Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
9.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1020
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
25.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1550
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
32.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.63
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.05
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1158
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.36
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
4.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2189
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
9.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
11.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0120
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
34.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
5.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
7.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? |
Yes |
No |
51.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
7.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2653
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
190.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.0105
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0480
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
31.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0643
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender before February? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1429
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0667
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
60.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1651
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-9.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.91
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
34.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5632
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-19.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.44
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.4900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-39.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.73
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-50.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.73
|
|