yes |
No |
94.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
199.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0033
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
303.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0069
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2646
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.16
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0520
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.20
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
982.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0062
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-6.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.05
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
928.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0097
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Champions League Final: Man City v. Inter |
Man City |
Inter |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0333
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 10 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
155.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.2183
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-33.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.98
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
1,215.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,215.82
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.17
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.17
|
0.00
|
|
|
1,215.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,215.82
|
|