Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
2,884.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,884.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
371.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
371.16
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
322.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
322.25
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
286.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
286.42
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
231.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
231.48
|
Trades
|
Will Tadej PogaΔar win the 2023 Tour de France? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
186.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
186.00
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
180.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
180.34
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
177.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
177.87
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
174.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.09
|
Trades
|
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
170.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
170.84
|
Trades
|
Will the Drake AI song still be available on Youtube on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
β
|
170.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
170.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
167.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
167.65
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) |
Protasiewicz |
Kelly |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
152.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.56
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
151.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
151.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
67.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.0106
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
134.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.86
|
Trades
|
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 27 2023
|
β
|
133.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
133.40
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
127.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
127.36
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
123.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
123.08
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
122.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
113.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.36
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
103.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.43
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
97.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.52
|
Trades
|
Will Daniel Goldman win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 23 2022
|
β
|
96.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.31
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
95.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.53
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
93.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.65
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
93.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.26
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
81.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
81.47
|
Trades
|
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
80.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.85
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
β
|
77.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.22
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
76.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.78
|
Trades
|
Will Jesus "Chuy" Garcia win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
76.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.41
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
94.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.2064
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
94.72
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
β
|
-19.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.17
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 11 2022
|
β
|
74.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.64
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
74.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.13
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
72.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.49
|
Trades
|
Will Yuh-Line Niou win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
399.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8253
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
399.81
|
Tue Aug 23 2022
|
β
|
-329.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.86
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-12.6800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.10
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
64.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.80
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
66.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.22
|
Trades
|
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
66.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
60.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.53
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Julius Baer Generation Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 25 2022
|
β
|
59.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.38
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
58.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.57
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
56.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.95
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 09 2022
|
β
|
55.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.57
|
Trades
|
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
β
|
55.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.26
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
54.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.98
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
53.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.38
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
52.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.75
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
52.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.63
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
52.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.46
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have more than 22,726 tweets on February 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 10 2023
|
β
|
50.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.50
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
48.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.93
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: 49ers vs. Eagles |
49ers |
Eagles |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
β
|
46.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.67
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
11.11% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
45.18
|
1.43
|
0.00
|
46.61
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? |
Yes |
No |
259.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8236
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
259.71
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 18 2022
|
β
|
-213.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.81
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
45.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.04
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
44.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.11
|
Trades
|
Will Carlina Rivera win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
333.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.8692
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
333.98
|
Tue Aug 23 2022
|
β
|
-290.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.68
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
458.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0916
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
41.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.97
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
40.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.98
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 70 ETH or above on Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
40.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.71
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
39.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.88
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
38.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.49
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
38.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.08
|
Trades
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
37.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.29
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
37.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.01
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
36.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.89
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
36.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.76
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? |
Republicans |
Democrats |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
β
|
35.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.25
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 07 2023
|
β
|
33.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.64
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $10 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 29 2022
|
β
|
32.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.75
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
30.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.80
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
29.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.22
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
29.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.21
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
28.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.37
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 26 2022
|
β
|
27.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.25
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
27.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.07
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be another (1,074th) NFL Scorigami in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
25.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.16
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
24.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.30
|
Trades
|
Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
24.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.09
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
24.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.06
|
Trades
|
Will Hans Niemann finish top 3 in the U.S. Chess Championship? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 20 2022
|
β
|
24.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.05
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
23.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.70
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
23.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.65
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
23.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.31
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
22.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.17
|
Trades
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
36.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4116
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
36.67
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-15.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.58
|
Trades
|
Will Germany qualify from Group E? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
20.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.90
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
20.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.53
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
β
|
20.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.48
|
Trades
|
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2022 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 30 2022
|
β
|
20.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.18
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
20.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.08
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
20.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.05
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
18.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.96
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.00
|
0.00% |
|
-2.0900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
12.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.54
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Joy Ride' gross more than $13.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
17.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.73
|
Trades
|
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 06 2022
|
β
|
17.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.13
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
124.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.8680
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
124.94
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
-108.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.50
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
370.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.9556
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
370.16
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
β
|
-353.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.44
|
Trades
|
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
16.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.32
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
β
|
16.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.15
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
16.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.12
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
15.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.99
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
15.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.60
|
Trades
|
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
15.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.57
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
15.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.23
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
β
|
15.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.16
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
14.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.92
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
14.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.42
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 04 2022
|
β
|
14.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.35
|
Trades
|
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 22 2023
|
β
|
14.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.02
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
β
|
14.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.01
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
13.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.21
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
282.99
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0465
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
13.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.16
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
13.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.03
|
Trades
|
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
12.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.39
|
Trades
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
β
|
12.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.08
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
12.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.07
|
Trades
|
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? |
Partito Democratico |
Fratelli D'Italia |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 26 2022
|
β
|
12.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.05
|
Trades
|
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 15 2023
|
β
|
11.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.25
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
11.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.15
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
10.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.95
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
10.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.92
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 07 2022
|
β
|
10.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.73
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.50
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
10.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.36
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
10.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.33
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
10.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.23
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 US Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 11 2022
|
β
|
9.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.54
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
9.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.26
|
Trades
|
Will Kyrie Irving play any games by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.20
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the WR Chess Masters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
8.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.91
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
β
|
8.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.87
|
Trades
|
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
8.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.65
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
8.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.51
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
8.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.34
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
7.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.86
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
7.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
7.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.54
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
7.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.52
|
Trades
|
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $16 million domestically on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 27 2023
|
β
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
7.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.39
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 29 2022
|
β
|
7.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.18
|
Trades
|
World Cup 2022: Monday - Will England beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 21 2022
|
β
|
7.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.06
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.16
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
6.62
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
6.68
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will Senegal beat Qatar? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 25 2022
|
β
|
6.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.43
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
β
|
6.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.29
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
6.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.27
|
Trades
|
Will a South Korean team win LOL Worlds 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 05 2022
|
β
|
6.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.05
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.99
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
5.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.88
|
Trades
|
Will Japan qualify from Group E? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
5.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.58
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
7.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.7379
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
5.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.55
|
Trades
|
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
5.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.18
|
Trades
|
Will 'Halloween Ends' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 17 2022
|
β
|
5.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.17
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2000 by August 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 20 2022
|
β
|
5.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.17
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on October 24, 2022? (DEC 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 24 2022
|
β
|
5.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.11
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
5.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.04
|
Trades
|
Will Wesley So win the WR Chess Masters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 26 2023
|
β
|
5.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.01
|
Trades
|
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 24 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
4.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.98
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on October 17, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 17 2022
|
β
|
4.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.97
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
β
|
4.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.82
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
4.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.75
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will Brazil beat Switzerland? |
Yes |
No |
14.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6891
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
14.51
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.51
|
Trades
|
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
β
|
4.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.40
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 07 2022
|
β
|
4.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.32
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
4.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.28
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.05
|
Trades
|
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
4.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.02
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
β
|
3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
β
|
3.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.57
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 17, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 17 2022
|
β
|
3.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.55
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
3.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.41
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
3.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.36
|
Trades
|
Will Croatia qualify from Group F? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.30
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 29 2022
|
β
|
3.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.24
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be 75 ETH or above on August 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
3.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.03
|
Trades
|
Will Iran qualify from Group B? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
3.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.01
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the WR Chess Masters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 26 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 12 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 04 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
2.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.98
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
52.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9498
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
52.64
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.64
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will France beat Australia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 22 2022
|
β
|
2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.48
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
2.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.34
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.20
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina qualify from Group C? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
2.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.14
|
Trades
|
Will Portugal qualify from Group H? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
β
|
1.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.77
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce a token by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
1.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.63
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.51
|
Trades
|
Will England qualify from Group B? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
1.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.45
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $MATIC be above $0.80 on January 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 02 2023
|
β
|
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
Trades
|
Will Cristiano Ronaldo leave Manchester United by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
1.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.37
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Spain beat Costa Rica? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 23 2022
|
β
|
1.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.35
|
Trades
|
Will Spain qualify from Group E? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will France beat Poland? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 04 2022
|
β
|
1.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.28
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
1.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.27
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea |
Brazil |
South Korea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 05 2022
|
β
|
1.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.26
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by February 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 07 2023
|
β
|
1.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.16
|
Trades
|
Will France qualify from Group D? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
1.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.07
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 21 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on December 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - Will Argentina beat Australia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 03 2022
|
β
|
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Will Netherlands qualify from Group A? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 67 ETH on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.78
|
Trades
|
Will Costa Rica qualify from Group E? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.77
|
Trades
|
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 05 2022
|
β
|
0.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil qualify from Group G? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.67
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on Sept 30? |
Yes |
No |
37.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9841
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
37.96
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-37.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? |
Police |
Nahel |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 07 2023
|
β
|
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1500 on November 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 04 2022
|
β
|
0.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.54
|
Trades
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.75 on Sept 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
55.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0090
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
0.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
0.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.49
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
0.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.32
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.29
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.28
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
0.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Switzerland beat Cameroon? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.24
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 6.6% or higher on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Pound dip below the US Dollar before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0027
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0019
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2022 Belgian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.28
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 28 2022
|
β
|
-0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.19
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.53
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.55
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.76
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
-0.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.91
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.03
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.18
|
Trades
|
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-1.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.32
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? |
Token |
Public |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-1.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.78
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-2.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.06
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-3.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.86
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
$1,000 |
$2,000 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-4.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.18
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-5.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.38
|
Trades
|
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-6.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.05
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
-7.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.58
|
Trades
|
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 05 2022
|
β
|
-7.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.98
|
Trades
|
Will Biden announce he is running for president by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 28 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
56.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1455
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
-8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-8.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.24
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.5700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-9.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.21
|
Trades
|
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
115.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0803
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-9.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.23
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Argentina beat Saudi Arabia? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 22 2022
|
β
|
-9.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.96
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - Will Australia beat Tunisia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 26 2022
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will England beat USA? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 25 2022
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
Will Australia qualify from Group D? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
Will Denmark qualify from Group D? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 26 2022
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
Will South Korea qualify from Group H? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.99
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Germany beat Japan? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 23 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Belgium qualify from Group F? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Croatia win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
85.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will Japan beat Costa Rica? |
Yes |
No |
14.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7041
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 27 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will Brazil beat Cameroon? |
Yes |
No |
13.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7164
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 02 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia |
Brazil |
Croatia |
11.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8540
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 09 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
39.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2553
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.83
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
-16.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.17
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 30 2022
|
β
|
-16.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.39
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-16.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.44
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
-19.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.27
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 06 2022
|
β
|
-19.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.94
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Danuse Nerudova win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-21.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.95
|
Trades
|
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-22.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.48
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-26.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.23
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-27.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.08
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-27.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.64
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-31.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-32.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-37.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.10
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-37.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-37.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.50
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-40.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.77
|
Trades
|
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 23 2022
|
β
|
-44.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.21
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 12 2022
|
β
|
-45.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.80
|
Trades
|
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-49.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.05
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-49.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.95
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
134.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3716
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
57.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.8685
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4409
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-50.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.70
|
Trades
|
Did US GDP grow 2.0% or more in Q2 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
β
|
-52.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-53.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.00
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 18 2022
|
β
|
-53.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.11
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-53.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.60
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Zury RΓos win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-54.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-55.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.60
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
-57.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.32
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-60.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.74
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-84.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.81
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-84.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.89
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-85.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.20
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-89.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-89.93
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3033
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-91.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-91.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-93.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.19
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-97.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-97.77
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
β
|
-98.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-98.18
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
133.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.7472
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-110.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.16
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-118.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-118.48
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.2124
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 02 2023
|
β
|
-127.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-127.52
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-140.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-140.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-149.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-149.85
|
Trades
|
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? |
SBF |
Bitboy |
0.00
|
69.58
|
0.00% |
|
2.2257
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-154.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-154.86
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-159.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-159.13
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren |
Nepomniachtchi |
Liren |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-172.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-172.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-182.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-182.32
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
240.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-182.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-182.75
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-189.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-189.71
|
Trades
|
Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 19 2022
|
β
|
-198.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-198.91
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on September 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
-200.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.77
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-213.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-213.02
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
323.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7121
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-230.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-230.19
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-247.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-247.96
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
-249.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-249.54
|
Trades
|
Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7050
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-282.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-282.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
354.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.7990
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-283.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-283.53
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.85
|
0.00% |
|
38.2718
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-300.42
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
-300.33
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
355.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8562
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
-304.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-304.63
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
869.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3684
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-320.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-320.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 24 2022
|
β
|
-364.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-364.71
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
499.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
-440.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-440.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
3,122.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6434
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,009.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,009.45
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
406.71
|
1,329.73
|
|
|
-599.35
|
1.71
|
0.01
|
1,138.81
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
406.71
|
1,329.73
|
|
|
-598.35
|
1.71
|
0.01
|
1,139.81
|
|