Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 1,479.91 0.00 0.00 1,479.91 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 951.60 0.00 0.00 951.60 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 810.35 0.00 0.00 810.36 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.01 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 423.09 0.00 0.00 423.10 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 355.90 0.00 0.00 355.90 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 410.00 0.00% -0.3298 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 135.21 0.00 0.00 135.21 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 54.40 0.00 0.00 54.40 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 30.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 28.39 0.00 0.00 28.39 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 28.00 0.00 0.00 28.00 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 19.05 0.00 0.00 19.05 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% -0.0451 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 9.02 0.00 0.00 9.02 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 6.37 0.00 0.00 6.37 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.01 0.99 0.00 14.91 Sun Jun 30 2024 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.66 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2.78 0.00 0.00 -2.78 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -29.00 0.00 0.00 -29.00 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -32.55 0.00 0.00 -32.55 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 92.80 0.00% 0.8477 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -78.67 0.00 0.00 -78.67 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -198.00 0.00 0.00 -198.00 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -295.00 0.00 0.00 -295.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 169.00 0.00 0.00 169.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 2,775.94 0.00 0.00% 0.7135 0.79 0.21 2,205.14 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,980.59 0.00 0.00 224.55 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.08 0.92 0.00 0.01 Sat Aug 10 2024 98.90 0.00 0.00 98.90 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 25.09 0.00 0.00 25.09 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 17.79 0.00 0.00 17.80 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 17.39 0.00 0.00 17.40 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 16.15 0.00 0.00 16.16 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.01 Sat Aug 10 2024 14.48 0.00 0.00 14.49 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 11.70 0.00 0.00 11.70 Trades
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 6.36 0.00 0.00 6.36 Trades
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 5.91 0.00 0.00 5.91 Trades
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 5.17 0.00 0.00 5.17 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 4.49 0.00 0.00 4.50 Trades
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.99 0.00% 0.01 0.99 0.00 0.97 Tue Sep 10 2024 0.86 0.00 0.00 1.84 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5830 0.50 0.50 750.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -874.49 0.00 0.00 -124.49 Trades
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? Yes No 253.55 0.00 0.00% 0.9176 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -232.65 0.00 0.00 -232.65 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -267.09 0.00 0.00 -267.09 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.8213 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -328.50 0.00 0.00 -328.50 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 2.1744 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -434.87 0.00 0.00 -434.87 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -473.92 0.00 0.00 -473.92 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9607 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -480.35 0.00 0.00 -480.35 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 1.2561 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -502.45 0.00 0.00 -502.45 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 2,030.63 0.00 0.00% 0.2939 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -596.84 0.00 0.00 -596.84 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.9202 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -644.14 0.00 0.00 -644.14 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 882.12 0.00% 0.8730 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -770.07 0.00 0.00 -770.07 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.8598 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -859.84 0.00 0.00 -859.84 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 1,263.23 0.00 0.00% 0.8605 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,087.04 0.00 0.00 -1,087.04 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,233.01 0.00% 0.9085 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,120.13 0.00 0.00 -1,120.13 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 20,003.63 0.00 0.00% 0.5378 0.47 0.53 9,488.68 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -10,758.48 0.00 0.00 -1,269.79 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,698.21 0.00% 1.0683 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,814.17 0.00 0.00 -1,814.17 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 0.00 2,700.00 0.00% 0.9514 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2,568.65 0.00 0.00 -2,568.65 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 0.00 4,830.07 0.00% 0.6133 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,962.19 0.00 0.00 -2,962.19 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 4,159.42 0.00 0.00% 0.7133 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,966.76 0.00 0.00 -2,966.76 Trades
Will Bronny James be drafted? Yes No 0.00 4,000.26 0.00% 0.8251 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 27 2024 -3,300.66 0.00 0.00 -3,300.66 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 3,452.70 0.00 0.00% 1.0058 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -3,472.60 0.00 0.00 -3,472.60 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 5,961.51 0.00% 0.7011 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,179.83 0.00 0.00 -4,179.83 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 24,231.46 0.00 0.00 24,231.46 Trades
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 20,359.68 0.00 0.00 20,359.68 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 19,510.71 0.00 0.00 19,510.71 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 15,946.56 0.00 0.00 15,946.56 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 15,360.34 0.00 0.00 15,360.34 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 13,850.91 0.00 0.00 13,850.92 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 13,437.04 0.00 0.00 13,437.04 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 10,177.05 0.00 0.00 10,177.05 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 9,654.93 0.00 0.00 9,654.93 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 8,538.27 0.00 0.00 8,538.27 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 8,499.77 0.00 0.00 8,499.77 Trades
Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 6,915.40 0.00 0.00 6,915.40 Trades
Will Trump win Georgia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 6,739.44 0.00 0.00 6,739.44 Trades
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 6,643.38 0.00 0.00 6,643.38 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 6,136.40 0.00 0.00 6,136.40 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,691.39 0.00 0.00 5,691.39 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 5,608.74 0.00 0.00 5,608.74 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 5,595.09 0.00 0.00 5,595.09 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5,571.83 0.00 0.00 5,571.83 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 5,527.59 0.00 0.00 5,527.60 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $16 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 5,403.51 0.00 0.00 5,403.51 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 5,397.50 0.00 0.00 5,397.50 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 5,127.76 0.00 0.00 5,127.76 Trades
Will Nikola Jokić win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 5,079.23 0.00 0.00 5,079.23 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5,030.76 0.00 0.00 5,030.76 Trades
Will Biden win Georgia Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 5,005.00 0.00 0.00 5,005.00 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 4,954.63 0.00 0.00 4,954.63 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 4,898.91 0.00 0.00 4,898.91 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 3,981.86 0.00 0.00 3,981.86 Trades
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 3,916.71 0.00 0.00 3,916.71 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,867.59 0.00 0.00 3,867.59 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,842.82 0.00 0.00 3,842.86 Trades
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 3,755.96 0.00 0.00 3,755.96 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 3,743.05 0.00 0.00 3,743.05 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 3,430.10 0.00 0.00 3,430.10 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 3,287.00 0.00 0.00 3,287.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,228.88 0.00 0.00 3,228.88 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 2,996.94 0.00 0.00 2,996.94 Trades
Will 'Joy Ride' gross more than $13.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 2,922.68 0.00 0.00 2,922.68 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 2,843.85 0.00 0.00 2,843.85 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 2,730.60 0.00 0.00 2,730.60 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 2,710.80 0.00 0.00 2,710.80 Trades
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 2,685.98 0.00 0.00 2,685.98 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 2,622.42 0.00 0.00 2,622.42 Trades
Will EthCC be postponed? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 2,438.16 0.00 0.00 2,438.16 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 21 2023 2,298.72 0.00 0.00 2,298.72 Trades
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $70m on its 3-day open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 2,222.37 0.00 0.00 2,222.37 Trades
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? Police Nahel 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 07 2023 2,071.77 0.00 0.00 2,071.77 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 1,947.77 0.00 0.00 1,947.77 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 1,899.68 0.00 0.00 1,899.68 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 1,826.68 0.00 0.00 1,826.68 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 1,770.99 0.00 0.00 1,771.00 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 1,745.35 0.00 0.00 1,745.35 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 1,702.77 0.00 0.00 1,702.77 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 1,647.28 0.00 0.00 1,647.28 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Lady Gaga's and Tony Bennet's "I Get a Kick Out of You" win Record of the Year? Yes No 0.00 8,171.68 0.00% 0.8056 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,171.68 Sun Apr 03 2022 -6,582.95 0.00 0.00 1,588.73 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 1,532.35 0.00 0.00 1,532.35 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 1,490.09 0.00 0.00 1,490.09 Trades
Will Joel Embiid win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 29,445.72 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 29,445.72 Fri Jun 10 2022 -27,973.07 0.00 0.00 1,472.64 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 1,356.00 0.00 0.00 1,356.00 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,321.71 0.00 0.00 1,321.72 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 1,282.00 0.00 0.00 1,282.00 Trades
Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 03 2024 1,247.60 0.00 0.00 1,247.60 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 1,196.06 0.00 0.00 1,196.06 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 1,174.28 0.00 0.00 1,174.28 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 1,173.40 0.00 0.00 1,173.40 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 1,126.82 0.00 0.00 1,126.82 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 1,050.00 0.00 0.00 1,050.00 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 1,044.82 0.00 0.00 1,044.82 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 1,038.93 0.00 0.00 1,038.93 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 1,006.46 0.00 0.00 1,006.46 Trades
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 07 2023 995.00 0.00 0.00 995.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 987.60 0.00 0.00 987.60 Trades
Will 'Transformers: Rise of the Beasts' gross over $45 million on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 961.38 0.00 0.00 961.38 Trades
Will the national anthem for Super Bowl LVII be longer than 126 seconds? Yes No 0.00 2,390.28 0.00% 0.5986 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,390.28 Wed Feb 08 2023 -1,430.72 0.00 0.00 959.56 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $20m over August 11-13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 13 2023 952.43 0.00 0.00 952.43 Trades
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 944.00 0.00 0.00 944.00 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 2,220.30 0.00% 0.5765 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,220.30 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,280.02 0.00 0.00 940.28 Trades
Will 'Gran Turismo' gross over $22m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 27 2023 937.48 0.00 0.00 937.48 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Aug 31 2023 932.21 0.00 0.00 932.22 Trades
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $70.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 911.85 0.00 0.00 911.85 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 0.6370 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 -1,592.50 0.00 0.00 907.50 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 19 2023 897.03 0.00 0.00 897.03 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 883.00 0.00 0.00 883.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 3,292.05 0.00 0.00% 0.7428 1.00 0.00 3,292.05 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -2,445.29 0.00 0.00 846.76 Trades
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Fury Ngannou 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 830.00 0.00 0.00 830.00 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 788.70 0.00 0.00 788.70 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 8,502.00 0.00% 0.9084 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,502.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7,723.12 0.00 0.00 778.87 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 6,330.26 0.00 0.00% 0.8774 1.00 0.00 6,330.26 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5,554.43 0.00 0.00 775.83 Trades
Will Biden announce he is running for president by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 775.00 0.00 0.00 775.00 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 752.51 0.00 0.00 752.51 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 12,500.45 0.00% 0.9405 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,500.45 Sat Dec 31 2022 -11,756.50 0.00 0.00 743.95 Trades
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? Kanye Drake 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 739.10 0.00 0.00 739.10 Trades
Will a single person become Time's 2021 Person of the Year? Yes No 1,225.63 0.00 0.00% 0.4080 1.00 0.00 1,225.63 0.00 Mon Dec 13 2021 -500.00 0.00 0.00 725.63 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 2,256.03 0.00% 0.6865 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,256.03 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,548.83 0.00 0.00 707.20 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 694.20 0.00 0.00 694.20 Trades
Will Kawhi Leonard Sign with the Clippers for the NBA 2021-22 season on or before October 1? Yes No 3,110.73 0.00 0.00% 0.7804 1.00 0.00 3,110.73 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -2,427.73 0.00 0.00 683.00 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 681.32 0.00 0.00 681.32 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 653.89 0.00 0.00 653.89 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 20,000.00 0.00% 0.9682 0.00 1.00 0.00 20,000.00 Thu Jun 29 2023 -19,363.33 0.00 0.00 636.67 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 2,595.07 0.00% 0.7583 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,595.07 Wed Mar 06 2024 -1,967.93 0.00 0.00 627.14 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.8753 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -4,376.39 0.00 0.00 623.61 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 608.85 0.00 0.00 608.85 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 15,125.39 0.00 0.00% 0.9598 1.00 0.00 15,125.39 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -14,517.58 0.00 0.00 607.81 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 603.70 0.00 0.00 603.70 Trades
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 601.51 0.00 0.00 601.51 Trades
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 599.65 0.00 0.00 599.65 Trades
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 5,015.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8809 1.00 0.00 5,015.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 -4,417.95 0.00 0.00 597.05 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 9,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9338 1.00 0.00 9,000.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -8,404.15 0.00 0.00 595.85 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.9406 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 -9,406.08 0.00 0.00 593.92 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 555.00 0.00 0.00 555.00 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 541.00 0.00 0.00 541.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 530.00 0.00 0.00 530.00 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? Yes No 5,398.44 0.00 0.00% 0.9025 1.00 0.00 5,398.44 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 -4,872.01 0.00 0.00 526.43 Trades
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15¢ and 65¢ EOW? Yes No 3,325.18 0.00 0.00% 0.8419 1.00 0.00 3,325.18 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 -2,799.51 0.00 0.00 525.67 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 521.01 0.00 0.00 521.01 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 518.53 0.00 0.00 518.53 Trades
Will 'The Nun II' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 11 2023 506.00 0.00 0.00 506.00 Trades
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 26 2023 501.36 0.00 0.00 501.36 Trades
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 494.32 0.00 0.00 494.32 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 11,499.66 0.00% 0.9572 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,499.66 Sat Dec 31 2022 -11,007.86 0.00 0.00 491.81 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 488.30 0.00 0.00 488.30 Trades
Will 'Strays' gross over $20m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 483.83 0.00 0.00 483.83 Trades
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? Yes No 0.00 10,257.34 0.00% 0.9539 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,257.34 Mon Jul 17 2023 -9,784.18 0.00 0.00 473.17 Trades
Will George Santos resign by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 469.99 0.00 0.00 469.99 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,000.62 0.00% 0.9532 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.62 Sat Dec 31 2022 -9,533.00 0.00 0.00 467.62 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.9540 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -9,540.01 0.00 0.00 459.99 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 454.21 0.00 0.00 454.21 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0950 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -47.50 0.00 0.00 452.50 Trades
Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?  Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 442.48 0.00 0.00 442.48 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 441.51 0.00 0.00 441.51 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 437.39 0.00 0.00 437.39 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 5,120.33 0.00% 0.9158 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,120.33 Wed Apr 05 2023 -4,688.96 0.00 0.00 431.37 Trades
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 430.21 0.00 0.00 430.21 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 423.97 0.00 0.00 423.97 Trades
Will Meltem Demirors say "inflows" at least 5 times during the debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 420.00 0.00 0.00 420.00 Trades
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 3,999.89 0.00% 0.8953 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,999.89 Fri Mar 17 2023 -3,581.09 0.00 0.00 418.80 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 403.72 0.00 0.00 403.72 Trades
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,000.22 0.00% 0.8666 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,000.22 Sat Jan 01 2022 -2,600.00 0.00 0.00 400.22 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 12,647.49 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,647.49 Mon Jul 24 2023 -12,248.43 0.00 0.00 399.06 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 398.62 0.00 0.00 398.62 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 7,500.09 0.00 0.00% 0.9483 1.00 0.00 7,500.09 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -7,112.20 0.00 0.00 387.90 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 385.97 0.00 0.00 385.97 Trades
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? Yes No 0.00 447.71 0.00% -0.8562 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 383.32 0.00 0.00 383.32 Trades
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 374.14 0.00 0.00 374.14 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 368.45 0.00 0.00 368.45 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.2730 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -136.50 0.00 0.00 363.50 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 358.54 0.00 0.00 358.54 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 5,930.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9403 1.00 0.00 5,930.76 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 -5,576.54 0.00 0.00 354.22 Trades
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 3,600.02 0.00% 0.9033 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,600.02 Thu Feb 02 2023 -3,251.84 0.00 0.00 348.18 Trades
Will 'The Flash' gross over $85m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 348.09 0.00 0.00 348.09 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 1,962.33 0.00 0.00% 0.8271 1.00 0.00 1,962.33 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 -1,623.14 0.00 0.00 339.19 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 334.67 0.00 0.00 334.68 Trades
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 331.14 0.00 0.00 331.14 Trades
Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 325.69 0.00 0.00 325.69 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 325.12 0.00 0.00 325.12 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 315.62 0.00 0.00 315.62 Trades
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 315.00 0.00 0.00 315.00 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 312.55 0.00 0.00 312.55 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,250.52 0.00% 0.9697 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,250.52 Thu Jun 30 2022 -9,940.00 0.00 0.00 310.52 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 307.38 0.00 0.00 307.38 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 307.17 0.00 0.00 307.17 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.00% 0.9235 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -3,694.00 0.00 0.00 306.00 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1,250.47 0.00% 0.7556 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.47 Sun Oct 30 2022 -944.83 0.00 0.00 305.64 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? Yes No 750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5967 1.00 0.00 750.00 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 -447.50 0.00 0.00 302.50 Trades
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 288.56 0.00 0.00 288.56 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 7,556.71 0.00 0.00% 0.4619 0.50 0.50 3,778.35 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -3,490.50 0.00 0.00 287.85 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,250.00 0.00% 0.8786 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,250.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -1,976.75 0.00 0.00 273.25 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 3,165.49 0.00% 0.9138 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,165.49 Fri Dec 31 2021 -2,892.49 0.00 0.00 273.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 267.61 0.00 0.00 267.61 Trades
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 267.32 0.00 0.00 267.32 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 266.43 0.00 0.00 266.43 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 265.91 0.00 0.00 265.91 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 257.88 0.00 0.00 257.88 Trades
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 256.59 0.00 0.00 257.58 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 256.34 0.00 0.00 256.34 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Aug 23 2023 255.11 0.00 0.00 255.12 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 254.50 0.00 0.00 254.50 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 252.74 0.00 0.00 252.75 Trades
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 250.25 0.00 0.00 250.25 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Nov 12 2023 246.96 0.00 0.00 246.97 Trades
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 1,231.53 0.00% 0.8010 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,231.53 Wed Mar 06 2024 -986.40 0.00 0.00 245.13 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 244.77 0.00 0.00 244.77 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 2,357.46 0.00% 0.8975 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,357.46 Thu Feb 02 2023 -2,115.93 0.00 0.00 241.53 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.47 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.47 Mon Feb 01 2021 239.57 0.00 0.00 240.04 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? Yes No 1,316.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 238.98 0.00 0.00 238.98 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 7,499.94 0.00% 0.9687 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,499.94 Tue Nov 01 2022 -7,265.00 0.00 0.00 234.94 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 232.80 0.00 0.00 232.80 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.7682 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -768.21 0.00 0.00 231.79 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 1,520.39 0.00 0.00% 0.8483 1.00 0.00 1,520.39 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 -1,289.75 0.00 0.00 230.64 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 0.00 5,125.47 0.00% 0.9552 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,125.47 Fri Sep 30 2022 -4,896.00 0.00 0.00 229.47 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 228.39 0.00 0.00 228.39 Trades
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 226.35 0.00 0.00 226.35 Trades
Will Zuck answer the door? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 225.30 0.00 0.00 225.30 Trades
Will Schwab fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 3,508.00 0.00% 0.9363 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,508.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 -3,284.71 0.00 0.00 223.29 Trades
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 15 2021 223.11 0.00 0.00 223.11 Trades
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 06 2023 222.00 0.00 0.00 222.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Mar 20 2024 214.99 0.00 0.00 215.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,249.91 0.00% 0.8282 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,249.91 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,035.17 0.00 0.00 214.73 Trades
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 212.13 0.00 0.00 212.13 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 211.23 0.00 0.00 211.23 Trades
Will 'Elemental' gross over $37.5m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 18 2023 204.00 0.00 0.00 204.00 Trades
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 201.90 0.00 0.00 201.90 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 201.69 0.00 0.00 201.69 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,500.01 0.00% 0.8667 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.01 Mon Jul 31 2023 -1,300.01 0.00 0.00 200.00 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 5,436.15 0.00% 0.9632 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,436.15 Mon Apr 25 2022 -5,236.20 0.00 0.00 199.95 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 199.82 0.00 0.00 199.83 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 199.44 0.00 0.00 199.44 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 1,004.59 0.00 0.00% 0.8045 1.00 0.00 1,004.59 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -808.19 0.00 0.00 196.40 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 31 2024 195.87 0.00 0.00 195.88 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 4,999.97 0.00% 0.9613 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.97 Sat Dec 31 2022 -4,806.70 0.00 0.00 193.27 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,499.75 0.00% 0.9229 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,499.75 Sun Jul 31 2022 -2,307.10 0.00 0.00 192.65 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 189.69 0.00 0.00 189.69 Trades
Will 'The Equalizer 3' gross over $35m Labor Day weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 05 2023 187.00 0.00 0.00 187.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 186.66 0.00 0.00 186.67 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 805.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7706 1.00 0.00 805.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 -620.35 0.00 0.00 184.65 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 0.00 5,698.01 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,698.01 Tue Aug 15 2023 -5,517.87 0.00 0.00 180.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 176.10 0.00 0.00 176.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 7,523.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9766 1.00 0.00 7,523.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 -7,347.31 0.00 0.00 175.69 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 175.00 0.00 0.00 175.00 Trades
Will the National Anthem at the Superbowl LVI be longer than 100 seconds? Yes No 1,674.82 0.00 0.00% 0.8956 1.00 0.00 1,674.82 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 -1,500.00 0.00 0.00 174.82 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 1,000.13 0.00 0.00% 0.8257 1.00 0.00 1,000.13 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 -825.85 0.00 0.00 174.28 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 1,095.38 0.00% 0.8439 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,095.38 Thu Aug 31 2023 -924.40 0.00 0.00 170.98 Trades
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? Yes No 0.00 1,494.00 0.00% 0.8865 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,494.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 -1,324.48 0.00 0.00 169.52 Trades
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 2,485.00 0.00% 0.9319 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,485.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 -2,315.75 0.00 0.00 169.25 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 167.02 0.00 0.00 167.02 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 2,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9346 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,336.45 0.00 0.00 163.55 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 162.72 0.00 0.00 162.72 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 02 2021 158.52 0.00 0.00 158.52 Trades
Will Rihanna's first song of the Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show be "Diamonds"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 158.50 0.00 0.00 158.50 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 157.78 0.00 0.00 157.78 Trades
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 157.28 0.00 0.00 157.28 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 6,250.00 0.00% 0.9750 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,250.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -6,093.85 0.00 0.00 156.14 Trades
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 155.00 0.00 0.00 155.00 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 154.77 0.00 0.00 154.77 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.9695 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -4,847.70 0.00 0.00 152.30 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,250.57 0.00% 0.9710 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,250.57 Tue May 31 2022 -5,098.47 0.00 0.00 152.10 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 150.96 0.00 0.00 150.96 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 594.98 0.00% 0.7507 0.00 1.00 0.00 594.98 Sat Jan 14 2023 -446.65 0.00 0.00 148.33 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.9265 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 -1,853.07 0.00 0.00 146.93 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,250.46 0.00% 0.9552 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,250.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 -3,104.80 0.00 0.00 145.66 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 1,700.01 0.00% 0.9151 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,700.01 Wed Mar 15 2023 -1,555.74 0.00 0.00 144.27 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 2,500.45 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.45 Fri Sep 30 2022 -2,356.22 0.00 0.00 144.23 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 144.00 0.00 0.00 144.00 Trades
Will Biden say "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8089 1.00 0.00 750.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -606.65 0.00 0.00 143.35 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,000.47 0.00% 0.8569 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.47 Sat Dec 31 2022 -857.26 0.00 0.00 143.21 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 143.02 0.00 0.00 143.02 Trades
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 20 2021 142.33 0.00 0.00 142.34 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $40m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 141.65 0.00 0.00 141.65 Trades
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 139.97 0.00 0.00 139.97 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 2,500.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9448 1.00 0.00 2,500.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,361.95 0.00 0.00 138.06 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 1,002.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8623 1.00 0.00 1,002.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 -864.07 0.00 0.00 137.93 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 137.14 0.00 0.00 137.14 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? Yes No 0.00 4,364.01 0.00% 0.9688 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,364.01 Fri Jun 30 2023 -4,227.90 0.00 0.00 136.10 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 136.00 0.00 0.00 136.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 132.09 0.00 0.00 132.09 Trades
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 0.9472 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -2,367.97 0.00 0.00 132.03 Trades
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 131.28 0.00 0.00 131.28 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 0.00 1,108.84 0.00% 0.8821 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,108.84 Sun Dec 31 2023 -978.10 0.00 0.00 130.74 Trades
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? USA China 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 129.79 0.00 0.00 129.79 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 129.38 0.00 0.00 129.38 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -125.00 0.00 0.00 125.00 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 125.00 0.00 0.00 125.00 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 124.99 0.00 0.00 124.99 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 1,750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9287 1.00 0.00 1,750.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -1,625.25 0.00 0.00 124.75 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.95 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.95 Sun Dec 31 2023 121.67 0.00 0.00 122.62 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 121.46 0.00 0.00 121.46 Trades
Will 'The Flash' gross over $100m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,498.10 0.00% 0.9732 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,498.10 Sun Jun 18 2023 -4,377.73 0.00 0.00 120.37 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 -880.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 1.00 0.00 300.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 -180.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? Yes No 0.00 2,750.29 0.00% 0.9565 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,750.29 Sat Jul 01 2023 -2,630.71 0.00 0.00 119.58 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,001.01 0.00% 0.8811 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,001.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -882.01 0.00 0.00 119.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,064.31 0.00% 0.8884 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,064.31 Sat Oct 02 2021 -945.53 0.00 0.00 118.79 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 118.75 0.00 0.00 118.76 Trades
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 21 2022 118.50 0.00 0.00 118.50 Trades
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 118.19 0.00 0.00 118.19 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 10,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9882 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -9,882.50 0.00 0.00 117.50 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 117.00 0.00 0.00 117.00 Trades
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.80 at noon on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 748.94 0.00% 0.8439 0.00 1.00 0.00 748.94 Sat Jan 01 2022 -632.00 0.00 0.00 116.94 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Olivia Rodrigo win Best New Artist? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 115.39 0.00 0.00 115.39 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 115.11 0.00 0.00 115.11 Trades
Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'? Yes No 1.93 0.00 0.00% -57.7971 1.00 0.00 1.93 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 111.36 0.00 0.00 113.29 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 1,500.36 0.00 0.00% 0.9257 1.00 0.00 1,500.36 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 -1,388.95 0.00 0.00 111.41 Trades
Will anyone say "Clinton" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.8419 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -589.35 0.00 0.00 110.65 Trades
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? Yes No 0.00 2,499.74 0.00% 0.9567 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,499.74 Sun Jul 31 2022 -2,391.50 0.00 0.00 108.24 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 750.00 0.00% 0.8567 0.00 1.00 0.00 750.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -642.50 0.00 0.00 107.50 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,301.20 0.00% 0.9179 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,301.20 Sun Nov 12 2023 -1,194.32 0.00 0.00 106.88 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 104.45 0.00 0.00 104.45 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 103.63 0.00 0.00 103.63 Trades
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 102.00 0.00 0.00 102.00 Trades
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 102.00 0.00 0.00 102.00 Trades
Will the Drake AI song still be available on Youtube on Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 21 2023 101.00 0.00 0.00 101.00 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 230.62 0.00% 0.5635 0.00 1.00 0.00 230.62 Sun Jan 14 2024 -129.95 0.00 0.00 100.67 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,000.08 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.08 Sat Dec 31 2022 -900.09 0.00 0.00 99.98 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,500.19 0.00% 0.9601 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.19 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2,400.50 0.00 0.00 99.70 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Jun 30 2023 99.48 0.00 0.00 99.49 Trades
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 99.00 0.00 0.00 99.00 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 98.85 0.00 0.00 98.85 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 30 2023 98.58 0.00 0.00 98.58 Trades
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $150 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 5,000.37 0.00% 0.9805 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.37 Mon Jun 13 2022 -4,902.75 0.00 0.00 97.62 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 94.84 0.00 0.00 94.84 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 93.13 0.00 0.00 93.13 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 0.00 10,986.00 0.00% 0.9915 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,986.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 -10,893.14 0.00 0.00 92.86 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 92.50 0.00 0.00 92.50 Trades
Will 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' gross over $8m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 808.19 0.00% 0.8861 0.00 1.00 0.00 808.19 Sun Aug 13 2023 -716.13 0.00 0.00 92.06 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 90.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 88.49 0.00 0.00 88.51 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 0.9648 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 -2,411.93 0.00 0.00 88.07 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,750.00 0.00% 0.9505 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,750.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,663.45 0.00 0.00 86.55 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 4,500.00 0.00% 0.9809 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,500.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -4,414.00 0.00 0.00 86.00 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 86.00 0.00 0.00 86.00 Trades
Will 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 02 2023 85.85 0.00 0.00 85.85 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Aug 31 2023 85.34 0.00 0.00 85.35 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 85.00 0.00 0.00 85.00 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? Yes No 0.00 665.25 0.00% 0.8760 0.00 1.00 0.00 665.25 Thu Feb 29 2024 -582.75 0.00 0.00 82.51 Trades
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,500.19 0.00% 0.9671 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.19 Thu Jun 30 2022 -2,418.00 0.00 0.00 82.19 Trades
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8382 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -419.10 0.00 0.00 80.90 Trades
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.8382 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -419.10 0.00 0.00 80.90 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,687.17 0.00% 0.9524 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,687.17 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,606.81 0.00 0.00 80.36 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 80.27 0.00 0.00 80.27 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 80.02 0.00 0.00 80.02 Trades
Did SBF launch BALD? Yes No 0.00 1,073.90 0.00% 0.9260 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,073.90 Tue Aug 15 2023 -994.41 0.00 0.00 79.49 Trades
Will 'PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie' gross over $16m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.68 0.00 0.00 78.68 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 78.06 0.00 0.00 78.06 Trades
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 30 2021 78.05 0.00 0.00 78.05 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7400 1.00 0.00 300.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -222.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9225 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -922.50 0.00 0.00 77.50 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 77.20 0.00 0.00 77.20 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,500.23 0.00% 0.9692 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.23 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2,423.32 0.00 0.00 76.91 Trades
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.6200 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 -124.00 0.00 0.00 76.00 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 31 2024 75.66 0.00 0.00 75.67 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 74.94 0.00 0.00 74.94 Trades
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 74.18 0.00 0.00 74.18 Trades
Will Playboi Carti release a new album before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 74.10 0.00 0.00 74.10 Trades
Will anyone say "GPT" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 74.00 0.00 0.00 74.00 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed May 31 2023 73.16 0.00 0.00 73.16 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 0.00 3,580.95 0.00% 0.9797 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,580.95 Mon Mar 13 2023 -3,508.37 0.00 0.00 72.58 Trades
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8550 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 -427.50 0.00 0.00 72.50 Trades
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.2770 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -27.70 0.00 0.00 72.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 71.62 0.00 0.00 71.63 Trades
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 15 2021 71.61 0.00 0.00 71.61 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 70.45 0.00 0.00 70.45 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,500.25 0.00% 0.9538 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.25 Thu Dec 15 2022 -1,431.00 0.00 0.00 69.25 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 68.52 0.00 0.00 68.52 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 1,740.00 0.00% 0.9611 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,740.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,672.40 0.00 0.00 67.60 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 258.50 0.00% 0.7390 0.00 1.00 0.00 258.50 Wed Dec 06 2023 -191.03 0.00 0.00 67.47 Trades
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9326 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -932.60 0.00 0.00 67.40 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 66.81 0.00 0.00 66.81 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 99.41 0.00% 0.3286 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.41 Sat Apr 30 2022 -32.67 0.00 0.00 66.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 66.05 0.00 0.00 66.05 Trades
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 7,132.15 0.00% 0.9908 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,132.15 Fri Jun 10 2022 -7,066.85 0.00 0.00 65.30 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,261.76 0.00% 0.9877 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,261.76 Tue May 31 2022 -5,197.00 0.00 0.00 64.76 Trades
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 64.74 0.00 0.00 64.74 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 1,313.53 0.00 0.00% 0.9516 1.00 0.00 1,313.53 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,250.00 0.00 0.00 63.53 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 308.10 0.00% 0.7962 0.00 1.00 0.00 308.10 Fri Aug 18 2023 -245.31 0.00 0.00 62.79 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 62.48 0.00 0.00 62.48 Trades
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,679.49 0.00% 0.9629 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,679.49 Tue Jan 11 2022 -1,617.20 0.00 0.00 62.30 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 61.67 0.00 0.00 61.67 Trades
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? Healthcare Workers
WHO
Joe Biden
Anthony Fauci
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Dec 13 2021 61.46 0.00 0.00 61.46 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 Wed Feb 28 2024 61.10 0.00 0.00 61.12 Trades
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.7967 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -239.00 0.00 0.00 61.00 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Jun 30 2023 60.65 0.00 0.00 60.66 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 346.29 0.00% 0.8256 0.00 1.00 0.00 346.29 Tue Nov 07 2023 -285.90 0.00 0.00 60.39 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -40.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 1,092.79 0.00 0.00% 0.9456 1.00 0.00 1,092.79 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -1,033.33 0.00 0.00 59.46 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6083 1.00 0.00 150.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 -91.25 0.00 0.00 58.75 Trades
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift Killers Taylor Swift 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 58.08 0.00 0.00 58.08 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 57.89 0.00 0.00 57.89 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9425 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 -942.50 0.00 0.00 57.50 Trades
Will Kane sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 57.17 0.00 0.00 57.17 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 595.73 0.00% 0.9051 0.00 1.00 0.00 595.73 Sun Dec 31 2023 -539.21 0.00 0.00 56.52 Trades
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -44.00 0.00 0.00 56.00 Trades
Will 'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' gross more than $150 million domestically on its 5-day opening? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 09 2023 55.79 0.00 0.00 55.79 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 55.50 0.00 0.00 55.50 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 55.17 0.00 0.00 55.17 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 1,000.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9450 1.00 0.00 1,000.01 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -945.00 0.00 0.00 55.01 Trades
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 55.01 0.00 0.00 55.01 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7800 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 -195.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 Trades
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 55.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 55.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 Trades
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 54.90 0.00 0.00 54.90 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 53.69 0.00 0.00 53.69 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 91.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4171 1.00 0.00 91.11 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -38.00 0.00 0.00 53.11 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? Yes No 556.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9047 1.00 0.00 556.25 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -503.25 0.00 0.00 53.00 Trades
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 1,500.00 0.00% 0.9650 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 -1,447.50 0.00 0.00 52.50 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.7900 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -197.50 0.00 0.00 52.50 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 -197.50 0.00 0.00 52.50 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 52.25 0.00 0.00 52.25 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 500.97 0.00 0.00% 0.8963 1.00 0.00 500.97 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 -449.00 0.00 0.00 51.97 Trades
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 27 2022 51.86 0.00 0.00 51.86 Trades
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 51.56 0.00 0.00 51.56 Trades
Will DeSantis say "Crypto" and/or "Cryptocurrency" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 51.50 0.00 0.00 51.50 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 51.40 0.00 0.00 51.40 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by October 14? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Oct 14 2023 50.42 0.00 0.00 50.43 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 50.27 0.00 0.00 50.27 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 0.00 759.72 0.00% 0.9341 0.00 1.00 0.00 759.72 Sun Dec 31 2023 -709.64 0.00 0.00 50.08 Trades
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -450.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -950.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 1,060.12 0.00% 0.9531 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,060.12 Tue Oct 31 2023 -1,010.36 0.00 0.00 49.76 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? Yes No 0.00 250.59 0.00% 0.8021 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.59 Fri Dec 31 2021 -201.00 0.00 0.00 49.59 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 48.89 0.00 0.00 48.89 Trades
Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 48.86 0.00 0.00 48.86 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 48.52 0.00 0.00 48.52 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 47.73 0.00 0.00 47.73 Trades
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 350.00 0.00% 0.8666 0.00 1.00 0.00 350.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -303.30 0.00 0.00 46.70 Trades
Will Stephen Curry win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 45.80 0.00 0.00 45.80 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? Yes No 0.00 799.19 0.00% 0.9430 0.00 1.00 0.00 799.19 Sun Dec 31 2023 -753.66 0.00 0.00 45.53 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,000.00 0.00% 0.9849 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,000.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -2,954.75 0.00 0.00 45.25 Trades
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 04 2023 45.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 44.99 0.00 0.00 44.99 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 44.99 0.00 0.00 44.99 Trades
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 44.92 0.00 0.00 44.92 Trades
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 44.22 0.00 0.00 44.22 Trades
Will Trump post on Threads by July 31? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.8567 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -257.00 0.00 0.00 43.00 Trades
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? Yes No 0.00 337.94 0.00% 0.8737 0.00 1.00 0.00 337.94 Sat Oct 14 2023 -295.25 0.00 0.00 42.69 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? Yes No 0.00 1,499.52 0.00% 0.9720 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,499.52 Sun Apr 30 2023 -1,457.54 0.00 0.00 41.98 Trades
Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? Venom 2 No Time to Die 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 11 2021 41.95 0.00 0.00 41.95 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 40.79 0.00 0.00 40.79 Trades
Will Aaron Judge get 62 or more home runs in the 2022 MLB regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 05 2022 40.37 0.00 0.00 40.37 Trades
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 40.20 0.00 0.00 40.20 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 38.92 0.00 0.00 38.92 Trades
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,249.72 0.00% 0.9690 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,249.72 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,210.95 0.00 0.00 38.77 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 248.97 0.00% 0.8460 0.00 1.00 0.00 248.97 Sun Dec 31 2023 -210.63 0.00 0.00 38.34 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 37.88 0.00 0.00 37.88 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9625 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 -962.50 0.00 0.00 37.50 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 37.50 0.00 0.00 37.50 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? $42,069 $69,420 1,269.32 0.00 0.00% 0.9706 1.00 0.00 1,269.32 0.00 Tue Jan 11 2022 -1,232.00 0.00 0.00 37.32 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 37.32 0.00 0.00 37.32 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 37.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 36.87 0.00 0.00 36.87 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 36.85 0.00 0.00 36.85 Trades
Will 'The Creator' gross over $17m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 36.75 0.00 0.00 36.75 Trades
Was @SECGov really hacked? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 36.74 0.00 0.00 36.75 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 36.44 0.00 0.00 36.44 Trades
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 20 2022 36.01 0.00 0.00 36.01 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 35.35 0.00 0.00 35.35 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 34.90 0.00 0.00 34.90 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 34.04 0.00 0.00 34.05 Trades
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 33.98 0.00 0.00 33.98 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 750.90 0.00% 0.9549 0.00 1.00 0.00 750.90 Wed Jun 01 2022 -717.00 0.00 0.00 33.90 Trades
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 1,499.61 0.00% 0.9776 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,499.61 Fri Sep 30 2022 -1,466.00 0.00 0.00 33.61 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 499.99 0.00% 0.9343 0.00 1.00 0.00 499.99 Sat Sep 30 2023 -467.14 0.00 0.00 32.84 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 32.77 0.00 0.00 32.77 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 250.04 0.00% 0.8718 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.04 Sun Jan 01 2023 -218.00 0.00 0.00 32.04 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 32.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 32.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 500.49 0.00 0.00% 0.9372 1.00 0.00 500.49 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -469.05 0.00 0.00 31.45 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9380 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 -468.98 0.00 0.00 31.02 Trades
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 31.00 0.00 0.00 31.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1,110.00 0.00% 0.9723 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,110.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -1,079.20 0.00 0.00 30.80 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 30.80 0.00 0.00 30.80 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 30.74 0.00 0.00 30.74 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 2,500.08 0.00 0.00% 0.9880 1.00 0.00 2,500.08 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,470.00 0.00 0.00 30.08 Trades
Will Derek Carr have the most passing yards in the 2021 NFL season on December 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 30.04 0.00 0.00 30.04 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 03 2023 30.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.7003 1.00 0.00 99.99 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -70.03 0.00 0.00 29.97 Trades
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 14 2023 29.90 0.00 0.00 29.90 Trades
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.60 at noon on January 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 11 2022 29.81 0.00 0.00 29.81 Trades
Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 29.70 0.00 0.00 29.70 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 487.20 0.00% 0.9392 0.00 1.00 0.00 487.20 Sun Mar 10 2024 -457.58 0.00 0.00 29.62 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 29.25 0.00 0.00 29.25 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 29.12 0.00 0.00 29.12 Trades
North Korea nuke by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 28.73 0.00 0.00 28.73 Trades
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? Yes No 0.00 2,700.00 0.00% 0.9894 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,700.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -2,671.50 0.00 0.00 28.50 Trades
Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 1,583.26 0.00% 0.9821 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,583.26 Sun Oct 31 2021 -1,555.00 0.00 0.00 28.26 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 27.50 0.00 0.00 27.50 Trades
Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 27.46 0.00 0.00 27.46 Trades
Will 'A Haunting in Venice' gross over $14m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 07 2023 27.01 0.00 0.00 27.01 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 26.64 0.00 0.00 26.64 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? Yes No 0.00 49.74 0.00% -0.5332 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 26.52 0.00 0.00 26.52 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 250.02 0.00 0.00% 0.8939 1.00 0.00 250.02 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -223.50 0.00 0.00 26.52 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.00 495.22 0.00% 0.9465 0.00 1.00 0.00 495.22 Sat Apr 30 2022 -468.72 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 26.38 0.00 0.00 26.38 Trades
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 95.91 0.00% 0.7269 0.00 1.00 0.00 95.91 Sun Dec 31 2023 -69.72 0.00 0.00 26.19 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 1,250.08 0.00 0.00% 0.9791 1.00 0.00 1,250.08 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -1,224.00 0.00 0.00 26.08 Trades
Utopia (Travis Scott) vs. Austin (Post Malone) 1st week sales Utopia Austin 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 03 2023 25.78 0.00 0.00 25.78 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 07 2021 25.76 0.00 0.00 25.76 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 25.52 0.00 0.00 25.52 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the ‘second week’ of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 25.36 0.00 0.00 25.36 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in November 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 155.33 0.00% 0.8369 0.00 1.00 0.00 155.33 Wed Dec 01 2021 -130.00 0.00 0.00 25.33 Trades
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 25.25 0.00 0.00 25.25 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.4952 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -24.76 0.00 0.00 25.24 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 25.24 0.00 0.00 25.24 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 25.20 0.00 0.00 25.20 Trades
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 25.15 0.00 0.00 25.15 Trades
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will LeBron announce his retirement by May 31? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Wed May 31 2023 -475.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.9950 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -4,975.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 -225.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 24.98 0.00 0.00 24.98 Trades
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? Yes No 498.58 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 498.58 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 -473.65 0.00 0.00 24.93 Trades
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 26 2021 24.76 0.00 0.00 24.76 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 24.58 0.00 0.00 24.58 Trades
Will $CRO (Crypto.com Coin) be above $1 on December 1? Yes No 0.00 551.95 0.00% 0.9559 0.00 1.00 0.00 551.95 Wed Dec 01 2021 -527.59 0.00 0.00 24.36 Trades
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 24.29 0.00 0.00 24.29 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 20 2022 23.86 0.00 0.00 23.86 Trades
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,100.76 0.00% 0.9784 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,100.76 Sun Jun 12 2022 -1,077.00 0.00 0.00 23.76 Trades
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 23.26 0.00 0.00 23.26 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 23.00 0.00 0.00 23.00 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,000.23 0.00% 0.9886 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,000.23 Tue Jan 31 2023 -1,977.38 0.00 0.00 22.85 Trades
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? Yes No 0.00 720.58 0.00% 0.9685 0.00 1.00 0.00 720.58 Sun Dec 31 2023 -697.87 0.00 0.00 22.71 Trades
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 22.50 0.00 0.00 22.50 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9552 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -477.62 0.00 0.00 22.38 Trades
Will Biden say "Putin" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8900 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -178.00 0.00 0.00 22.00 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 0.00 515.00 0.00% 0.9573 0.00 1.00 0.00 515.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -493.01 0.00 0.00 21.99 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 21.36 0.00 0.00 21.36 Trades
Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 20 2021 21.35 0.00 0.00 21.35 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9574 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -478.69 0.00 0.00 21.31 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 20.93 0.00 0.00 20.93 Trades
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? Yes No 0.00 499.69 0.00% 0.9586 0.00 1.00 0.00 499.69 Sat Jan 01 2022 -479.00 0.00 0.00 20.69 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,250.48 0.00% 0.9836 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.48 Sun Jul 31 2022 -1,230.00 0.00 0.00 20.48 Trades
Will Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 09 2023 20.33 0.00 0.00 20.33 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through June 30, 2023? Yes No 1.97 0.00 0.00% -9.1638 1.00 0.00 1.97 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 18.05 0.00 0.00 20.02 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 19.97 0.00 0.00 19.97 Trades
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 34.84 0.00% 0.4304 0.00 1.00 0.00 34.84 Mon Nov 27 2023 -14.99 0.00 0.00 19.84 Trades
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 19.66 0.00 0.00 19.66 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 19.37 0.00 0.00 19.38 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 19.10 0.00 0.00 19.10 Trades
Will Biden visit Hawaii by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 19.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2500 on May 20? Yes No 0.00 1,009.94 0.00% 0.9812 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,009.94 Fri May 20 2022 -991.00 0.00 0.00 18.94 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.8750 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -131.25 0.00 0.00 18.75 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 165.00 0.00% 0.8870 0.00 1.00 0.00 165.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -146.35 0.00 0.00 18.65 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Aug 04 2023 17.99 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9280 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 -232.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 17.83 0.00 0.00 17.83 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 17.79 0.00 0.00 17.79 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 23, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 23 2022 17.69 0.00 0.00 17.69 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -232.50 0.00 0.00 17.50 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9304 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -232.60 0.00 0.00 17.40 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 17.31 0.00 0.00 17.31 Trades
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 16.99 0.00 0.00 16.99 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 16.97 0.00 0.00 16.97 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 16.77 0.00 0.00 16.77 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in March? Yes No 0.00 499.97 0.00% 0.9668 0.00 1.00 0.00 499.97 Fri Mar 31 2023 -483.35 0.00 0.00 16.62 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 16.46 0.00 0.00 16.46 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 124.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8726 1.00 0.00 124.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 -108.20 0.00 0.00 15.80 Trades
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 15.80 0.00 0.00 15.80 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9844 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -984.37 0.00 0.00 15.63 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 15.56 0.00 0.00 15.56 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 15.50 0.00 0.00 15.50 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 15.43 0.00 0.00 15.43 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 15.18 0.00 0.00 15.18 Trades
Will $USDC depeg by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 15.15 0.00 0.00 15.15 Trades
Will 'Smile' gross more than $17 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 15.12 0.00 0.00 15.12 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 15.06 0.00 0.00 15.06 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.01 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 1,500.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 -1,485.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? Yes No 0.00 350.10 0.00% 0.9577 0.00 1.00 0.00 350.10 Sun Apr 30 2023 -335.27 0.00 0.00 14.83 Trades
Will Declan Rice sign for Arsenal? Yes No 0.37 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.37 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 14.09 0.00 0.00 14.46 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.01 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 14.45 0.00 0.00 14.45 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 258.43 0.00% 0.9452 0.00 1.00 0.00 258.43 Thu Aug 31 2023 -244.26 0.00 0.00 14.17 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 13.89 0.00 0.00 13.89 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 13.82 0.00 0.00 13.82 Trades
Zvbear arrested before February? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.9887 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,186.40 0.00 0.00 13.60 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 13.39 0.00 0.00 13.39 Trades
Will Olivia Jade and Val Chmerkovskiy Win Season 30 of Dancing with the Stars? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 13.24 0.00 0.00 13.24 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 263.12 0.00% 0.9501 0.00 1.00 0.00 263.12 Tue Dec 07 2021 -250.00 0.00 0.00 13.12 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,000.45 0.00% 0.9870 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.45 Sun Jul 31 2022 -987.39 0.00 0.00 13.05 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 12.98 0.00 0.00 12.98 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by June 30? Yes No 0.00 127.78 0.00% 0.8984 0.00 1.00 0.00 127.78 Fri Jun 30 2023 -114.80 0.00 0.00 12.98 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 12.73 0.00 0.00 12.73 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 12.70 0.00 0.00 12.70 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 12.50 0.00 0.00 12.50 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 12.28 0.00 0.00 12.28 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 12.10 0.00 0.00 12.10 Trades
Will @Snowden tweet again by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 11.65 0.00 0.00 11.65 Trades
MH370 black box found by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 11.27 0.00 0.00 11.27 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 250.01 0.00% 0.9560 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 -239.02 0.00 0.00 10.99 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 129.45 0.00 0.00% 0.9155 1.00 0.00 129.45 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 -118.52 0.00 0.00 10.93 Trades
Golf: Will Tiger Woods win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 10.87 0.00 0.00 10.87 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 762.07 0.00% 0.9859 0.00 1.00 0.00 762.07 Sun Jun 30 2024 -751.31 0.00 0.00 10.76 Trades
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 10.72 0.00 0.00 10.72 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9790 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -489.50 0.00 0.00 10.50 Trades
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? Yes No 0.00 90.00 0.00% 0.8839 0.00 1.00 0.00 90.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -79.55 0.00 0.00 10.45 Trades
Will 'Lightyear' gross more than $90 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 10.41 0.00 0.00 10.41 Trades
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 10.17 0.00 0.00 10.17 Trades
Will Frank Ocean play Coachella Weekend 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 23 2023 10.03 0.00 0.00 10.03 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -240.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Trump win North Carolina Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? Yes No 0.00 285.71 0.00% 0.9650 0.00 1.00 0.00 285.71 Sun Dec 31 2023 -275.71 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 9.55 0.00 0.00 9.55 Trades
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 9.50 0.00 0.00 9.50 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9640 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 -241.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 8.92 0.00 0.00 8.92 Trades
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 8.65 0.00 0.00 8.65 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 8.63 0.00 0.00 8.64 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 8.59 0.00 0.00 8.59 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 8.50 0.00 0.00 8.50 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 8.44 0.00 0.00 8.44 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 1,435.64 0.00 0.00% 0.9942 1.00 0.00 1,435.64 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -1,427.35 0.00 0.00 8.29 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 27 2023 8.25 0.00 0.00 8.25 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9590 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -191.80 0.00 0.00 8.20 Trades
Is Obama queer? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 8.16 0.00 0.00 8.16 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9230 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 -92.30 0.00 0.00 7.70 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 7.66 0.00 0.00 7.66 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 7.51 0.00 0.00 7.51 Trades
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? Yes No 1,241.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9942 1.00 0.00 1,241.98 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -1,234.75 0.00 0.00 7.23 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 7.22 0.00 0.00 7.22 Trades
Will 'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' gross more than $100 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9883 1.00 0.00 600.00 0.00 Sun Apr 09 2023 -593.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 6.75 0.00 0.00 6.75 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 249.99 0.00% 0.9730 0.00 1.00 0.00 249.99 Sat Dec 31 2022 -243.25 0.00 0.00 6.74 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 6.50 0.00 0.00 6.50 Trades
Will Trump win Maine Republican Primary? Yes No 6,100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9989 1.00 0.00 6,100.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -6,093.50 0.00 0.00 6.50 Trades
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 6.41 0.00 0.00 6.41 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 6.41 0.00 0.00 6.41 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 0.00 1,250.40 0.00% 0.9949 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.40 Tue May 24 2022 -1,244.00 0.00 0.00 6.40 Trades
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 6.33 0.00 0.00 6.33 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 488.75 0.00% 0.9876 0.00 1.00 0.00 488.75 Sun Mar 31 2024 -482.68 0.00 0.00 6.07 Trades
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 6.05 0.00 0.00 6.05 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 524.37 0.00% 0.9886 0.00 1.00 0.00 524.37 Sun Jun 30 2024 -518.38 0.00 0.00 5.99 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 5.88 0.00 0.00 5.88 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 5.76 0.00 0.00 5.76 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 598.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9904 1.00 0.00 598.31 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -592.56 0.00 0.00 5.75 Trades
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? Yes No 99.18 0.00 0.00% 0.9427 1.00 0.00 99.18 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -93.50 0.00 0.00 5.68 Trades
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5.64 0.00 0.00 5.64 Trades
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? Yes No 0.00 101.15 0.00% 0.9445 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.15 Sun Dec 31 2023 -95.54 0.00 0.00 5.61 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 5.58 0.00 0.00 5.58 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -19.50 0.00 0.00 5.50 Trades
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? Yes No 0.00 505.42 0.00% 0.9893 0.00 1.00 0.00 505.42 Wed Jun 01 2022 -500.00 0.00 0.00 5.42 Trades
Will Taylor Swift’s re-recording of her album “Red” beat Kanye's "Donda" in first week streams? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 5.35 0.00 0.00 5.35 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Aug 31 2023 5.28 0.00 0.00 5.28 Trades
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 01 2020 5.13 0.00 0.00 5.13 Trades
Will Bob Iger remain CEO of Disney through September? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 5.09 0.00 0.00 5.10 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers be Traded by NFL week 1? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Thu Sep 07 2023 -245.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? Biden DeSantis 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -95.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -495.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 04 2023 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Wagner take Moscow by Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 27 2023 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9750 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -195.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Trump say "huge" ten or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 71.43 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 71.43 Tue May 09 2023 -66.43 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 71.43 0.00 0.00% 0.9300 1.00 0.00 71.43 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -66.43 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 4.50 0.00 0.00 4.50 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 4.44 0.00 0.00 4.44 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? Yes No 0.00 280.86 0.00% 0.9846 0.00 1.00 0.00 280.86 Sun Aug 01 2021 -276.54 0.00 0.00 4.33 Trades
SBF jail by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 4.30 0.00 0.00 4.30 Trades
Will 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' gross more than $18 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 4.23 0.00 0.00 4.23 Trades
Will the price of $BTC be above $53,000 on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 4.21 0.00 0.00 4.21 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 4.20 0.00 0.00 4.20 Trades
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 4.20 0.00 0.00 4.20 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 4.19 0.00 0.00 4.19 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in July 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 4.16 0.00 0.00 4.16 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 4.15 0.00 0.00 4.15 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9840 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 -246.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.00 331.39 0.00% 0.9879 0.00 1.00 0.00 331.39 Tue Nov 08 2022 -327.39 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will a world leader shit themselves before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 3.76 0.00 0.00 3.76 Trades
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 318.95 0.00% 0.9884 0.00 1.00 0.00 318.95 Thu Feb 02 2023 -315.26 0.00 0.00 3.69 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 3.51 0.00 0.00 3.51 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 67.89 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 67.89 Wed Nov 01 2023 -64.50 0.00 0.00 3.39 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ again by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 3.26 0.00 0.00 3.26 Trades
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 -97.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 300.00 0.00 Mon Mar 06 2023 -297.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Tue May 09 2023 -97.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 2.93 0.00 0.00 2.93 Trades
Will Trump mention DeSantis more than Biden during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 20.00 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.00 Tue May 09 2023 -17.20 0.00 0.00 2.80 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 99.24 0.00% 0.9724 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.24 Sun Dec 31 2023 -96.50 0.00 0.00 2.74 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 2.70 0.00 0.00 2.70 Trades
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 109.07 0.00% 0.9771 0.00 1.00 0.00 109.07 Thu Sep 30 2021 -106.57 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any games by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 2.47 0.00 0.00 2.47 Trades
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 2.23 0.00 0.00 2.23 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? Democrats Republicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 2.22 0.00 0.00 2.22 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 2.08 0.00 0.00 2.08 Trades
Will Jamie Dimon announce he is running for president by July 31? Yes No 0.00 105.05 0.00% 0.9805 0.00 1.00 0.00 105.05 Mon Jul 31 2023 -103.00 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 33.44 0.00% 0.9391 0.00 1.00 0.00 33.44 Mon Mar 13 2023 -31.40 0.00 0.00 2.04 Trades
Will Trump win Alabama Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 -98.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 1.93 0.00 0.00 1.93 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on December 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? Cardano Solana 0.00 101.90 0.00% 0.9814 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.90 Thu Dec 09 2021 -100.00 0.00 0.00 1.90 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 1.88 0.00 0.00 1.88 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in March? Yes No 1,849.96 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 1,849.96 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -1,848.11 0.00 0.00 1.85 Trades
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed May 31 2023 1.79 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 275.00 0.00% 0.9938 0.00 1.00 0.00 275.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -273.30 0.00 0.00 1.70 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 0.00 41.90 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.90 Sun Dec 31 2023 -40.22 0.00 0.00 1.68 Trades
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 1.57 0.00 0.00 1.57 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 1.54 0.00 0.00 1.54 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by April 30? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 -98.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 1.42 0.00 0.00 1.42 Trades
Will $UST be above $0.50 on May 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 1.33 0.00 0.00 1.33 Trades
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? Yes No 18.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9300 1.00 0.00 18.35 0.00 Fri Apr 21 2023 -17.07 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 1.22 0.00 0.00 1.22 Trades
Meghan Markle & Prince Harry split by July 31? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9233 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -13.85 0.00 0.00 1.15 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 4? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Apr 02 2023 -99.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will MEXC become insolvent by July 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 03 2023 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -99.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? Yes No 0.00 2.50 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.50 Wed Aug 23 2023 -1.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 3.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 3.33 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -2.33 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 33.33 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 33.33 Wed Nov 01 2023 -32.33 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.86 Trades
Will 'Jurassic World Dominion' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 14 2022 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 80.00 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 -79.20 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.72 Trades
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin in 2023? Yes No 0.00 30.00 0.00% 0.9760 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -29.28 0.00 0.00 0.72 Trades
Will 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 70.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 70.00 0.00 Sun Apr 02 2023 -69.30 0.00 0.00 0.70 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.69 Trades
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? Yes No 0.00 3.72 0.00% 0.8245 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.72 Sun Dec 31 2023 -3.07 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 14.29 0.00% 0.9650 0.00 1.00 0.00 14.29 Thu Nov 30 2023 -13.79 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9959 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 -99.59 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 0.9999 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -2,499.72 0.00 0.00 0.28 Trades
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 26 2021 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.26 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.23 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will the Suns or Clippers win the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 26 2002 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.13 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will Trump have a Blue checkmark on April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 7.76 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.76 Wed Jul 12 2023 -7.68 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 19 2022 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
WorldCoin Market cap (FDV) over $10b one week after launch? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -0.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? Yes No 0.00 0.80 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.80 Mon Jul 31 2023 -0.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 08 2024 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Is the Earth flat? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
US/Iran declare war before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Is Vivek Ramaswamy GCR? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Sep 30 2023 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.78 Trades
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Boeing whistleblower foul play determined in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -1.25 0.00 0.00 -1.25 Trades
Will anyone say "Obama" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 9.99 0.00 0.00% 1.1501 1.00 0.00 9.99 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -11.49 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Ja Morant win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -1.83 0.00 0.00 -1.83 Trades
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 -2.13 0.00 0.00 -2.13 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 -2.37 0.00 0.00 -2.36 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 -2.49 0.00 0.00 -2.39 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2.90 0.00 0.00 -2.90 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 -3.14 0.00 0.00 -3.13 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 -3.32 0.00 0.00 -3.32 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 -3.47 0.00 0.00 -3.47 Trades
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -3.48 0.00 0.00 -3.48 Trades
Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 -4.68 0.00 0.00 -4.68 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -4.75 0.00 0.00 -4.75 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.43 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.43 Sat Jan 02 2021 -5.69 0.00 0.00 -5.26 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 565.35 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -5.65 0.00 0.00 -5.65 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -6.40 0.00 0.00 -6.40 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -6.71 0.00 0.00 -6.71 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 2,810.20 0.00 0.00% 0.0030 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 -8.42 0.00 0.00 -8.42 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -9.50 0.00 0.00 -9.50 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -9.83 0.00 0.00 -9.83 Trades
Will Trump complete his first term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 -11.09 0.00 0.00 -11.09 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 -11.19 0.00 0.00 -11.19 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -11.24 0.00 0.00 -11.24 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 0.00 5.51 0.00% 3.1422 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.51 Sun Mar 31 2024 -17.30 0.00 0.00 -11.79 Trades
What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading? Long Short 0.00 0.62 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -12.31 0.00 0.00 -12.31 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -13.16 0.00 0.00 -13.16 Trades
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 -13.60 0.00 0.00 -13.60 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -13.72 0.00 0.00 -13.72 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 -16.17 0.00 0.00 -16.17 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 -16.53 0.00 0.00 -16.53 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 -17.54 0.00 0.00 -17.54 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Apr 01 2024 -17.92 0.00 0.00 -17.91 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -19.50 0.00 0.00 -19.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -21.45 0.00 0.00 -21.45 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 -30.32 0.00 0.00 -30.32 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? Yes No 305.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1034 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -31.55 0.00 0.00 -31.55 Trades
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 -34.10 0.00 0.00 -34.10 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -34.33 0.00 0.00 -34.33 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 -37.70 0.00 0.00 -37.70 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -38.62 0.00 0.00 -38.62 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 -40.50 0.00 0.00 -40.50 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 -40.79 0.00 0.00 -40.79 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -40.81 0.00 0.00 -40.81 Trades
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -42.20 0.00 0.00 -42.20 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 -43.91 0.00 0.00 -43.91 Trades
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,187.50 0.00% 1.0371 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,187.50 Sat Jan 14 2023 -1,231.50 0.00 0.00 -44.00 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 19 2022 -44.81 0.00 0.00 -44.81 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 7,499.75 0.00% 1.0060 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,499.75 Fri Jul 01 2022 -7,545.02 0.00 0.00 -45.27 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 -46.60 0.00 0.00 -46.60 Trades
Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 -46.63 0.00 0.00 -46.63 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 2,500.00 0.00 0.00% 1.0192 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -2,548.04 0.00 0.00 -48.04 Trades
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 -49.14 0.00 0.00 -49.14 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -51.05 0.00 0.00 -51.05 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -53.97 0.00 0.00 -53.96 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -55.00 0.00 0.00 -55.00 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 -56.63 0.00 0.00 -56.63 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -60.80 0.00 0.00 -60.80 Trades
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 -61.00 0.00 0.00 -61.00 Trades
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -61.44 0.00 0.00 -61.44 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -62.50 0.00 0.00 -62.50 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -63.80 0.00 0.00 -63.80 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 1.2583 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 -314.59 0.00 0.00 -64.59 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 -64.73 0.00 0.00 -64.73 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -67.00 0.00 0.00 -67.00 Trades
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 115.00 0.00% 0.5839 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -67.15 0.00 0.00 -67.15 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 1,030.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0659 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -67.89 0.00 0.00 -67.89 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 -68.38 0.00 0.00 -68.38 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 -71.64 0.00 0.00 -71.64 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -74.81 0.00 0.00 -74.81 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -75.23 0.00 0.00 -75.22 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -75.82 0.00 0.00 -75.82 Trades
Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.06 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 02 2020 -76.33 0.00 0.00 -76.33 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 1.8085 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -180.85 0.00 0.00 -80.85 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0817 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -81.66 0.00 0.00 -81.66 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 -82.61 0.00 0.00 -82.61 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Heat Celtics 0.00 99.54 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 -82.62 0.00 0.00 -82.62 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -83.90 0.00 0.00 -83.90 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 3,500.00 0.00% 0.0257 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? Yes No 0.00 2,249.83 0.00% 1.0414 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,249.83 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2,342.88 0.00 0.00 -93.05 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -93.16 0.00 0.00 -93.16 Trades
Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? Space Jam Black Widow 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 -97.52 0.00 0.00 -97.52 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -97.55 0.00 0.00 -97.55 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.1959 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -97.95 0.00 0.00 -97.95 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 1.0992 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -1,099.22 0.00 0.00 -99.22 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 2,999.99 0.00 0.00% 1.0332 1.00 0.00 2,999.99 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -3,099.45 0.00 0.00 -99.45 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 117.69 0.00% 0.8497 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 11 2023 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 29 2023 -100.60 0.00 0.00 -100.60 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.1026 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 -102.64 0.00 0.00 -102.64 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 1,015.00 0.00% 0.1039 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 -105.43 0.00 0.00 -105.43 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -107.46 0.00 0.00 -107.46 Trades
Will the US soldier be released from North Korea by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 -107.52 0.00 0.00 -107.52 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -111.17 0.00 0.00 -111.17 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -112.50 0.00 0.00 -112.50 Trades
Will 'Meg 2: The Trench' gross over $23.5m on opening weekend? Yes No 800.98 0.00 0.00% 1.1424 1.00 0.00 800.98 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 -915.06 0.00 0.00 -114.08 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 -114.45 0.00 0.00 -114.45 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -119.17 0.00 0.00 -119.17 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -124.65 0.00 0.00 -124.65 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -137.35 0.00 0.00 -137.35 Trades
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.5760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -144.00 0.00 0.00 -144.00 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 1.0292 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -5,145.87 0.00 0.00 -145.87 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 1,000.24 0.00 0.00% 1.1474 1.00 0.00 1,000.24 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 -1,147.65 0.00 0.00 -147.41 Trades
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? Yes No 0.00 125.89 0.00% 1.2276 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 07 2023 -154.55 0.00 0.00 -154.55 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -158.82 0.00 0.00 -158.82 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -159.21 0.00 0.00 -159.21 Trades
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? Yes No 0.00 249.39 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 -167.09 0.00 0.00 -167.09 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -184.85 0.00 0.00 -184.85 Trades
Will 'Saw X' gross over $21m opening weekend? Yes No 167.48 0.00 0.00% 1.1061 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 -185.24 0.00 0.00 -185.24 Trades
Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -185.97 0.00 0.00 -185.97 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,500.00 0.00% 1.0573 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,500.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -3,700.61 0.00 0.00 -200.61 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.8100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -202.50 0.00 0.00 -202.50 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 -209.49 0.00 0.00 -209.49 Trades
Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 -223.37 0.00 0.00 -223.37 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 1.0968 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,500.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -2,742.00 0.00 0.00 -242.00 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 4.2573 0.00 1.00 0.00 75.00 Thu Aug 03 2023 -319.30 0.00 0.00 -244.30 Trades
Will “meta” be included in Facebook’s new name? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 -248.92 0.00 0.00 -248.92 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 500.01 0.00 0.00% 0.5226 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 -261.33 0.00 0.00 -261.33 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 495.07 0.00 0.00% 0.5311 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -262.91 0.00 0.00 -262.91 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 1.1827 1.00 0.00 1,500.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -1,774.10 0.00 0.00 -274.10 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 Sat Feb 24 2024 -274.75 0.00 0.00 -274.72 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -276.91 0.00 0.00 -276.91 Trades
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -280.32 0.00 0.00 -280.32 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 -281.27 0.00 0.00 -281.27 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5706 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 -285.33 0.00 0.00 -285.33 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.18 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -300.58 0.00 0.00 -300.58 Trades
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? Yes No 0.00 419.24 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -314.43 0.00 0.00 -314.43 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 0.1290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -322.50 0.00 0.00 -322.50 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 3,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0921 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -322.51 0.00 0.00 -322.51 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -325.78 0.00 0.00 -325.78 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 805.00 0.00% 0.4101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -330.15 0.00 0.00 -330.15 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 -334.65 0.00 0.00 -334.65 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -334.81 0.00 0.00 -334.81 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -339.84 0.00 0.00 -339.84 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 577.48 0.00 0.00% 0.5992 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -346.03 0.00 0.00 -346.03 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.6992 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -349.59 0.00 0.00 -349.59 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -350.00 0.00 0.00 -350.00 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 512.82 0.00% 0.7087 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -363.42 0.00 0.00 -363.42 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 -368.13 0.00 0.00 -368.13 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 0.00 316.30 0.00% 1.1991 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -379.27 0.00 0.00 -379.27 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 550.00 0.00% 0.7134 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -392.35 0.00 0.00 -392.35 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -407.95 0.00 0.00 -407.95 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 -408.93 0.00 0.00 -408.93 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 -410.26 0.00 0.00 -410.26 Trades
Rollbit rug by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -411.26 0.00 0.00 -411.26 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2793 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -419.00 0.00 0.00 -419.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 -430.57 0.00 0.00 -430.57 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 499.77 0.00% 0.8764 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -438.00 0.00 0.00 -438.00 Trades
Will any 15 or 16 seeds win in the first round in 2023 March Madness? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -454.64 0.00 0.00 -454.64 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -475.83 0.00 0.00 -475.83 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -485.97 0.00 0.00 -485.97 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 1,267.77 0.00% 0.4181 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 -530.00 0.00 0.00 -530.00 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 -539.28 0.00 0.00 -539.28 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 110.00 0.00% 5.1594 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 23 2023 -567.53 0.00 0.00 -567.53 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? Yes No 0.00 9.05 0.00% 72.6297 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.05 Sun Aug 13 2023 -657.30 0.00 0.00 -648.25 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? Yes No 0.00 750.00 0.00% 0.8907 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 -668.00 0.00 0.00 -668.00 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 6.30 0.00% 126.9357 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -799.45 0.00 0.00 -799.45 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -821.77 0.00 0.00 -821.77 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.8450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -845.00 0.00 0.00 -845.00 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 -882.32 0.00 0.00 -882.32 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 -907.14 0.00 0.00 -907.14 Trades
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 957.42 0.00 0.00% 1.9675 1.00 0.00 957.42 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 -1,883.72 0.00 0.00 -926.30 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 6,638.76 0.00% 1.1434 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,638.76 Mon Mar 04 2024 -7,590.98 0.00 0.00 -952.22 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? Yes No 1,675.98 0.00 0.00% 0.5705 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 03 2023 -956.19 0.00 0.00 -956.19 Trades
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 2,221.75 0.00% 0.4689 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -1,041.88 0.00 0.00 -1,041.88 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.8597 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -1,074.62 0.00 0.00 -1,074.62 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 -1,100.50 0.00 0.00 -1,100.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 1,295.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8782 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,137.30 0.00 0.00 -1,137.30 Trades
2022 NBA Draft: Will Jabari Smith Jr. be the #1 Pick? Yes No 1,500.20 0.00 0.00% 0.7802 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 23 2022 -1,170.50 0.00 0.00 -1,170.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 -1,350.00 0.00 0.00 -1,350.00 Trades
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 -1,521.65 0.00 0.00 -1,521.65 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 2,769.04 0.00% 0.5775 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -1,599.13 0.00 0.00 -1,599.13 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 -1,936.09 0.00 0.00 -1,936.09 Trades
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 -2,091.22 0.00 0.00 -2,091.22 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 1,953.00 0.00% 1.1137 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -2,175.14 0.00 0.00 -2,175.14 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 2,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9181 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 -2,295.17 0.00 0.00 -2,295.17 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2,611.23 0.00 0.00 -2,611.23 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -3,835.72 0.00 0.00 -3,835.72 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -4,595.12 0.00 0.00 -4,595.12 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -7,468.94 0.00 0.00 -7,468.94 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 10,000.87 0.00 0.00% 0.7950 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7,950.96 0.00 0.00 -7,950.96 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -8,234.49 0.00 0.00 -8,234.49 Trades
Resolved 146,114.51 444,717.84 -237,950.08 0.00 0.00 352,882.28
Unresolved 12,443.83 15.96 -38,597.00 0.00 0.00 -26,137.22
Total 158,558.35 444,733.80 -276,547.08 0.00 0.00 326,745.06