Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5,090.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4559
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5,090.69
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,321.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,769.60
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
2,443.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,443.12
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
725.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3983
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
725.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-288.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
436.22
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
393.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
393.20
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
273.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
273.02
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
270.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
270.61
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
248.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
248.70
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
336.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5938
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
336.80
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.80
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
150.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
123.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,748.12
|
100.00% |
|
0.9419
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,748.12
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,646.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.57
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,983.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.9542
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,983.33
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,892.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.83
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
51.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.31
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
37.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.58
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
29.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.30
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
21.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.01
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 13 2021
|
β
|
19.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.63
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1226
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
18.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.38
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
14.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.73
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
11.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.95
|
Trades
|
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
β
|
6.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.58
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
-5.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.79
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-6.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.75
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
36.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-7.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.95
|
Trades
|
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
44.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
199.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.95
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? |
Yes |
No |
301.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0366
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-11.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.01
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-12.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.77
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
46.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
-16.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.15
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-17.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.98
|
Trades
|
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
-22.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.50
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
379.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0619
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-23.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.48
|
Trades
|
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
-32.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
225.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1522
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-34.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.25
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-41.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.61
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-42.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.00
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-45.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
157.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3341
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
β
|
-52.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-52.65
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
935.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1092
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-102.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.20
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-108.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.64
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
310.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3538
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.00
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,317.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0558
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-129.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-129.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
214.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7159
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-153.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.71
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,953.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.0633
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-187.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-187.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
413.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.6050
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
777.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.4500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
β
|
-350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-350.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
2,735.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1791
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-490.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-490.00
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2,304.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3262
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-751.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-751.75
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,220.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6212
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-758.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-758.42
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1,521.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,521.06
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1,747.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,747.12
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
2,567.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7335
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
-1,883.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,883.56
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,577.49
|
4,456.45
|
|
|
-11,488.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,454.40
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,577.49
|
4,456.45
|
|
|
-11,488.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,454.40
|
|