Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
✅ |
5,064.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,064.53
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
4,402.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,402.30
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
1,596.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,596.60
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
4.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-201.7126
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
893.64
|
6.44
|
0.00
|
900.08
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.92
|
0.00% |
|
-76.3179
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
375.71
|
76.17
|
0.00
|
451.88
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
346.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
346.54
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.06
|
0.00% |
|
-5.3796
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
296.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
296.18
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
68.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.57
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
58.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.52
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
54.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.04
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
21.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.88
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 29 2022
|
✅ |
19.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.21
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-7.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.22
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
10.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
5.6356
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-59.76
|
5.57
|
0.00
|
-54.18
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
2,717.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0240
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-65.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.28
|
Trades
|
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
323.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.2165
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
214.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.4188
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
600.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1665
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
PA-07 House: Will a Democrat (Wild) or Republican (Scheller) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
172.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.5814
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
1,009.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2418
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-244.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-244.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? |
Independent |
Republican |
3.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
86.1129
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-297.89
|
9.96
|
0.00
|
-287.93
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
419.43
|
0.00% |
|
2.0699
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-868.20
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
-868.19
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
47,097.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0186
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-873.88
|
4.25
|
0.00
|
-869.62
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7,068.66
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
0.1527
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-1,079.16
|
72.54
|
0.01
|
-1,006.61
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,401.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.5661
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
✅ |
-1,359.53
|
18.16
|
0.00
|
-1,341.38
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,078.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.2118
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-1,711.12
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
-1,710.91
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,465.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.2494
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
-2,609.74
|
18.49
|
0.00
|
-2,591.24
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8,567.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4007
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-3,432.54
|
3.40
|
0.00
|
-3,429.14
|
Trades
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? |
Yes |
No |
19,980.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3065
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-6,123.85
|
50.55
|
0.00
|
-6,073.30
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
-5,894.46
|
265.75
|
0.02
|
-5,628.68
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
-5,894.46
|
265.75
|
0.02
|
-5,628.68
|
|