Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2316 1.00 0.00 1.45 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 βœ… -0.34 0.00 0.00 1.11 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 3.10 0.00 0.00% 0.2579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? Yes No 0.18 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Is Google shutting down Gmail? Yes No 49.90 0.00 0.00% 0.0020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 12.91 0.00 0.00% 0.6878 1.00 0.00 12.91 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 βœ… -8.88 0.00 0.00 4.03 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Texans vs. Browns Texans Browns 2.13 0.00 0.00% 0.4700 1.00 0.00 2.13 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 1.13 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.21 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.21 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1.19 0.00 0.00 -0.99 Trades
NBA: Will Immanuel Quickley win Sixth Man of the Year? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 17.59 0.00 0.00 17.59 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.79 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 4.62 0.00 0.00 4.62 Trades
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? United States South Korea 45.03 0.00 0.00% 0.4143 0.50 0.50 22.51 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -18.66 0.00 0.00 3.86 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0450 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will EIP-4844 be implemented by EOY? Yes No 8.71 0.00 0.00% 0.5951 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -5.18 0.00 0.00 -5.18 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 15.81 0.00 0.00% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 15.81 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -13.49 0.00 0.00 2.32 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.27 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.14 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.11 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.11 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 44.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0448 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.67 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Magnus play Hans by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 4.65 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 4.90 0.00% 0.0708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.35 Trades
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $15b 1 week after launch? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 111.11 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 3.81 0.00 0.00% 0.2887 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -1.10 0.00 0.00 -1.10 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 2.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0490 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 50.12 0.00 0.00% 0.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 βœ… -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 89.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0123 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -1.10 0.00 0.00 -1.10 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.44 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers be Traded by NFL week 1? Yes No 0.00 0.11 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 07 2023 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? Yes No 1.23 0.00 0.00% 0.8100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? Yes No 3.69 0.00 0.00% 0.3524 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -1.30 0.00 0.00 -1.30 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.10 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.21 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.11 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 1.74 0.00 0.00% 0.1152 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 0.25 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.25 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 3.17 0.00% 0.2029 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.64 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.18 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.48 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 1.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6424 1.00 0.00 1.71 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… -1.10 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Will Vox win over 45 seats in the 2023 Spanish general election? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 22 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0160 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 βœ… -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 10.44 0.00 0.00% 0.0830 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.87 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 1.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 1.05 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
NBA: Will Russell Westbrook win Sixth Man of the Year? Yes No 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 20 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Napoli win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 1.18 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.18 Sat Jun 10 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Bayern Munich win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 1.18 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.18 Fri Jun 09 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will Real Madrid win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 1.08 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.08 Thu Jun 08 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 1? Yes No 14.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1429 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 35.35 0.00 0.01% 0.1410 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -4.98 0.00 0.00 -4.98 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 1.27 0.00 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 1.27 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.25 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 12.33 0.00 0.00 12.33 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 19.92 0.00 0.00 19.92 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.09 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? Yes No 20.59 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Erdoğan >93Β’ on May 26? Yes No 2.35 0.00 0.00% 0.4250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 26 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 9.74 0.00 0.00% 0.5249 1.00 0.00 9.74 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… -5.11 0.00 0.00 4.63 Trades
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.17 Trades
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will Finland win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.10 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.10 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.56 0.00% 0.6400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 1.0199 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.05 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.05 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 57.04 0.00 41.16% 0.1323 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -7.55 0.00 0.00 -7.55 Trades
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren Nepomniachtchi Liren 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 15 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.54 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 0.11 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
NBA: Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers 2023-04-04 Magic Cavaliers 0.27 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NBA: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings 2023-04-04 Pelicans Kings 0.16 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 1.83 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 9.24 0.00% 0.2035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -1.88 0.00 0.00 -1.88 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 29.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2660 1.00 0.00 29.08 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -7.74 0.00 0.00 21.34 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 67 ETH on March 31? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in March? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 23.96 0.00 0.00 23.96 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.50% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 1.20 0.00 0.00 1.20 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NBA: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks 2023-03-29 Pacers Bucks 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Mar 29 2023 βœ… -2.23 0.00 0.00 -2.22 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 βœ… 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? Yes No 1.04 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 1.04 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 201.00 0.00 100.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 14.92 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.13 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,332.85 0.00 0.26% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -1.70 0.00 0.00 -1.70 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 1.52 0.00 0.00 1.52 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.72 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 28.12 0.00 0.00 28.12 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 44.58 0.08% -0.0146 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 44.64 0.03% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 3.19 0.00 0.00% 0.0627 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 4.09 0.00 0.00% 0.1223 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 40.71 0.00% 0.0025 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 βœ… 3.63 0.00 0.00 3.63 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.80 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.80 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana? Yes No 0.00 0.22 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 24 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NFL Thursday: Titans vs. Packers Titans Packers 0.00 22.75 0.35% 0.0044 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 17 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.01 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 307.39 0.03% -0.0033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 51.27 0.00 0.00% 0.0039 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.59 0.00 0.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 2,489.44 0.07% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -1.17 0.00 0.00 -1.17 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 24.37 0.00 0.08% 0.0274 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 59.62 0.00 0.09% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? Jake Paul Anderson Silva 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 29 2022 βœ… -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.21 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.21 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 7.75 0.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.05 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
[From kain.eth] Will Synthetix capture more single day fees than Bitcoin by September 8? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 βœ… -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.82 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.83 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.83 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 139.01 0.00% 0.6488 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… -90.19 0.00 0.00 -90.19 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 9.83 0.00 0.00% 0.0203 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? Yes No 32.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0305 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 62.05 0.00 0.00% 0.1128 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 βœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.38 0.00% 0.6215 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.86 Trades
Will β€˜BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.26 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Unslashed Insurance payout for an Anchor + UST depeg by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 1.56 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.26 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.26 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 9.82 0.00% 0.0102 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 βœ… -2.29 0.00 0.00 -2.29 Trades
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 53.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0943 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 0.19 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 08 2022 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.51 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 βœ… 102.44 0.00 0.00 102.44 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 βœ… 19.44 0.00 0.00 19.44 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? Yes No 1.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0960 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 6.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0650 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -0.44 0.04 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Bayern Munich win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.32 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open? Yes No 0.00 51.28 0.10% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 βœ… -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? Yes No 31.58 0.00 0.01% 0.0032 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 βœ… 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 293.67 0.00 3.59% 0.0011 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 βœ… -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 βœ… 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… 2.07 0.00 0.00 2.07 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? Yes No 62.34 0.00 0.04% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? Yes No 2.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 βœ… 1.28 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? Yes No 0.20 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
NCAAB March Madness: Who will win Villanova vs. Kansas, scheduled for April 2 (6:09 PM ET)? Villanova Kansas 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 βœ… 1.92 0.00 0.00 1.92 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.60 0.00% 0.0592 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? Yes No 39.29 0.00 0.11% 0.0035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 2.43 0.00 0.00% 0.2469 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 0.81 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Nets by more than 2.5 points in their January 12 matchup? Yes No 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… 4.55 0.00 0.00 4.55 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.44 0.56 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -2.12 0.00 0.00 -2.12 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 10.28 0.00 0.00% 0.2786 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2.86 0.00 0.00 -2.86 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 40.82 0.00 1.82% 0.5088 0.03 0.97 1.08 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -20.77 0.00 0.00 -19.69 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.39 0.01% 0.6584 0.96 0.04 0.00 0.25 Tue Sep 10 2024 -4.20 0.01 0.00 -3.94 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 1.55 0.00 0.03% 0.5646 0.04 0.96 0.06 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.81 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 5.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0350 0.02 0.98 0.11 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.06 0.94 0.08 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.12 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 20.10 0.00% 0.3567 0.79 0.21 0.00 4.13 Tue Sep 10 2024 -7.17 0.00 0.00 -3.04 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.59 0.00 0.00% 0.89 0.11 0.52 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 1.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0708 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Resolved 102.23 10.39 -7.79 0.06 0.00 104.89
Unresolved 1.86 4.39 -39.18 0.02 0.00 -32.92
Total 104.09 14.78 -46.98 0.08 0.00 71.97