Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
178.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
178.00
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
145.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
145.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
113.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.80
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
78.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.14
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
62.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.95
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
426.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0360
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
15.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.36
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
13.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.99
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.4400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
24.24
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-10.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.58
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Zury RÃos win? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0770
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
7.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.70
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
4.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.03
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.91
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.60
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.20
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.8871
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.54
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-16.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
✅ |
1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 13 2023
|
✅ |
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
UFC 290: Who will win - Volkanovski or Rodriguez? (2023-07-08) |
Volkanovski |
Rodriguez |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 07 2023
|
✅ |
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Edmond Mulet win? |
Yes |
No |
214.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
-6.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.42
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0038
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
-9.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.80
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 14 2023
|
✅ |
-10.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.98
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
465.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0310
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-14.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.41
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
403.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0476
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-19.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.20
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
-20.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.66
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-22.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.41
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
49.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5565
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-27.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.82
|
Trades
|
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
✅ |
-45.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.60
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
✅ |
-47.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.20
|
Trades
|
CZ sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.3760
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-56.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.45
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-59.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-59.50
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15,200.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.0116
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
-177.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-177.01
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2,918.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0748
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-218.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-218.41
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
863.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.2700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-233.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,588.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.2151
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-341.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-341.70
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2385
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-477.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-477.00
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,690.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.0647
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
-497.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-497.58
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-548.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-548.93
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
42.79
|
|
|
-2,338.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,295.89
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
42.79
|
|
|
-2,338.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,295.73
|
|