Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-17.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.26
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
494.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
494.56
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
328.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
328.51
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
174.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.77
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
170.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
170.84
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
131.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.15
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Yeoh win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 12 2023
|
β
|
122.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.41
|
Trades
|
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 12 2023
|
β
|
116.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.67
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
97.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.08
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
80.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.64
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
58.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.07
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
44.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.04
|
Trades
|
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
11.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.11
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0125
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
3.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.83
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
112.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0325
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-3.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.66
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-4.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.67
|
Trades
|
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? |
United States |
South Korea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.86
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
107.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.1400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
350.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-17.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
89.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.2044
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-18.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.24
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,065.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-21.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.30
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-22.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.58
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-25.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.29
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
131.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1975
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
411.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.0839
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
β
|
-34.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.50
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
199.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1741
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-34.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.65
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
953.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0367
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
166.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
2,730.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0157
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
β
|
-43.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.00
|
Trades
|
Will Austin Butler win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? |
Yes |
No |
87.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5143
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
73.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
114.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.4369
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
625.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
828.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0929
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-77.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-77.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,099.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.0846
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-93.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-95.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
922.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1666
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-153.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-315.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-315.92
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
859.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
-498.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-498.32
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,583.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.4247
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4,070.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,070.44
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-4,205.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,205.65
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.01
|
|
|
-8,191.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8,191.45
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-17.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.26
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.01
|
|
|
-8,208.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8,208.71
|
|