Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.49 0.51 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -2.12 0.00 0.00 -2.12 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 10.61 0.00% 0.4425 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4.70 0.00 0.00 -4.70 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 βœ… 102.44 0.00 0.00 102.44 Trades
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? United States South Korea 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 40.36 0.00 0.00 40.36 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 28.12 0.00 0.00 28.12 Trades
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 23.96 0.00 0.00 23.96 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 29.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2660 1.00 0.00 29.08 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -7.74 0.00 0.00 21.34 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 19.92 0.00 0.00 19.92 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 βœ… 19.44 0.00 0.00 19.44 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 17.59 0.00 0.00 17.59 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 20.10 0.00% 0.3567 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.10 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -7.17 0.00 0.00 12.93 Trades
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 12.33 0.00 0.00 12.33 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 9.17 0.00 0.00% 0.2390 1.00 0.00 9.17 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 βœ… -2.19 0.00 0.00 6.97 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 9.74 0.00 0.00% 0.5249 1.00 0.00 9.74 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… -5.11 0.00 0.00 4.63 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.79 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 4.62 0.00 0.00 4.62 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… 4.55 0.00 0.00 4.55 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 12.91 0.00 0.00% 0.6878 1.00 0.00 12.91 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 βœ… -8.88 0.00 0.00 4.03 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 βœ… 3.63 0.00 0.00 3.63 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 3.05 0.00 0.00 3.05 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… 2.07 0.00 0.00 2.07 Trades
NCAAB March Madness: Who will win Villanova vs. Kansas, scheduled for April 2 (6:09 PM ET)? Villanova Kansas 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 βœ… 1.92 0.00 0.00 1.92 Trades
Will Unslashed Insurance payout for an Anchor + UST depeg by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… 1.56 0.00 0.00 1.56 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 1.52 0.00 0.00 1.52 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 βœ… 1.28 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 1.20 0.00 0.00 1.20 Trades
Texans vs. Browns Texans Browns 2.13 0.00 0.00% 0.4700 1.00 0.00 2.13 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 1.13 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2316 1.00 0.00 1.45 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 βœ… -0.34 0.00 0.00 1.11 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 307.39 0.03% -0.0033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.09 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 βœ… 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 44.58 0.08% -0.0146 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 1.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6424 1.00 0.00 1.71 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… -1.10 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.80 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.80 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 βœ… 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.44 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 1.27 0.00 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 1.27 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Bayern Munich win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 1.18 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.18 Fri Jun 09 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Napoli win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 1.18 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.18 Sat Jun 10 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.83 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.83 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 0.25 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.25 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? Yes No 0.20 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Finland win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.10 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.10 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.18 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? Yes No 0.18 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Real Madrid win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 1.08 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.08 Thu Jun 08 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 1.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 1.05 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.05 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.05 Mon May 01 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 βœ… 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? Yes No 1.04 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 1.04 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.26 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.26 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.13 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.05 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.21 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.21 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.21 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.11 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 0.11 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 15 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.10 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 08 2022 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 7.75 0.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.59 0.00 0.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $15b 1 week after launch? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 44.64 0.03% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
NBA: Will Russell Westbrook win Sixth Man of the Year? Yes No 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 20 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in March? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? Yes No 62.34 0.00 0.04% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers be Traded by NFL week 1? Yes No 0.00 0.11 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 07 2023 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 1.0199 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open? Yes No 0.00 51.28 0.10% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 βœ… -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.11 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.11 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? Jake Paul Anderson Silva 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 29 2022 βœ… -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.27 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.14 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 59.62 0.00 0.09% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
NFL Thursday: Titans vs. Packers Titans Packers 0.00 22.75 0.35% 0.0044 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 17 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.01 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 1.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0708 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.60 0.00% 0.0592 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Is Google shutting down Gmail? Yes No 49.90 0.00 0.00% 0.0020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 40.71 0.00% 0.0025 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren Nepomniachtchi Liren 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NBA: Will Immanuel Quickley win Sixth Man of the Year? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NBA: Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers 2023-04-04 Magic Cavaliers 0.27 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NBA: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings 2023-04-04 Pelicans Kings 0.16 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.67 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 2.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0490 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Bayern Munich win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.32 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Nets by more than 2.5 points in their January 12 matchup? Yes No 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? Yes No 1.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0960 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will β€˜BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.26 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? Yes No 2.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.51 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 9.82 0.00% 0.0102 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 0.19 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Portugal beat Ghana? Yes No 0.00 0.22 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 24 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.25 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 67 ETH on March 31? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? Yes No 31.58 0.00 0.01% 0.0032 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 βœ… -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.50% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 1.83 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? Yes No 39.29 0.00 0.11% 0.0035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 14.92 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 12 2023 βœ… -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.17 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 5.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 1.74 0.00 0.00% 0.1152 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 0.81 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 51.27 0.00 0.00% 0.0039 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 9.83 0.00 0.00% 0.0203 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 3.19 0.00 0.00% 0.0627 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 50.12 0.00 0.00% 0.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 βœ… -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.72 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0450 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? Yes No 0.48 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.23 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 293.67 0.00 3.59% 0.0011 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 βœ… -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 4.90 0.00% 0.0708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.35 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 6.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0650 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -0.44 0.04 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.59 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 βœ… -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0160 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 βœ… -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 4.09 0.00 0.00% 0.1223 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Magnus play Hans by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.54 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 2.43 0.00 0.00% 0.2469 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 3.17 0.00% 0.2029 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.64 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 24.37 0.00 0.08% 0.0274 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 3.10 0.00 0.00% 0.2579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
[From kain.eth] Will Synthetix capture more single day fees than Bitcoin by September 8? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 βœ… -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.82 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.38 0.00% 0.6215 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.86 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 10.44 0.00 0.00% 0.0830 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.87 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 2.21 0.00 0.03% 0.3982 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.88 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.21 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.21 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1.19 0.00 0.00 -0.99 Trades
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? Yes No 1.23 0.00 0.00% 0.8100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Erdoğan >93Β’ on May 26? Yes No 2.35 0.00 0.00% 0.4250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 26 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Vox win over 45 seats in the 2023 Spanish general election? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 22 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? Yes No 32.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0305 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.56 0.00% 0.6400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 3.81 0.00 0.00% 0.2887 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -1.10 0.00 0.00 -1.10 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 89.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0123 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -1.10 0.00 0.00 -1.10 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 2,489.44 0.07% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -1.17 0.00 0.00 -1.17 Trades
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? Yes No 3.69 0.00 0.00% 0.3524 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -1.30 0.00 0.00 -1.30 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,332.85 0.00 0.26% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -1.70 0.00 0.00 -1.70 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 9.24 0.00% 0.2035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -1.88 0.00 0.00 -1.88 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 44.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0448 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 4.65 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 1? Yes No 14.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1429 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 201.00 0.00 100.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
NBA: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks 2023-03-29 Pacers Bucks 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Mar 29 2023 βœ… -2.23 0.00 0.00 -2.22 Trades
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 βœ… -2.29 0.00 0.00 -2.29 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 8.41 0.01% 0.5015 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -4.22 0.01 0.00 -4.20 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 35.35 0.00 0.01% 0.1410 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -4.98 0.00 0.00 -4.98 Trades
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 53.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0943 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will EIP-4844 be implemented by EOY? Yes No 8.71 0.00 0.00% 0.5951 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -5.18 0.00 0.00 -5.18 Trades
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? Yes No 20.59 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 βœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 62.05 0.00 0.00% 0.1128 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 βœ… -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 57.04 0.00 41.16% 0.1323 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -7.55 0.00 0.00 -7.55 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 111.11 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 59.23 0.00 1.82% 0.3522 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 βœ… -20.86 0.00 0.00 -20.86 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 139.01 0.00% 0.6488 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… -90.19 0.00 0.00 -90.19 Trades
Resolved 73.07 30.50 31.55 0.08 0.00 135.20
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -7.10 0.00 0.00 -7.10
Total 73.08 30.50 24.45 0.08 0.00 128.10