Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.25
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.13
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.45
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Kari Lake win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.60
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.60
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus play Hans by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
1.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0490
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.0330
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0270
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
3.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
2.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.0390
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0830
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.14
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
13.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0750
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
4.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.1700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.61
|
|
|
-6.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.79
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
|
|
-0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
|
|
-6.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.19
|
|