Account
0x5c04481982957fb09b332d5404eb985162d6a5f7 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 5,897.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,897.44 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 2,242.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,242.57 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 785.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 785.33 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 312.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 312.29 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 122.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.76 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | 105.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.58 | Trades | ||
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 99.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.79 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 83.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.42 | Trades | ||
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 54.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.09 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 50.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.66 | Trades | ||
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 47.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.52 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 44.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.82 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 43.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.43 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Bidenβs disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | β | 36.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.05 | Trades | ||
Will the New York Yankees win the 2021 AL East? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | β | 33.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.79 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 414.42 | 0.00% | 0.9209 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 414.42 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | -381.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.77 | Trades | |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the NL West division? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 31.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.33 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on January 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 13 2022 | β | 24.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.64 | Trades | ||
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 21.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.45 | Trades | |||||||
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 21.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.18 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | 18.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.63 | Trades | ||
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 15.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.37 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 313.49 | 0.00% | 0.9570 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 313.49 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.49 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 11.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.42 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of Chain Runners be above 1.25 ETH on December 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 02 2021 | β | 10.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.76 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 409.98 | 0.00% | 0.9757 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 409.98 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.98 | Trades | |
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 9.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.20 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 243.40 | 0.00% | 0.9638 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 243.40 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -234.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.81 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 8.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.32 | Trades | ||
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 8.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.17 | Trades | ||
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | β | 7.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.60 | Trades | ||||||
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | β | 7.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.47 | Trades | ||
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 6.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.80 | Trades | ||
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 12 2021 | β | 6.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.34 | Trades | ||
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | Trades | ||
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 8.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4818 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.30 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.30 | Trades | |
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 4.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.12 | Trades | ||
Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? | Germany | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | 4.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.04 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 3.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.81 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 3.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70 | Trades | ||
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | β | 3.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.52 | Trades | ||
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 3.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.37 | Trades | ||
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | β | 2.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.93 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | 2.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.42 | Trades | ||
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the βsecond weekβ of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | β | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.18 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 202.18 | 0.00% | 0.9892 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 202.18 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.18 | Trades | |
Will Taylor Swiftβs re-recording of her album βRedβ beat Kanye's "Donda" in first week streams? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.95 | 0.00% | 0.9809 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.95 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.95 | Trades | |
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 157.32 | 0.00% | 0.9899 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 157.32 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -155.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.59 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 | Trades | ||
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 47, 2021 (Nov 22 - Nov 28)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.81 | Trades | ||
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on November 30? | Yes | No | 150.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9957 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.65 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 | Trades | |
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | |||
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 85.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0235 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.78 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | -12.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.49 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -33.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.70 | Trades | ||
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -54.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.42 | Trades | ||||||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -67.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.39 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -72.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.96 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -77.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.29 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -84.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -84.16 | Trades | ||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 313.63 | 0.00% | 0.5122 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -160.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -160.63 | Trades | |
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | -389.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -389.93 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -496.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -496.46 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -919.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -919.40 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -10,849.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10,849.62 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 158.95 | 1,842.75 | -4,947.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,945.58 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 158.95 | 1,842.75 | -4,947.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,945.58 |