House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
1,046.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.4865
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-509.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-509.02
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
2,997.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5723
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,715.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,715.45
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
17,187.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17,187.07
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
12,424.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,424.62
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
837.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
837.59
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
659.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
659.12
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
✅ |
505.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
505.84
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
354.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
354.80
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
248.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
248.50
|
Trades
|
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
202.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
202.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
200.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.40
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
62.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.6654
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
165.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
165.33
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
✅ |
55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.00
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
44.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.10
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
✅ |
32.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.70
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.06
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
31.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.03
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
15.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.26
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
12.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.86
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.98
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.98
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
4.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.30
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-56.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.44
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28,653.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.2384
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-6,830.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,830.90
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.06
|
1.00
|
|
|
26,094.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26,095.79
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-2,224.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,224.47
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.06
|
1.00
|
|
|
23,870.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23,871.32
|
|