Account
0x62d2bcd198bb6eab8b7eeb9d2061815dc02b9eb7 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 1,479.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,479.91 | Trades | |||
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 951.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 951.60 | Trades | |||
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 810.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 810.36 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.87 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 423.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 423.10 | Trades | |||
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? | Democrats | Republicans | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | 355.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 355.90 | Trades | |||
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 410.00 | 0.00% | -0.3298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | 135.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.21 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | 54.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.40 | Trades | |||
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? | Netanyahu | Sinwar | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 31 2024 | 30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.00 | Trades | |||
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | 28.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.39 | Trades | |||
Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | 28.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.00 | Trades | |||
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | 19.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.05 | Trades | |||
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | -0.0451 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | 9.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.02 | Trades | ||
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | 6.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.37 | Trades | |||
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 14.91 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -14.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 | Trades | ||
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.78 | Trades | |||
Russian nuke in space in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -29.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.00 | Trades | |||
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -32.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.55 | Trades | |||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 92.80 | 0.00% | 0.8477 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -78.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -78.67 | Trades | ||
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -198.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -198.00 | Trades | |||
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5900 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 06 2024 | -295.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -295.00 | Trades | ||
Unknown | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 169.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 169.00 | Trades | ||||
Unknown | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||||
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 2,775.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7135 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 2,205.14 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -1,980.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 224.55 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 98.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.90 | Trades | |||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 25.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.09 | Trades | |||
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 17.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.80 | Trades | |||
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 17.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.40 | Trades | |||
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 16.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.16 | Trades | |||
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 14.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.49 | Trades | |||
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 11.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.70 | Trades | |||
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 6.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.36 | Trades | |||
Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 5.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.91 | Trades | |||
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 5.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.17 | Trades | |||
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 4.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | |||
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.99 | 0.00% | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.97 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.84 | Trades | |||
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? | Yes | No | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5830 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 750.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -874.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -124.49 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? | Yes | No | 253.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9176 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -232.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -232.65 | Trades | ||
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -267.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -267.09 | Trades | |||
House control after 2024 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00% | 0.8213 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -328.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -328.50 | Trades | ||
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 2.1744 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -434.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -434.87 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -473.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -473.92 | Trades | |||
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9607 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 29 2024 | -480.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -480.35 | Trades | ||
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00% | 1.2561 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -502.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -502.45 | Trades | ||
Trump jail before election day? | Yes | No | 2,030.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2939 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -596.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -596.84 | Trades | ||
Doge ETF approved in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 700.00 | 0.00% | 0.9202 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -644.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -644.14 | Trades | ||
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 882.12 | 0.00% | 0.8730 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 09 2024 | -770.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -770.07 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.8598 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -859.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -859.84 | Trades | ||
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? | Yes | No | 1,263.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8605 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -1,087.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,087.04 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,233.01 | 0.00% | 0.9085 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -1,120.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,120.13 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 20,003.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5378 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 9,488.68 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -10,758.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,269.79 | Trades | ||
Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,698.21 | 0.00% | 1.0683 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -1,814.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,814.17 | Trades | ||
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,700.00 | 0.00% | 0.9514 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -2,568.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,568.65 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,830.07 | 0.00% | 0.6133 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -2,962.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,962.19 | Trades | ||
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? | Yes | No | 4,159.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7133 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -2,966.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,966.76 | Trades | ||
Will Bronny James be drafted? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,000.26 | 0.00% | 0.8251 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 27 2024 | -3,300.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,300.66 | Trades | ||
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | No | 3,452.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0058 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 22 2024 | -3,472.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,472.60 | Trades | ||
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,961.51 | 0.00% | 0.7011 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -4,179.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,179.83 | Trades | ||
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | ✅ | 24,231.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24,231.46 | Trades | ||
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 05 2023 | ✅ | 20,359.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20,359.68 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 19,510.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19,510.71 | Trades | ||
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | ✅ | 15,946.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15,946.56 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 01 2023 | ✅ | 15,360.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15,360.34 | Trades | ||
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 13,850.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13,850.92 | Trades | ||
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 13,437.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13,437.04 | Trades | ||
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 10,177.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10,177.05 | Trades | ||
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | 9,654.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9,654.93 | Trades | ||
SBF reduced sentence because autism? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 28 2024 | ✅ | 8,538.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,538.27 | Trades | ||
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 20 2024 | ✅ | 8,499.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,499.77 | Trades | ||
Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | ✅ | 6,915.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,915.40 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win Georgia Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 12 2024 | ✅ | 6,739.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,739.44 | Trades | ||
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 13 2023 | ✅ | 6,643.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,643.38 | Trades | ||
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | ✅ | 6,136.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,136.40 | Trades | ||
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 5,691.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,691.39 | Trades | |||
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 5,608.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,608.74 | Trades | ||
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | ✅ | 5,595.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,595.09 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 5,571.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,571.83 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | 5,527.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,527.60 | Trades | ||
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $16 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | ✅ | 5,403.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,403.51 | Trades | ||
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | ✅ | 5,397.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,397.50 | Trades | ||
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 16 2023 | ✅ | 5,127.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,127.76 | Trades | ||
Will Nikola Jokić win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | 5,079.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,079.23 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 5,030.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,030.76 | Trades | ||
Will Biden win Georgia Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 12 2024 | ✅ | 5,005.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,005.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 29 2023 | ✅ | 4,954.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,954.63 | Trades | ||
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | ✅ | 4,898.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,898.91 | Trades | ||
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 3,981.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,981.86 | Trades | ||
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | ✅ | 3,916.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,916.71 | Trades | ||
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 3,867.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,867.59 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 3,842.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,842.86 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | 3,755.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,755.96 | Trades | ||
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 15 2024 | ✅ | 3,743.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,743.05 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | ✅ | 3,430.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,430.10 | Trades | ||
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 22 2023 | ✅ | 3,287.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,287.00 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 3,228.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,228.88 | Trades | ||
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | 2,996.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,996.94 | Trades | ||
Will 'Joy Ride' gross more than $13.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | ✅ | 2,922.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,922.68 | Trades | ||
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 29 2023 | ✅ | 2,843.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,843.85 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? | Barbie | Oppenheimer | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | 2,730.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,730.60 | Trades | ||
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 2,710.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,710.80 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | 2,685.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,685.98 | Trades | ||
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 12 2023 | ✅ | 2,622.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,622.42 | Trades | ||
Will EthCC be postponed? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 17 2023 | ✅ | 2,438.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,438.16 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 21 2023 | ✅ | 2,298.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,298.72 | Trades | ||
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $70m on its 3-day open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 17 2023 | ✅ | 2,222.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,222.37 | Trades | ||
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? | Police | Nahel | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 07 2023 | ✅ | 2,071.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,071.77 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | 1,947.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,947.77 | Trades | ||
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 19 2023 | ✅ | 1,899.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,899.68 | Trades | ||
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 10 2024 | ✅ | 1,826.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,826.68 | Trades | ||
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? | Yu-ih | Wen-je | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | ✅ | 1,770.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,771.00 | Trades | ||
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | 1,745.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,745.35 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 1,702.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,702.77 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? | Barbie | Oppenheimer | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | 1,647.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,647.28 | Trades | ||
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Lady Gaga's and Tony Bennet's "I Get a Kick Out of You" win Record of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8,171.68 | 0.00% | 0.8056 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8,171.68 | Sun Apr 03 2022 | ✅ | -6,582.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,588.73 | Trades | |
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | ✅ | 1,532.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,532.35 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 30 2023 | ✅ | 1,490.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,490.09 | Trades | ||
Will Joel Embiid win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 29,445.72 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 29,445.72 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | -27,973.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,472.64 | Trades | |
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 25 2023 | ✅ | 1,356.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,356.00 | Trades | ||
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 1,321.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,321.72 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 05 2023 | ✅ | 1,282.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,282.00 | Trades | ||
Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 03 2024 | ✅ | 1,247.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,247.60 | Trades | ||
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | ✅ | 1,196.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,196.06 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | 1,174.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,174.28 | Trades | ||
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 25 2024 | ✅ | 1,173.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,173.40 | Trades | ||
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | 1,126.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,126.82 | Trades | ||
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 03 2023 | ✅ | 1,050.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,050.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 21 2023 | ✅ | 1,044.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,044.82 | Trades | ||
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 1,038.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,038.93 | Trades | ||
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | 1,006.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,006.46 | Trades | ||
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 07 2023 | ✅ | 995.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 995.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | 987.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 987.60 | Trades | ||
Will 'Transformers: Rise of the Beasts' gross over $45 million on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 12 2023 | ✅ | 961.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 961.38 | Trades | ||
Will the national anthem for Super Bowl LVII be longer than 126 seconds? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,390.28 | 0.00% | 0.5986 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,390.28 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | ✅ | -1,430.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 959.56 | Trades | |
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $20m over August 11-13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 13 2023 | ✅ | 952.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 952.43 | Trades | ||
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | ✅ | 944.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 944.00 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,220.30 | 0.00% | 0.5765 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,220.30 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,280.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 940.28 | Trades | |
Will 'Gran Turismo' gross over $22m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 27 2023 | ✅ | 937.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 937.48 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 932.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 932.22 | Trades | ||
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $70.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | ✅ | 911.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 911.85 | Trades | ||
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.6370 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | Mon Oct 16 2023 | ✅ | -1,592.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 907.50 | Trades | |
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 19 2023 | ✅ | 897.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 897.03 | Trades | ||
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | 883.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 883.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? | Yes | No | 3,292.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7428 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,292.05 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -2,445.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 846.76 | Trades | |
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou | Fury | Ngannou | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 28 2023 | ✅ | 830.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 830.00 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | 788.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 788.70 | Trades | ||
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8,502.00 | 0.00% | 0.9084 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8,502.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -7,723.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 778.87 | Trades | |
Will 'The Marvels' flop? | Yes | No | 6,330.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8774 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,330.26 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -5,554.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 775.83 | Trades | |
Will Biden announce he is running for president by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 28 2023 | ✅ | 775.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 775.00 | Trades | ||
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | ✅ | 752.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 752.51 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12,500.45 | 0.00% | 0.9405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12,500.45 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -11,756.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 743.95 | Trades | |
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 739.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 739.10 | Trades | ||
Will a single person become Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 1,225.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4080 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,225.63 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 725.63 | Trades | |
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,256.03 | 0.00% | 0.6865 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,256.03 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,548.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 707.20 | Trades | |
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 12 2023 | ✅ | 694.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 694.20 | Trades | ||
Will Kawhi Leonard Sign with the Clippers for the NBA 2021-22 season on or before October 1? | Yes | No | 3,110.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7804 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,110.73 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -2,427.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 683.00 | Trades | |
SBF sentenced to life? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | 681.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 681.32 | Trades | ||
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 06 2023 | ✅ | 653.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 653.89 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9682 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20,000.00 | Thu Jun 29 2023 | ✅ | -19,363.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 636.67 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,595.07 | 0.00% | 0.7583 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,595.07 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -1,967.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 627.14 | Trades | |
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.8753 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -4,376.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 623.61 | Trades | |
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | 608.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 608.85 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 15,125.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9598 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15,125.39 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -14,517.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 607.81 | Trades | |
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 603.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 603.70 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 11 2023 | ✅ | 601.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 601.51 | Trades | ||
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | ✅ | 599.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 599.65 | Trades | ||
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 5,015.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8809 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,015.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | -4,417.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 597.05 | Trades | |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 9,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9338 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9,000.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -8,404.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 595.85 | Trades | |
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9406 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | Tue Jul 25 2023 | ✅ | -9,406.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 593.92 | Trades | |
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 555.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 555.00 | Trades | ||
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 09 2024 | ✅ | 541.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 541.00 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | 530.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 530.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 5,398.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9025 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,398.44 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 29 2023 | ✅ | -4,872.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 526.43 | Trades | |
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15¢ and 65¢ EOW? | Yes | No | 3,325.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8419 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,325.18 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 06 2023 | ✅ | -2,799.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 525.67 | Trades | |
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 10 2023 | ✅ | 521.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 521.01 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | 518.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 518.53 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Nun II' gross over $40m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 11 2023 | ✅ | 506.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 506.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 26 2023 | ✅ | 501.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 501.36 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | 494.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 494.32 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11,499.66 | 0.00% | 0.9572 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 11,499.66 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -11,007.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 491.81 | Trades | |
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | ✅ | 488.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 488.30 | Trades | ||
Will 'Strays' gross over $20m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 20 2023 | ✅ | 483.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 483.83 | Trades | ||
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,257.34 | 0.00% | 0.9539 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,257.34 | Mon Jul 17 2023 | ✅ | -9,784.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 473.17 | Trades | |
Will George Santos resign by January 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | ✅ | 469.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 469.99 | Trades | ||
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,000.62 | 0.00% | 0.9532 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,000.62 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -9,533.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 467.62 | Trades | |
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9540 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -9,540.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 459.99 | Trades | |
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 454.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 454.21 | Trades | ||
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0950 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -47.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 452.50 | Trades | |
Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | ✅ | 442.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 442.48 | Trades | ||
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 441.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 441.51 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 01 2023 | ✅ | 437.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 437.39 | Trades | ||
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,120.33 | 0.00% | 0.9158 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,120.33 | Wed Apr 05 2023 | ✅ | -4,688.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 431.37 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | 430.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 430.21 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | 423.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 423.97 | Trades | ||
Will Meltem Demirors say "inflows" at least 5 times during the debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 420.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 420.00 | Trades | ||
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,999.89 | 0.00% | 0.8953 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,999.89 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | ✅ | -3,581.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 418.80 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | ✅ | 403.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 403.72 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,000.22 | 0.00% | 0.8666 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,000.22 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -2,600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 400.22 | Trades | |
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12,647.49 | 0.00% | 0.9684 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12,647.49 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | -12,248.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 399.06 | Trades | |
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 398.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 398.62 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 7,500.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9483 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,500.09 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -7,112.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 387.90 | Trades | |
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | ✅ | 385.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 385.97 | Trades | ||
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 447.71 | 0.00% | -0.8562 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | ✅ | 383.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 383.32 | Trades | |
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 374.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 374.14 | Trades | ||
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | ✅ | 368.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 368.45 | Trades | ||
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.2730 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -136.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 363.50 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 358.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 358.54 | Trades | ||
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? | Yes | No | 5,930.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9403 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,930.76 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 09 2024 | ✅ | -5,576.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 354.22 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,600.02 | 0.00% | 0.9033 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,600.02 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | ✅ | -3,251.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 348.18 | Trades | |
Will 'The Flash' gross over $85m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 12 2023 | ✅ | 348.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 348.09 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,962.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8271 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,962.33 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -1,623.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 339.19 | Trades | |
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 334.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 334.68 | Trades | ||
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 13 2024 | ✅ | 331.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 331.14 | Trades | ||
Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 325.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 325.69 | Trades | ||
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) | Suozzi | Pilip | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 13 2024 | ✅ | 325.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 325.12 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | ✅ | 315.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 315.62 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | ✅ | 315.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 315.00 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 312.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 312.55 | Trades | ||
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,250.52 | 0.00% | 0.9697 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,250.52 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -9,940.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 310.52 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 01 2023 | ✅ | 307.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 307.38 | Trades | ||
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | ✅ | 307.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 307.17 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9235 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,000.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -3,694.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 306.00 | Trades | |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.47 | 0.00% | 0.7556 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,250.47 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | ✅ | -944.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 305.64 | Trades | |
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 750.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5967 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 750.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 11 2024 | ✅ | -447.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 302.50 | Trades | |
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 288.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 288.56 | Trades | ||
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 | Musk | Zuck | 7,556.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4619 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 3,778.35 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -3,490.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 287.85 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,250.00 | 0.00% | 0.8786 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,250.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -1,976.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 273.25 | Trades | |
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,165.49 | 0.00% | 0.9138 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,165.49 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -2,892.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 273.00 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 267.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 267.61 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | ✅ | 267.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 267.32 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 20 2023 | ✅ | 266.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 266.43 | Trades | ||
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | 265.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 265.91 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 30 2023 | ✅ | 257.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 257.88 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 256.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 257.58 | Trades | ||
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | 256.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 256.34 | Trades | ||
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | ✅ | 255.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 255.12 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 254.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 254.50 | Trades | ||
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 252.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 252.75 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | 250.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 250.25 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Nov 12 2023 | ✅ | 246.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 246.97 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,231.53 | 0.00% | 0.8010 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,231.53 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -986.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 245.13 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 244.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 244.77 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,357.46 | 0.00% | 0.8975 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,357.46 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | ✅ | -2,115.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 241.53 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 239.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 240.04 | Trades | ||
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? | Yes | No | 1,316.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1815 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | 238.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 238.98 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,499.94 | 0.00% | 0.9687 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,499.94 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | -7,265.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 234.94 | Trades | |
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 11 2024 | ✅ | 232.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 232.80 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.7682 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -768.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 231.79 | Trades | |
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? | Yes | No | 1,520.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8483 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,520.39 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 25 2022 | ✅ | -1,289.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 230.64 | Trades | |
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,125.47 | 0.00% | 0.9552 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,125.47 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -4,896.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 229.47 | Trades | |
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 228.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 228.39 | Trades | ||
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | ✅ | 226.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 226.35 | Trades | ||
Will Zuck answer the door? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | ✅ | 225.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.30 | Trades | ||
Will Schwab fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,508.00 | 0.00% | 0.9363 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,508.00 | Wed Mar 15 2023 | ✅ | -3,284.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 223.29 | Trades | |
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | ✅ | 223.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 223.11 | Trades | ||
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 06 2023 | ✅ | 222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 222.00 | Trades | ||
Fed rate cut by March 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Mar 20 2024 | ✅ | 214.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 215.00 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,249.91 | 0.00% | 0.8282 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,249.91 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,035.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 214.73 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | 212.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 212.13 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | 211.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 211.23 | Trades | ||
Will 'Elemental' gross over $37.5m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 18 2023 | ✅ | 204.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 204.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | 201.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 201.90 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 201.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 201.69 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,500.01 | 0.00% | 0.8667 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,500.01 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,300.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Trades | |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,436.15 | 0.00% | 0.9632 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,436.15 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | -5,236.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 199.95 | Trades | |
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 199.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 199.83 | Trades | ||
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | 199.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 199.44 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? | Yes | No | 1,004.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8045 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,004.59 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -808.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 196.40 | Trades | |
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 195.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 195.88 | Trades | ||
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,999.97 | 0.00% | 0.9613 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,999.97 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -4,806.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 193.27 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,499.75 | 0.00% | 0.9229 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,499.75 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,307.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 192.65 | Trades | |
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 29 2022 | ✅ | 189.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 189.69 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Equalizer 3' gross over $35m Labor Day weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 05 2023 | ✅ | 187.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 187.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 186.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 186.67 | Trades | ||
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 805.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7706 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 805.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 30 2023 | ✅ | -620.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 184.65 | Trades | |
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,698.01 | 0.00% | 0.9684 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,698.01 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | ✅ | -5,517.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 180.14 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 176.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 176.10 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 7,523.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9766 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,523.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | ✅ | -7,347.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 175.69 | Trades | |
OpenAI board out by end of week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 26 2023 | ✅ | 175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 175.00 | Trades | ||
Will the National Anthem at the Superbowl LVI be longer than 100 seconds? | Yes | No | 1,674.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8956 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,674.82 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | ✅ | -1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 174.82 | Trades | |
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 1,000.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8257 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.13 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | ✅ | -825.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 174.28 | Trades | |
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,095.38 | 0.00% | 0.8439 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,095.38 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -924.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 170.98 | Trades | |
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,494.00 | 0.00% | 0.8865 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,494.00 | Sun Jan 07 2024 | ✅ | -1,324.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 169.52 | Trades | |
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,485.00 | 0.00% | 0.9319 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,485.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | -2,315.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 169.25 | Trades | |
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 11 2022 | ✅ | 167.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 167.02 | Trades | ||
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9346 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -2,336.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.55 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 162.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 162.72 | Trades | ||
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | ✅ | 158.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 158.52 | Trades | ||
Will Rihanna's first song of the Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show be "Diamonds"? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | ✅ | 158.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 158.50 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 157.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 157.78 | Trades | ||
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 157.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 157.28 | Trades | |||
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9750 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,250.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -6,093.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 156.14 | Trades | |
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 20 2023 | ✅ | 155.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 155.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 15 2023 | ✅ | 154.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 154.77 | Trades | ||
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9695 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -4,847.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152.30 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,250.57 | 0.00% | 0.9710 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,250.57 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | -5,098.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152.10 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 150.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.96 | Trades | ||
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 594.98 | 0.00% | 0.7507 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 594.98 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | ✅ | -446.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 148.33 | Trades | |
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9265 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | Fri Nov 10 2023 | ✅ | -1,853.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 146.93 | Trades | |
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,250.46 | 0.00% | 0.9552 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,250.46 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -3,104.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 145.66 | Trades | |
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,700.01 | 0.00% | 0.9151 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,700.01 | Wed Mar 15 2023 | ✅ | -1,555.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 144.27 | Trades | |
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.45 | 0.00% | 0.9423 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.45 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -2,356.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 144.23 | Trades | |
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | 144.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 144.00 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 750.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8089 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 750.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -606.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.35 | Trades | |
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.47 | 0.00% | 0.8569 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.47 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -857.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.21 | Trades | |
Alien contact in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 143.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.02 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 142.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.34 | Trades | ||
Will 'Wonka' gross over $40m over its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 17 2023 | ✅ | 141.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 141.65 | Trades | ||
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 06 2022 | ✅ | 139.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 139.97 | Trades | ||
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 2,500.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9448 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.01 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -2,361.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 138.06 | Trades | |
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 1,002.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8623 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,002.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | ✅ | -864.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.93 | Trades | |
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 17 2023 | ✅ | 137.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.14 | Trades | ||
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,364.01 | 0.00% | 0.9688 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,364.01 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -4,227.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 136.10 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 136.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 136.00 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 132.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.09 | Trades | ||
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9472 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -2,367.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.03 | Trades | |
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 131.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 131.28 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker interview Putin? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,108.84 | 0.00% | 0.8821 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,108.84 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -978.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 130.74 | Trades | |
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 129.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 129.79 | Trades | ||
Binance insolvent in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 129.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 129.38 | Trades | ||
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | ✅ | -125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.00 | Trades | |
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 22 2024 | ✅ | 125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.00 | Trades | ||
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | 124.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 124.99 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 1,750.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9287 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,750.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -1,625.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 124.75 | Trades | |
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 121.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.62 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 17 2022 | ✅ | 121.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 121.46 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Flash' gross over $100m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,498.10 | 0.00% | 0.9732 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,498.10 | Sun Jun 18 2023 | ✅ | -4,377.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.37 | Trades | |
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 01 2023 | ✅ | -880.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.00 | Trades | |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 08 2023 | ✅ | -180.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.00 | Trades | |
Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,750.29 | 0.00% | 0.9565 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,750.29 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -2,630.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.58 | Trades | |
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,001.01 | 0.00% | 0.8811 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,001.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -882.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.00 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,064.31 | 0.00% | 0.8884 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,064.31 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | -945.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.79 | Trades | |
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 118.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.76 | Trades | ||
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 21 2022 | ✅ | 118.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.50 | Trades | ||
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | ✅ | 118.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.19 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? | Yes | No | 10,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9882 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,000.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -9,882.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.50 | Trades | |
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 117.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.00 | Trades | ||
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.80 at noon on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 748.94 | 0.00% | 0.8439 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 748.94 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -632.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.94 | Trades | |
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Olivia Rodrigo win Best New Artist? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | ✅ | 115.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.39 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | 115.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.11 | Trades | ||
Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'? | Yes | No | 1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -57.7971 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.93 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 13 2023 | ✅ | 111.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.29 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,500.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9257 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,500.36 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -1,388.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.41 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "Clinton" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 700.00 | 0.00% | 0.8419 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 700.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -589.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.65 | Trades | |
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,499.74 | 0.00% | 0.9567 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,499.74 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,391.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 108.24 | Trades | |
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 750.00 | 0.00% | 0.8567 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 750.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -642.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 107.50 | Trades | |
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,301.20 | 0.00% | 0.9179 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,301.20 | Sun Nov 12 2023 | ✅ | -1,194.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.88 | Trades | |
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | 104.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 104.45 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 19 2022 | ✅ | 103.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 103.63 | Trades | ||
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | ✅ | 102.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.00 | Trades | ||
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 30 2023 | ✅ | 102.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Drake AI song still be available on Youtube on Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 21 2023 | ✅ | 101.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 101.00 | Trades | ||
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 230.62 | 0.00% | 0.5635 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 230.62 | Sun Jan 14 2024 | ✅ | -129.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.67 | Trades | |
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.08 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.08 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -900.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.98 | Trades | |
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.19 | 0.00% | 0.9601 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.19 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,400.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.70 | Trades | |
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 99.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.49 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 99.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.00 | Trades | ||
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | 98.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.85 | Trades | ||
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 30 2023 | ✅ | 98.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.58 | Trades | ||
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $150 million domestically in its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.37 | 0.00% | 0.9805 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.37 | Mon Jun 13 2022 | ✅ | -4,902.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.62 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 01 2022 | ✅ | 94.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.84 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 93.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.13 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,986.00 | 0.00% | 0.9915 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10,986.00 | Wed Jul 12 2023 | ✅ | -10,893.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.86 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 01 2023 | ✅ | 92.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.50 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' gross over $8m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 808.19 | 0.00% | 0.8861 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 808.19 | Sun Aug 13 2023 | ✅ | -716.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.06 | Trades | |
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 17 2023 | ✅ | 90.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.00 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 88.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.51 | Trades | ||
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9648 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | -2,411.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.07 | Trades | |
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,750.00 | 0.00% | 0.9505 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,750.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -1,663.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.55 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9809 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,500.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -4,414.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.00 | Trades | |
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 08 2024 | ✅ | 86.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 02 2023 | ✅ | 85.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.85 | Trades | ||
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 85.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.35 | Trades | ||
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 665.25 | 0.00% | 0.8760 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 665.25 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | -582.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.51 | Trades | |
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.19 | 0.00% | 0.9671 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.19 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -2,418.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.19 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8382 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -419.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.90 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.8382 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -419.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.90 | Trades | |
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,687.17 | 0.00% | 0.9524 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,687.17 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,606.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.36 | Trades | |
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 80.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.27 | Trades | ||
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 80.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.02 | Trades | ||
Did SBF launch BALD? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,073.90 | 0.00% | 0.9260 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,073.90 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | ✅ | -994.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.49 | Trades | |
Will 'PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie' gross over $16m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 78.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.68 | Trades | |||
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 78.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.06 | Trades | ||
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 30 2021 | ✅ | 78.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.05 | Trades | ||
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | -222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.00 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9225 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -922.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.50 | Trades | |
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 77.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.20 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.23 | 0.00% | 0.9692 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.23 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,423.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.91 | Trades | |
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.6200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Sat Jul 29 2023 | ✅ | -124.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.00 | Trades | |
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 75.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.67 | Trades | ||
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 74.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.94 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 74.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.18 | Trades | ||
Will Playboi Carti release a new album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | 74.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.10 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "GPT" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | 74.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.00 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker Carlson announce he is running for president by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 73.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.16 | Trades | ||
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,580.95 | 0.00% | 0.9797 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,580.95 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | -3,508.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.58 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8550 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | ✅ | -427.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.50 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.2770 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -27.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.30 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | ✅ | 71.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.63 | Trades | ||
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | ✅ | 71.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.61 | Trades | ||
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 70.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.45 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,500.25 | 0.00% | 0.9538 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,500.25 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | ✅ | -1,431.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.25 | Trades | |
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | 68.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.52 | Trades | ||
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,740.00 | 0.00% | 0.9611 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,740.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -1,672.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.60 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 258.50 | 0.00% | 0.7390 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 258.50 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | ✅ | -191.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.47 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9326 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -932.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.40 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | ✅ | 66.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.81 | Trades | ||
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.41 | 0.00% | 0.3286 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.41 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | -32.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.74 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 66.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.05 | Trades | ||
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,132.15 | 0.00% | 0.9908 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,132.15 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | -7,066.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.30 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,261.76 | 0.00% | 0.9877 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,261.76 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | -5,197.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.76 | Trades | |
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | 64.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.74 | Trades | ||
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? | Yes | No | 1,313.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9516 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,313.53 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.53 | Trades | |
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 308.10 | 0.00% | 0.7962 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 308.10 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -245.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.79 | Trades | |
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | 62.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.48 | Trades | ||
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,679.49 | 0.00% | 0.9629 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,679.49 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | ✅ | -1,617.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.30 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | 61.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.67 | Trades | ||
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | 61.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.46 | Trades | ||||||
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Wed Feb 28 2024 | ✅ | 61.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.12 | Trades | ||
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.7967 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | ✅ | -239.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.00 | Trades | |
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 60.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.66 | Trades | ||
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 346.29 | 0.00% | 0.8256 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 346.29 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -285.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.39 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.4000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.00 | Trades | |
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? | Yes | No | 1,092.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9456 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,092.79 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,033.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.46 | Trades | |
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6083 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 12 2023 | ✅ | -91.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.75 | Trades | |
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift | Killers | Taylor Swift | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 23 2023 | ✅ | 58.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.08 | Trades | ||
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | ✅ | 57.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.89 | Trades | ||
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9425 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Fri Nov 17 2023 | ✅ | -942.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.50 | Trades | |
Will Kane sign for Real Madrid? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | 57.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.17 | Trades | ||
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 595.73 | 0.00% | 0.9051 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 595.73 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -539.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.52 | Trades | |
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.4400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -44.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.00 | Trades | |
Will 'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' gross more than $150 million domestically on its 5-day opening? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 09 2023 | ✅ | 55.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.79 | Trades | ||
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? | Israel | Palestine | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | ✅ | 55.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.50 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | ✅ | 55.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.17 | Trades | ||
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? | Yes | No | 1,000.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9450 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.01 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -945.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.01 | Trades | |
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | 55.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.01 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 26 2023 | ✅ | -195.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | Trades | |
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 10 2024 | ✅ | 55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | Trades | ||
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | Trades | ||
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 54.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.90 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 53.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.69 | Trades | ||
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 91.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4171 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 91.11 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -38.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.11 | Trades | |
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? | Yes | No | 556.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9047 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 556.25 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -503.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.00 | Trades | |
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,500.00 | Wed Mar 15 2023 | ✅ | -1,447.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.50 | Trades | |
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | ✅ | -197.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.50 | Trades | |
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | ✅ | -197.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.50 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | ✅ | 52.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.25 | Trades | ||
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? | Yes | No | 500.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8963 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.97 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 03 2022 | ✅ | -449.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.97 | Trades | |
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 27 2022 | ✅ | 51.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.86 | Trades | ||
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 51.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.56 | Trades | ||
Will DeSantis say "Crypto" and/or "Cryptocurrency" during his Twitter Space? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | ✅ | 51.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.50 | Trades | ||
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 51.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.40 | Trades | ||
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by October 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Oct 14 2023 | ✅ | 50.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.43 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | 50.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.27 | Trades | ||
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 759.72 | 0.00% | 0.9341 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 759.72 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -709.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.08 | Trades | |
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -450.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Trades | |
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -950.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Trades | |
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,060.12 | 0.00% | 0.9531 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,060.12 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,010.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.76 | Trades | |
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.59 | 0.00% | 0.8021 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.59 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -201.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.59 | Trades | |
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 48.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.89 | Trades | ||
Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 48.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.86 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | 48.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.52 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | ✅ | 47.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.73 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 350.00 | 0.00% | 0.8666 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 350.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -303.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.70 | Trades | |
Will Stephen Curry win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | 45.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.80 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 799.19 | 0.00% | 0.9430 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 799.19 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -753.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.53 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9849 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,000.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -2,954.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.25 | Trades | |
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 04 2023 | ✅ | 45.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.00 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 44.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.99 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 07 2022 | ✅ | 44.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.99 | Trades | ||
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | 44.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.92 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 44.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.22 | Trades | ||
Will Trump post on Threads by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.8567 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -257.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.00 | Trades | |
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 337.94 | 0.00% | 0.8737 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 337.94 | Sat Oct 14 2023 | ✅ | -295.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.69 | Trades | |
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,499.52 | 0.00% | 0.9720 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,499.52 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | -1,457.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.98 | Trades | |
Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? | Venom 2 | No Time to Die | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 11 2021 | ✅ | 41.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.95 | Trades | ||
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 40.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.79 | Trades | ||
Will Aaron Judge get 62 or more home runs in the 2022 MLB regular season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 05 2022 | ✅ | 40.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.37 | Trades | ||
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 40.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.20 | Trades | ||
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 38.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.92 | Trades | ||
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,249.72 | 0.00% | 0.9690 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,249.72 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,210.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.77 | Trades | |
North Korea nuke by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 248.97 | 0.00% | 0.8460 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 248.97 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -210.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.34 | Trades | |
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | ✅ | 37.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.88 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9625 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | -962.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.50 | Trades | |
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | ✅ | 37.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.50 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? | $42,069 | $69,420 | 1,269.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9706 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,269.32 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | ✅ | -1,232.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.32 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 37.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.32 | Trades | ||
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 37.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.00 | Trades | ||
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 36.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.87 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | 36.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.85 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Creator' gross over $17m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | ✅ | 36.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.75 | Trades | ||
Was @SECGov really hacked? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 12 2024 | ✅ | 36.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.75 | Trades | ||
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 36.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.44 | Trades | ||
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 20 2022 | ✅ | 36.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.01 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | ✅ | 35.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.35 | Trades | ||
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | 34.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.90 | Trades | ||
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | 34.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.05 | Trades | ||
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 33.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.98 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 750.90 | 0.00% | 0.9549 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 750.90 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -717.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.90 | Trades | |
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,499.61 | 0.00% | 0.9776 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,499.61 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -1,466.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.61 | Trades | |
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499.99 | 0.00% | 0.9343 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 499.99 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | -467.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.84 | Trades | |
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 32.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.77 | Trades | ||
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.04 | 0.00% | 0.8718 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.04 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -218.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.04 | Trades | |
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | 32.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.00 | Trades | ||
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | ✅ | 32.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.00 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? | Yes | No | 500.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9372 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.49 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -469.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.45 | Trades | |
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9380 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 26 2023 | ✅ | -468.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.02 | Trades | |
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | ✅ | 31.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,110.00 | 0.00% | 0.9723 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,110.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -1,079.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.80 | Trades | |
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 30.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.80 | Trades | ||
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | 30.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.74 | Trades | ||
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | No | 2,500.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9880 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.08 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -2,470.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.08 | Trades | |
Will Derek Carr have the most passing yards in the 2021 NFL season on December 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 30.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.04 | Trades | ||
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 03 2023 | ✅ | 30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.00 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 99.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.99 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -70.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.97 | Trades | |
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 14 2023 | ✅ | 29.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.90 | Trades | ||
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.60 at noon on January 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | ✅ | 29.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.81 | Trades | ||
Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | 29.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.70 | Trades | ||
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 487.20 | 0.00% | 0.9392 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 487.20 | Sun Mar 10 2024 | ✅ | -457.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.62 | Trades | |
North Korea nuke by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 29.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.25 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 29.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.12 | Trades | ||
North Korea nuke by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | ✅ | 28.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.73 | Trades | ||
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,700.00 | 0.00% | 0.9894 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,700.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -2,671.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.50 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,583.26 | 0.00% | 0.9821 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,583.26 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | -1,555.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.26 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 17 2023 | ✅ | 27.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.50 | Trades | ||
Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 27.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.46 | Trades | ||
Will 'A Haunting in Venice' gross over $14m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 07 2023 | ✅ | 27.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.01 | Trades | ||
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | ✅ | 26.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.64 | Trades | ||
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 49.74 | 0.00% | -0.5332 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | ✅ | 26.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.52 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 250.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8939 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.02 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -223.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.52 | Trades | |
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 495.22 | 0.00% | 0.9465 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 495.22 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | -468.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.50 | Trades | |
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 26.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.38 | Trades | ||
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 95.91 | 0.00% | 0.7269 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 95.91 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -69.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.19 | Trades | |
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? | Yes | No | 1,250.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9791 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,250.08 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -1,224.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.08 | Trades | |
Utopia (Travis Scott) vs. Austin (Post Malone) 1st week sales | Utopia | Austin | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 03 2023 | ✅ | 25.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.78 | Trades | ||
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 07 2021 | ✅ | 25.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.76 | Trades | ||
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 25.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.52 | Trades | ||
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the ‘second week’ of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | ✅ | 25.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.36 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in November 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 155.33 | 0.00% | 0.8369 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 155.33 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | -130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.33 | Trades | |
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 18? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 17 2023 | ✅ | 25.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.25 | Trades | ||
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.4952 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -24.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.24 | Trades | |
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 29 2024 | ✅ | 25.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.24 | Trades | ||
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | ✅ | 25.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.20 | Trades | ||
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | 25.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.15 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 24 2023 | ✅ | 25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | ||
Will LeBron announce his retirement by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | -475.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | |
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9950 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -4,975.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | |
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Tue Dec 26 2023 | ✅ | -225.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | |
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? | Biden | Haley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | ✅ | 24.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.98 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? | Yes | No | 498.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 498.58 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | -473.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.93 | Trades | |
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | ✅ | 24.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.76 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 24.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.58 | Trades | ||
Will $CRO (Crypto.com Coin) be above $1 on December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 551.95 | 0.00% | 0.9559 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 551.95 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | -527.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.36 | Trades | |
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 24.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.29 | Trades | ||
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 20 2022 | ✅ | 23.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.86 | Trades | ||
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,100.76 | 0.00% | 0.9784 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,100.76 | Sun Jun 12 2022 | ✅ | -1,077.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.76 | Trades | |
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | 23.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.26 | Trades | ||
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 23.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.23 | 0.00% | 0.9886 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,000.23 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,977.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.85 | Trades | |
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 720.58 | 0.00% | 0.9685 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 720.58 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -697.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.71 | Trades | |
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | ✅ | 22.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.50 | Trades | ||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9552 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | -477.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.38 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "Putin" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -178.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.00 | Trades | |
Will X start charging all users? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 515.00 | 0.00% | 0.9573 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 515.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -493.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.99 | Trades | |
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | 21.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.36 | Trades | ||
Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | ✅ | 21.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.35 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9574 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -478.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.31 | Trades | |
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | ✅ | 20.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.93 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499.69 | 0.00% | 0.9586 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 499.69 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -479.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.69 | Trades | |
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.48 | 0.00% | 0.9836 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,250.48 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,230.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.48 | Trades | |
Will Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 09 2023 | ✅ | 20.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.33 | Trades | ||
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -9.1638 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.97 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 18.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.02 | Trades | |
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 12 2023 | ✅ | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Trades | ||
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 19.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.97 | Trades | ||
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 34.84 | 0.00% | 0.4304 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 34.84 | Mon Nov 27 2023 | ✅ | -14.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.84 | Trades | |
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | ✅ | 19.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.66 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 19.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.38 | Trades | ||
Will Hamas surrender before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 19.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.10 | Trades | ||
Will Biden visit Hawaii by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | 19.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.00 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $2500 on May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,009.94 | 0.00% | 0.9812 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,009.94 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | -991.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.94 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "alien" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 0.8750 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -131.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.75 | Trades | |
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 165.00 | 0.00% | 0.8870 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 165.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -146.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.65 | Trades | |
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 04 2023 | ✅ | 17.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.00 | Trades | ||
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9280 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | -232.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 17.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.83 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 17.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.79 | Trades | ||
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 23, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 23 2022 | ✅ | 17.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.69 | Trades | ||
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -232.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.50 | Trades | |
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9304 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -232.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.40 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 17.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.31 | Trades | ||
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 16.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.99 | Trades | ||
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 05 2023 | ✅ | 16.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.97 | Trades | ||
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | ✅ | 16.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.77 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed cut rates in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499.97 | 0.00% | 0.9668 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 499.97 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -483.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.62 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 20 2022 | ✅ | 16.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.46 | Trades | ||
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 124.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8726 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 124.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 06 2023 | ✅ | -108.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.80 | Trades | |
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 15.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.80 | Trades | ||
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9844 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -984.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.63 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | ✅ | 15.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.56 | Trades | ||
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 15.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.50 | Trades | ||
Biden cognitive test before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 15.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.43 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 15.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.18 | Trades | ||
Will $USDC depeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | 15.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.15 | Trades | ||
Will 'Smile' gross more than $17 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 03 2022 | ✅ | 15.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.12 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | 15.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.06 | Trades | ||
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | ✅ | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.01 | Trades | ||
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 27 2023 | ✅ | -1,485.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Trades | |
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 350.10 | 0.00% | 0.9577 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 350.10 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | -335.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.83 | Trades | |
Will Declan Rice sign for Arsenal? | Yes | No | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | 14.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.46 | Trades | ||
Will $UST be above $0.01 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | 14.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.45 | Trades | ||
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 258.43 | 0.00% | 0.9452 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 258.43 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -244.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.17 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 13.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.89 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | 13.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.82 | Trades | ||
Zvbear arrested before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9887 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,200.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -1,186.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.60 | Trades | |
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 28 2022 | ✅ | 13.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.39 | Trades | ||
Will Olivia Jade and Val Chmerkovskiy Win Season 30 of Dancing with the Stars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 13.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.24 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 263.12 | 0.00% | 0.9501 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 263.12 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.12 | Trades | |
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.45 | 0.00% | 0.9870 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.45 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -987.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.05 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 12.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.98 | Trades | ||
Will the WGA strike end by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 127.78 | 0.00% | 0.8984 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 127.78 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -114.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.98 | Trades | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 12.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.73 | Trades | ||
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | 12.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.70 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50 | Trades | ||
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | ✅ | 12.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.28 | Trades | ||
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | ✅ | 12.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.10 | Trades | ||
Will @Snowden tweet again by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | ✅ | 11.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.65 | Trades | ||
MH370 black box found by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 11.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.27 | Trades | ||
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.01 | 0.00% | 0.9560 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.01 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -239.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.99 | Trades | |
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 129.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9155 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 129.45 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | ✅ | -118.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.93 | Trades | |
Golf: Will Tiger Woods win the 2022 Masters Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 11 2022 | ✅ | 10.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.87 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 762.07 | 0.00% | 0.9859 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 762.07 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -751.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.76 | Trades | |
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 05 2022 | ✅ | 10.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.72 | Trades | ||
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9790 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -489.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.50 | Trades | |
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 90.00 | 0.00% | 0.8839 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 90.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -79.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.45 | Trades | |
Will 'Lightyear' gross more than $90 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 20 2022 | ✅ | 10.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.41 | Trades | ||
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | 10.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.17 | Trades | ||
Will Frank Ocean play Coachella Weekend 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 23 2023 | ✅ | 10.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.03 | Trades | ||
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -240.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump win North Carolina Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | ||
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 285.71 | 0.00% | 0.9650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 285.71 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -275.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | Trades | |
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.55 | Trades | ||
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 9.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.50 | Trades | ||
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.9640 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | -241.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.00 | Trades | |
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 8.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.92 | Trades | ||
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 8.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.65 | Trades | ||
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | 8.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.64 | Trades | ||
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 25 2023 | ✅ | 8.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.59 | Trades | ||
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 25 2023 | ✅ | 8.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.50 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 8.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.44 | Trades | ||
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 1,435.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9942 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,435.64 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -1,427.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.29 | Trades | |
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 27 2023 | ✅ | 8.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.25 | Trades | ||
Biden to drop out before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9590 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -191.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.20 | Trades | |
Is Obama queer? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 8.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.16 | Trades | ||
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9230 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | -92.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.70 | Trades | |
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | 7.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.66 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | 7.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.51 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 1,241.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9942 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,241.98 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | -1,234.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.23 | Trades | |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 7.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.22 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Super Mario Bros. Movie' gross more than $100 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9883 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 600.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 09 2023 | ✅ | -593.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | Trades | |
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 26 2023 | ✅ | 6.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.75 | Trades | ||
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 249.99 | 0.00% | 0.9730 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 249.99 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -243.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.74 | Trades | |
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 6.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.50 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win Maine Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 6,100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9989 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,100.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | -6,093.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.50 | Trades | |
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 6.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.41 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | 6.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.41 | Trades | ||
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? | Cisneros | Cuellar | 0.00 | 1,250.40 | 0.00% | 0.9949 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,250.40 | Tue May 24 2022 | ✅ | -1,244.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.40 | Trades | |
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | 6.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.33 | Trades | ||
Russian nuke in space by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 488.75 | 0.00% | 0.9876 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 488.75 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -482.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.07 | Trades | |
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 6.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.05 | Trades | ||
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 524.37 | 0.00% | 0.9886 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 524.37 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -518.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.99 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | 5.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 5.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.76 | Trades | ||
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 598.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9904 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 598.31 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -592.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.75 | Trades | |
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? | Yes | No | 99.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9427 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.18 | 0.00 | Mon May 09 2022 | ✅ | -93.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | Trades | |
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.64 | Trades | ||
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.15 | 0.00% | 0.9445 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.15 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -95.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.61 | Trades | |
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.58 | Trades | ||
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.7800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -19.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.50 | Trades | |
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 505.42 | 0.00% | 0.9893 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 505.42 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.42 | Trades | |
Will Taylor Swift’s re-recording of her album “Red” beat Kanye's "Donda" in first week streams? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.35 | Trades | ||
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 5.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.28 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | ✅ | 5.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.13 | Trades | ||
Will Bob Iger remain CEO of Disney through September? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 5.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.10 | Trades | ||
Will Aaron Rodgers be Traded by NFL week 1? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 07 2023 | ✅ | -245.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? | Biden | DeSantis | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -95.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -495.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 04 2023 | ✅ | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Wagner take Moscow by Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 27 2023 | ✅ | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9750 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -195.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump say "huge" ten or more times during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 71.43 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 71.43 | Tue May 09 2023 | ✅ | -66.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 71.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 71.43 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -66.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 4.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | Trades | ||
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | 4.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.44 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 280.86 | 0.00% | 0.9846 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 280.86 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -276.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.33 | Trades | |
SBF jail by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | 4.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.30 | Trades | ||
Will 'Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile' gross more than $18 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 10 2022 | ✅ | 4.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.23 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $BTC be above $53,000 on February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | ✅ | 4.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.21 | Trades | ||
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 4.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | Trades | ||
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 17 2023 | ✅ | 4.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 05 2024 | ✅ | 4.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.19 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in July 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | 4.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.16 | Trades | ||
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 24 2022 | ✅ | 4.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.15 | Trades | ||
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9840 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 15 2023 | ✅ | -246.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | |
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 331.39 | 0.00% | 0.9879 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 331.39 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -327.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | |
Will a world leader shit themselves before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | 3.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.76 | Trades | ||
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 318.95 | 0.00% | 0.9884 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 318.95 | Thu Feb 02 2023 | ✅ | -315.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.69 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.51 | Trades | ||
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 67.89 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 67.89 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | ✅ | -64.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.39 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC reach 1$ again by June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 02 2022 | ✅ | 3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.26 | Trades | ||
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | -97.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 06 2023 | ✅ | -297.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | |
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | ✅ | -97.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | |
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | ✅ | 2.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.93 | Trades | ||
Will Trump mention DeSantis more than Biden during his CNN town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.00 | 0.00% | 0.8600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | ✅ | -17.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 99.24 | 0.00% | 0.9724 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 99.24 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -96.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.74 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.70 | Trades | ||
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 17 2023 | ✅ | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 109.07 | 0.00% | 0.9771 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 109.07 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -106.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | |
Will Kyrie Irving play any games by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.47 | Trades | ||
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 20 2023 | ✅ | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.23 | Trades | ||
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? | Democrats | Republicans | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 09 2022 | ✅ | 2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.22 | Trades | ||
Will Zuck KO Musk? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | ✅ | 2.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.08 | Trades | ||
Will Jamie Dimon announce he is running for president by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.05 | 0.00% | 0.9805 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 105.05 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -103.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | |
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 33.44 | 0.00% | 0.9391 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 33.44 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | -31.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.04 | Trades | |
Will Trump win Alabama Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | ✅ | -98.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | |
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 18 2022 | ✅ | 1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.93 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on December 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Cardano | Solana | 0.00 | 101.90 | 0.00% | 0.9814 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.90 | Thu Dec 09 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.90 | Trades | |
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.88 | Trades | ||
$WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in March? | Yes | No | 1,849.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9990 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,849.96 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -1,848.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.85 | Trades | |
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | ||
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 275.00 | 0.00% | 0.9938 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 275.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -273.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.70 | Trades | |
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.90 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 41.90 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -40.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.68 | Trades | |
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.57 | Trades | ||
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yeah | Nope | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | ✅ | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.54 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9850 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Fri Apr 28 2023 | ✅ | -98.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | |
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.42 | Trades | ||
Will $UST be above $0.50 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | Trades | ||
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? | Yes | No | 18.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 18.35 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 21 2023 | ✅ | -17.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.28 | Trades | |
Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 03 2021 | ✅ | 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.22 | Trades | ||
Meghan Markle & Prince Harry split by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.9233 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -13.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.15 | Trades | |
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 4? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 15 2023 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Apr 02 2023 | ✅ | -99.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will MEXC become insolvent by July 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 03 2023 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -99.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00% | 0.6000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | ✅ | -1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 33.33 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 33.33 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | ✅ | -32.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 22 2022 | ✅ | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.86 | Trades | ||
Will 'Jurassic World Dominion' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 14 2022 | ✅ | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | Trades | ||
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 80.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 80.00 | Thu Mar 30 2023 | ✅ | -79.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Trades | |
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.72 | Trades | ||
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.00 | 0.00% | 0.9760 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 30.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -29.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.72 | Trades | |
Will 'Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 02 2023 | ✅ | -69.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.70 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | Trades | ||
Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.72 | 0.00% | 0.8245 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.72 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -3.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 | Trades | |
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.29 | 0.00% | 0.9650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 14.29 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -13.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9959 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 14 2023 | ✅ | -99.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 | Trades | |
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9999 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -2,499.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | |
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | Trades | ||
George Santos expelled in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 | Trades | ||
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | Trades | ||
Will the Suns or Clippers win the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals? | Suns | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 26 2002 | ✅ | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
Will Trump have a Blue checkmark on April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | ✅ | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.76 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.76 | Wed Jul 12 2023 | ✅ | -7.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | |
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
SBF guilty of all charges? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 19 2022 | ✅ | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
WorldCoin Market cap (FDV) over $10b one week after launch? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Mar 08 2024 | ✅ | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 12 2023 | ✅ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Is the Earth flat? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | Trades | ||
US/Iran declare war before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
Is Vivek Ramaswamy GCR? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 01 2024 | ✅ | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.78 | Trades | ||
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Boeing whistleblower foul play determined in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.25 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Obama" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 9.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1501 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.99 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -11.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.50 | Trades | |
Will Ja Morant win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | -1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.83 | Trades | ||
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.13 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -2.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.36 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | ✅ | -2.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.39 | Trades | ||
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -2.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.90 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -3.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.13 | Trades | ||
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -3.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.32 | Trades | ||
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | ✅ | -3.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.47 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | ✅ | -3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.48 | Trades | ||
Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -4.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.68 | Trades | ||
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -4.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.75 | Trades | ||
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -5.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.26 | Trades | ||
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 565.35 | 0.00% | 0.0100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -5.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.65 | Trades | |
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -6.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.40 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -6.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.71 | Trades | ||
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? | Yes | No | 2,810.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0030 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 12 2023 | ✅ | -8.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.42 | Trades | |
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -9.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.50 | Trades | ||
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -9.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.83 | Trades | ||
Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | -11.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.09 | Trades | ||
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 30 2022 | ✅ | -11.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.19 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -11.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.24 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.51 | 0.00% | 3.1422 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.51 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -17.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.79 | Trades | |
What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -12.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.31 | Trades | |||
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -13.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.16 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | -13.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.60 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -13.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.72 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -16.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.17 | Trades | ||
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | ✅ | -16.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.53 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 09 2024 | ✅ | -17.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.54 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | ✅ | -17.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.91 | Trades | ||
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? | Yes | No | 150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -19.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.50 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -21.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.45 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 20 2023 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | ✅ | -30.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.32 | Trades | ||
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 305.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1034 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -31.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.55 | Trades | |
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | ✅ | -34.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.10 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 27 2023 | ✅ | -34.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.33 | Trades | ||
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | ✅ | -37.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.70 | Trades | ||
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | ✅ | -38.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.62 | Trades | ||
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 05 2023 | ✅ | -40.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.50 | Trades | ||
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 20 2024 | ✅ | -40.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.79 | Trades | ||
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -40.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.81 | Trades | ||
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -42.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.20 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -43.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -43.91 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,187.50 | 0.00% | 1.0371 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,187.50 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | ✅ | -1,231.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 19 2022 | ✅ | -44.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.81 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,499.75 | 0.00% | 1.0060 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,499.75 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -7,545.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.27 | Trades | |
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -46.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.60 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -46.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.63 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0192 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | -2,548.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.04 | Trades | |
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | ✅ | -49.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.14 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | -51.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -51.05 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -53.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.96 | Trades | ||
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 06 2024 | ✅ | -55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | Trades | |
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 20 2023 | ✅ | -56.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.63 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | ✅ | -60.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.80 | Trades | ||
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 12 2023 | ✅ | -61.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.00 | Trades | |
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -61.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.44 | Trades | ||
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -62.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -62.50 | Trades | ||
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -63.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -63.80 | Trades | ||
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 1.2583 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | ✅ | -314.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -64.59 | Trades | |
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -64.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -64.73 | Trades | ||
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.6700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -67.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.00 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 115.00 | 0.00% | 0.5839 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -67.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.15 | Trades | |
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 1,030.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0659 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -67.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.89 | Trades | |
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | ✅ | -68.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -68.38 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | -71.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -71.64 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -74.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.81 | Trades | ||
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | -75.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.22 | Trades | ||
GTA 6 release date by end of year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -75.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.82 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 02 2020 | ✅ | -76.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.33 | Trades | ||
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 1.8085 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -180.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.85 | Trades | |
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0817 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -81.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -81.66 | Trades | |
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | ✅ | -82.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.61 | Trades | ||
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics | Heat | Celtics | 0.00 | 99.54 | 0.00% | 0.8300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 28 2023 | ✅ | -82.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.62 | Trades | |
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | ✅ | -83.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -83.90 | Trades | ||
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.0257 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | ✅ | -90.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.00 | Trades | |
Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,249.83 | 0.00% | 1.0414 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,249.83 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,342.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.05 | Trades | |
Hunter Biden arrested before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -93.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.16 | Trades | ||
Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? | Space Jam | Black Widow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | -97.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.52 | Trades | ||
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 15 2024 | ✅ | -97.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.55 | Trades | ||
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.1959 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -97.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.95 | Trades | |
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 1.0992 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | ✅ | -1,099.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -99.22 | Trades | |
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 2,999.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0332 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,999.99 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -3,099.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -99.45 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 117.69 | 0.00% | 0.8497 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 11 2023 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 29 2023 | ✅ | -100.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.60 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.1026 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 20 2023 | ✅ | -102.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -102.64 | Trades | |
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,015.00 | 0.00% | 0.1039 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 01 2024 | ✅ | -105.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -105.43 | Trades | |
Will CZ be arrested by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | ✅ | -107.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -107.46 | Trades | ||
Will the US soldier be released from North Korea by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 25 2023 | ✅ | -107.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -107.52 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -111.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -111.17 | Trades | ||
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.4500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | ✅ | -112.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -112.50 | Trades | |
Will 'Meg 2: The Trench' gross over $23.5m on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 800.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1424 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 800.98 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 06 2023 | ✅ | -915.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -114.08 | Trades | |
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | -114.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -114.45 | Trades | ||
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -119.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -119.17 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -124.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -124.65 | Trades | |||
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.6700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -137.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -137.35 | Trades | |
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.5760 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | -144.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.00 | Trades | |
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | 0.00% | 1.0292 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5,000.00 | Tue Jun 25 2024 | ✅ | -5,145.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -145.87 | Trades | |
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? | Yes | No | 1,000.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1474 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.24 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 15 2022 | ✅ | -1,147.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -147.41 | Trades | |
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 125.89 | 0.00% | 1.2276 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 07 2023 | ✅ | -154.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -154.55 | Trades | |
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -158.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -158.82 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -159.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -159.21 | Trades | ||
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 249.39 | 0.00% | 0.6700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | ✅ | -167.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -167.09 | Trades | |
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -184.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -184.85 | Trades | ||
Will 'Saw X' gross over $21m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 167.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1061 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | ✅ | -185.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -185.24 | Trades | |
Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -185.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -185.97 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,500.00 | 0.00% | 1.0573 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,500.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -3,700.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.61 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.8100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 06 2023 | ✅ | -202.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -202.50 | Trades | |
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -209.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -209.49 | Trades | ||
Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 12 2024 | ✅ | -223.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -223.37 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00% | 1.0968 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -2,742.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -242.00 | Trades | |
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.00 | 0.00% | 4.2573 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 75.00 | Thu Aug 03 2023 | ✅ | -319.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -244.30 | Trades | |
Will “meta” be included in Facebook’s new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | -248.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -248.92 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? | Yes | No | 500.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5226 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 25 2022 | ✅ | -261.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -261.33 | Trades | |
US military intervention by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 495.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5311 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | -262.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -262.91 | Trades | |
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1827 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,774.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -274.10 | Trades | |
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Sat Feb 24 2024 | ✅ | -274.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -274.72 | Trades | ||
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | ✅ | -276.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -276.91 | Trades | ||
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | -280.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -280.32 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -281.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -281.27 | Trades | ||
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5706 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 24 2023 | ✅ | -285.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -285.33 | Trades | |
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -300.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.58 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 419.24 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | -314.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -314.43 | Trades | |
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,500.00 | 0.00% | 0.1290 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -322.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -322.50 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 3,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0921 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -322.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -322.51 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -325.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -325.78 | Trades | ||
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 805.00 | 0.00% | 0.4101 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -330.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -330.15 | Trades | |
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -334.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -334.65 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -334.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -334.81 | Trades | ||
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | -339.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -339.84 | Trades | ||
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 577.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5992 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | -346.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -346.03 | Trades | |
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.6992 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -349.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -349.59 | Trades | |
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -350.00 | Trades | |
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 512.82 | 0.00% | 0.7087 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -363.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -363.42 | Trades | |
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | ✅ | -368.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -368.13 | Trades | ||
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 316.30 | 0.00% | 1.1991 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 01 2024 | ✅ | -379.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -379.27 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 550.00 | 0.00% | 0.7134 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 07 2024 | ✅ | -392.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -392.35 | Trades | |
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -407.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -407.95 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -408.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -408.93 | Trades | ||
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | -410.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -410.26 | Trades | ||
Rollbit rug by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -411.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -411.26 | Trades | ||
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2793 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -419.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -419.00 | Trades | ||
Will Biden drop out by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 16 2024 | ✅ | -430.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -430.57 | Trades | ||
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 499.77 | 0.00% | 0.8764 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -438.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -438.00 | Trades | |
Will any 15 or 16 seeds win in the first round in 2023 March Madness? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -454.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -454.64 | Trades | ||
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -475.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -475.83 | Trades | ||
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | -485.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -485.97 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,267.77 | 0.00% | 0.4181 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -530.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -530.00 | Trades | |
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -539.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -539.28 | Trades | ||
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 110.00 | 0.00% | 5.1594 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 23 2023 | ✅ | -567.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -567.53 | Trades | |
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.05 | 0.00% | 72.6297 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 9.05 | Sun Aug 13 2023 | ✅ | -657.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -648.25 | Trades | |
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 750.00 | 0.00% | 0.8907 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | -668.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -668.00 | Trades | |
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.30 | 0.00% | 126.9357 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -799.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -799.45 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -821.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -821.77 | Trades | ||
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.8450 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -845.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -845.00 | Trades | |
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 22 2022 | ✅ | -882.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -882.32 | Trades | ||
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 02 2023 | ✅ | -907.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -907.14 | Trades | ||
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 957.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.9675 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 957.42 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -1,883.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -926.30 | Trades | |
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,638.76 | 0.00% | 1.1434 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,638.76 | Mon Mar 04 2024 | ✅ | -7,590.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -952.22 | Trades | |
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? | Yes | No | 1,675.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5705 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 03 2023 | ✅ | -956.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -956.19 | Trades | |
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,221.75 | 0.00% | 0.4689 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 06 2024 | ✅ | -1,041.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,041.88 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.00 | 0.00% | 0.8597 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | ✅ | -1,074.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,074.62 | Trades | |
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,100.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,100.50 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? | Yes | No | 1,295.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8782 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -1,137.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,137.30 | Trades | |
2022 NBA Draft: Will Jabari Smith Jr. be the #1 Pick? | Yes | No | 1,500.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7802 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 23 2022 | ✅ | -1,170.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,170.50 | Trades | |
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? | Yes | No | 1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 15 2023 | ✅ | -1,350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,350.00 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -1,521.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,521.65 | Trades | ||
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,769.04 | 0.00% | 0.5775 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | -1,599.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,599.13 | Trades | |
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 26 2023 | ✅ | -1,936.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,936.09 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -2,091.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,091.22 | Trades | ||
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,953.00 | 0.00% | 1.1137 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | -2,175.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,175.14 | Trades | |
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? | Yes | No | 2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9181 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 16 2023 | ✅ | -2,295.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,295.17 | Trades | |
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | ✅ | -2,611.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,611.23 | Trades | ||
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | -3,835.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,835.72 | Trades | ||
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -4,595.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,595.12 | Trades | ||
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | ✅ | -7,468.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7,468.94 | Trades | ||
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | Yes | No | 10,000.87 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7950 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -7,950.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7,950.96 | Trades | |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | ✅ | -8,234.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8,234.49 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 146,114.51 | 444,717.84 | -237,950.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 352,882.28 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 12,443.83 | 15.96 | -38,597.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -26,137.22 | ||||||||||||
Total | 158,558.35 | 444,733.80 | -276,547.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 326,745.06 |