Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.28
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
✅ |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.17
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
✅ |
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.9050
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0.01
|
|
|
-2.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.91
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.22
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0.01
|
|
|
-3.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.14
|
|