Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
1.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.5018
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.55
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.00
|
Trades
|
Will Neymar leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
44.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.21
|
Trades
|
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
37.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.07
|
Trades
|
Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
36.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.90
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
66.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6061
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
66.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
53.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5999
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
53.60
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-32.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.45
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
β
|
13.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.59
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
10.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.57
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Will Messi score in his next game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
0.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
27.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
34.36
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
0.1097
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-3.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.77
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.95
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2854
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-7.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.13
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
37.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa GonzΓ‘lez win? |
Yes |
No |
14.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
159.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1040
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-16.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.55
|
Trades
|
Will Rubiales remain Spanish FA president through Sep 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
β
|
-20.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.24
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
58.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4092
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-23.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.85
|
Trades
|
Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6857
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.60
|
66.00
|
|
|
-6.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.43
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.55
|
|
|
-0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.60
|
66.55
|
|
|
-6.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.42
|
|