Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
45.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.70
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
40.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.99
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
26.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.04
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
✅ |
24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.75
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
15.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.77
|
Trades
|
Giants vs. Seahawks |
Giants |
Seahawks |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
12.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.24
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
9.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.95
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
9.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.60
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
8.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.89
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
8.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.16
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
8.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.05
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.71
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.34
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
7.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.32
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
7.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.04
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
6.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.48
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
5.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.70
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.27
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.22
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.19
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
✅ |
1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.09
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.95
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
0.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0024
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.48
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
-0.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.58
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 23 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.0190
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
-1.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.23
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
9.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.99
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Ansem vs. Barney |
Ansem |
Barney |
4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 19 2024
|
✅ |
-2.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.05
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.17
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
7.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
-2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.70
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-4.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.89
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
10.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-5.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.22
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
29.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.5739
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
-15.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.01
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
31.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.5900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-18.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.80
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,762.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.0134
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-23.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.64
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-45.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.30
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
|
|
116.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.24
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
|
|
116.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.24
|
|