Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
44.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.98
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
34.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.79
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
25.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.71
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
23.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.13
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
22.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.55
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
11.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.05
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
35.71
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.93
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
28.66
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.60
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
6.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.29
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
5.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.32
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.53
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
4.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
3.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.92
|
Trades
|
DOGE above 8Β’ on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
3.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.44
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
3.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.44
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
2.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.85
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
17.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
17.84
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-15.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.68
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.9079
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.88
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
-23.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.38
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3057
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.14
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.9214
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
21.71
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.71
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
11.49
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.33
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14? |
Yes |
No |
16.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9246
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
16.22
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.22
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.9706
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
37.81
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-36.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.99
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.96
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-15.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.74
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
11.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9412
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
11.69
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.69
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.9458
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.57
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.57
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.42
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
10.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.31
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.27
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
0.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 17, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.9764
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.24
|
Fri Jun 17 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.24
|
Trades
|
SPX6900 over $37m by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.20
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? |
Do Kwon |
Sensei Algod |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 14 2023
|
β
|
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will βBlockFi Yieldβ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9695
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.16
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of goblintown.wtf be above 5 ETH on June 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.9724
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.14
|
Mon Jun 13 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.13
|
Fri Apr 28 2023
|
β
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of 'We Are All Going to Die' be above 1 ETH on June 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9916
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.04
|
Tue Jun 14 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9970
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.03
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
5.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9976
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 22 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will HOP token be above $0.25 on June 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0045
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 16 2022
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
3.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0640
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 17 2022
|
β
|
-0.23
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will βJurassic World Dominionβ gross more than $150 million domestically in its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
5.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0462
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.26
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
-0.23
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.16
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.62
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-2.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.65
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-5.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.04
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.27
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
β
|
-6.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.86
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
-7.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.34
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-9.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.79
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.5600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.68
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
34.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
-30.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.66
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61.07
|
296.45
|
|
|
-215.60
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
141.99
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61.07
|
296.45
|
|
|
-215.60
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
141.99
|
|