Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-21.7990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.01
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
21.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.00
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
10.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.82
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
9.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.29
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
7.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.69
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
6.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.69
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.26
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
3.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.28
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
2.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.78
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
2.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.43
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
β
|
1.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.67
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.21
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
3.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2345
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.86
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
0.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.33
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? |
Yes |
No |
2.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 13 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.1400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
25.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester City be the 2022-23 Premier League champions? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will France win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Arsenal be the 2022-23 Premier League champions? |
Yes |
No |
1.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.06
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
2.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.6700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
8.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
11.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
10.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
26.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1134
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
7.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5211
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.44
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-4.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.96
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.7200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.2800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
17.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.2400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 08 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.4661
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? |
Jake Paul |
Anderson Silva |
0.00
|
14.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.3405
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 29 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.6815
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.5644
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
34.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2879
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
20.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.4892
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
16.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.6240
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
15.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.6261
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
15.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.6358
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
14.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.6820
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
14.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6686
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
86.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.1157
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.01
|
0.03
|
|
|
-101.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.69
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.01
|
0.03
|
|
|
-101.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.69
|
|