Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,509.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.7164
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
10,070.71
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-7,529.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,541.25
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
581.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
581.23
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
11.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.24
|
Trades
|
Is John McAfee alive? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-31.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.70
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
260.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-101.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-101.40
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
6,737.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,737.30
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
6,676.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,676.46
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
2,035.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,035.01
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1,547.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,547.23
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
1,406.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,406.05
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
1,223.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,223.78
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,036.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,036.34
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
890.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
890.55
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
785.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
785.06
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
709.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
709.29
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
560.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
560.16
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
431.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
431.70
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
217.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
217.37
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
197.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
197.25
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
157.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
157.91
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
134.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.04
|
Trades
|
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
132.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.54
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
120.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.59
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
100.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.35
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
88.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.98
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
81.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
81.82
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
47.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.59
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
9.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.22
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.66
|
Trades
|
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
4.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.45
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
β
|
1.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.44
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.17
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.44
|
Trades
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 22 2024
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
305.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1029
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
-31.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.38
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-39.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.26
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-41.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-53.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.62
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-55.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.14
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-58.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.50
|
Trades
|
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? |
Yes |
No |
550.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1526
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-83.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.95
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,865.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0178
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-86.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-86.65
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
1,320.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0666
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-87.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-87.85
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-95.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-95.43
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,735.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1285
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-222.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-222.95
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
394.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7685
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-303.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-303.20
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-418.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-418.10
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.02
|
|
|
23,704.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23,704.34
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
10,070.71
|
|
|
-7,070.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,000.62
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
10,070.73
|
|
|
16,634.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26,704.96
|
|