Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.93
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
41.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.8819
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
110.87
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-102.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.83
|
Trades
|
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? |
Yes |
No |
8.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8713
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8.03
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? |
Dogecoin |
Shiba Inu |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 04 2021
|
β
|
3.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.19
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on November 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 06 2021
|
β
|
2.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.49
|
Trades
|
What will the outcome of Elon Muskβs November 6th Twitter Poll be? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 07 2021
|
β
|
1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.90
|
Trades
|
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 08 2021
|
β
|
-7.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.40
|
Trades
|
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? |
Cardano |
Solana |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 09 2021
|
β
|
-29.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.98
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $MATIC (Polygon) or $ADA (Cardano) be higher on November 10th? |
Cardano |
Polygon |
46.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7663
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
46.56
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
β
|
-35.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.88
|
Trades
|
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
β
|
1.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.35
|
Trades
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 11 2021
|
β
|
-9.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.44
|
Trades
|
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 14, 5PM ET? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 14 2021
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 14 2021
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
-1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.09
|
Trades
|
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
5.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.21
|
Trades
|
What will the price of Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be at noon on November 16, 2021? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 16 2021
|
β
|
-0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.93
|
Trades
|
Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 16th? |
Yes |
No |
5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8826
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.66
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 16 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.66
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 17 2021
|
β
|
-2.34
|
2.54
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? |
Yes |
No |
2.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7277
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.75
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 17 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sothebyβs auction for the United States Constitution? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 18 2021
|
β
|
-17.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.31
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 18 2021
|
β
|
-6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.90
|
Trades
|
Will $GM be above $.000216 on November 19, 2021 (11:30 PM ET)? |
Yes |
No |
2.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7518
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.66
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 19 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.66
|
Trades
|
Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? |
Germany |
Poland |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 19 2021
|
β
|
-0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.93
|
Trades
|
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 50M global streams for the week ending on November 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 19 2021
|
β
|
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 20 2021
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 22 2021
|
β
|
3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.10
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
β
|
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.7629
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.55
|
Mon Nov 29 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.55
|
Trades
|
Will 231 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 29 2021
|
β
|
1.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.57
|
Trades
|
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
-0.09
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? |
Magnus Carlsen |
Ian Nepomniachtchi |
2.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7941
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.52
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 16 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.52
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.7985
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.50
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.8848
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.26
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
79.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.0250
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.99
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.23
|
0.74
|
0.00
|
0.51
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.9132
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.19
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
78.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.0255
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 06 2022
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
14.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.27
|
Trades
|
Another House member censured by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
157.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.0127
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
27.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.81
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
22.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
44.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.75
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4.26
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
β
|
-4.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
68.19
|
36.52
|
|
|
-156.10
|
3.38
|
0.00
|
-48.02
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
110.87
|
|
|
-108.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.90
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
68.19
|
147.39
|
|
|
-265.08
|
3.38
|
0.00
|
-46.12
|
|