Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
2,911.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,911.31
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
6,328.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6289
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
5,525.84
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-3,979.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,545.99
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
400.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1429
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
190.09
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-57.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.91
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6086
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
556.06
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-426.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
130.06
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.78
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
74.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.28
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
69.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
314.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.8706
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
296.02
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-274.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.79
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
452.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1105
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
18.02
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.98
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-104.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-104.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-135.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-135.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
359.61
|
0.00% |
|
1.3160
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
335.96
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-473.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-137.28
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
722.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2115
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-152.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-152.68
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-320.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-320.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-420.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-420.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-925.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-925.23
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
37,318.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37,318.91
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
✅ |
12,666.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,666.22
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
5,834.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,834.38
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
4,039.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,039.02
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
3,988.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,988.89
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
3,336.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,336.89
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
2,090.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,090.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.14
|
0.00% |
|
-355.5219
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
1,471.90
|
206.26
|
0.00
|
1,678.16
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
1,426.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,426.48
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,097.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,097.13
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
959.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
959.47
|
Trades
|
Buccaneers vs. Eagles |
Buccaneers |
Eagles |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
✅ |
911.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
911.39
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
881.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
881.60
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
876.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
876.06
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
800.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 284: Who will win - Makhachev or Volkanovski? |
Makhachev |
Volkanovski |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 11 2023
|
✅ |
710.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
710.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
678.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
678.99
|
Trades
|
UFC 278: Who will win - Usman vs Edwards 2 |
Usman |
Edwards |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 20 2022
|
✅ |
676.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
676.45
|
Trades
|
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.69
|
0.00% |
|
-89.4071
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
598.09
|
20.05
|
0.00
|
618.14
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
✅ |
527.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
527.57
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
526.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
526.96
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
515.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
515.37
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
413.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
413.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
397.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
397.16
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
375.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
375.07
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
15.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-23.8464
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
373.33
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
373.41
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
371.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
371.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
353.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
353.95
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
346.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
346.25
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
322.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
322.64
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.21
|
0.00
|
0.28% |
-58.7989
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
306.11
|
8.86
|
0.00
|
314.97
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
307.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
307.25
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
✅ |
302.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
302.78
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.99
|
0.00% |
|
-60.7469
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
242.27
|
49.94
|
0.00
|
292.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
279.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
279.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.52
|
0.00% |
|
-25.5168
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
217.44
|
46.20
|
0.00
|
263.64
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase list PEPE by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
240.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
240.94
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
235.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.94
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
219.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.97
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
219.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.86
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
217.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
217.92
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
200.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.97
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
196.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
196.00
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
✅ |
193.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
193.26
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
180.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
180.79
|
Trades
|
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes |
Pena |
Nunes |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
✅ |
177.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
177.26
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
500.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
✅ |
-325.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
175.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
169.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
169.18
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Giants |
49ers |
Giants |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 21 2023
|
✅ |
163.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
163.30
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
160.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
160.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
156.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.21
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
152.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.97
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
140.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
140.77
|
Trades
|
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? |
Yes |
No |
350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
350.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
-210.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
140.00
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
131.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.43
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
121.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
121.28
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
121.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
121.15
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck KO Musk? |
Yes |
No |
510.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2684
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
255.03
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-136.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.13
|
Trades
|
UFC 277: Who will win - Moreno vs Kara-France |
Moreno |
Kara-France |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
✅ |
116.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.21
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
113.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.42
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
113.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.30
|
Trades
|
Lens Protocol Airdrop by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
107.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
103.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.69
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
100.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.45
|
Trades
|
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Sep 05 2022
|
✅ |
97.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.83
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
8.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-11.1092
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
91.29
|
5.49
|
0.00
|
96.78
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
96.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.39
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 19 2023
|
✅ |
95.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.81
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
✅ |
92.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.21
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
92.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
91.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.00
|
Trades
|
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 03 2022
|
✅ |
89.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.92
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
87.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.17
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7950
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-318.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
80.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.41
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
79.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.00
|
Trades
|
MLB: Who will win Atlanta Braves v. Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 9, 7:10 PM ET? |
Braves |
Red Sox |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 09 2022
|
✅ |
78.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.91
|
Trades
|
Ravens vs. Colts |
Ravens |
Colts |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
✅ |
78.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.33
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
78.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.00
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.00
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
✅ |
74.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.88
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
410.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.8287
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
410.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-339.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.24
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
156.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.5591
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
156.92
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
✅ |
-87.73
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
69.93
|
Trades
|
UFC 278: Who will win - Aldo vs Dvalishvili |
Aldo |
Dvalishvili |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 20 2022
|
✅ |
67.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.10
|
Trades
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
✅ |
66.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.91
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 15 2023
|
✅ |
56.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.50
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
56.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 05 2022
|
✅ |
55.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.16
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.00
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be greater than 0.4% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
-146.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.00
|
Trades
|
Vikings vs. Chargers |
Vikings |
Chargers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
✅ |
53.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.05
|
0.00% |
|
1.5106
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-12.17
|
64.64
|
0.00
|
52.47
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
50.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.39
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
48.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.00
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
47.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.28
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
500.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-455.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.00
|
Trades
|
NFL Thursday: Bills vs. Rams |
Bills |
Rams |
0.00
|
2,792.71
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0160
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 09 2022
|
✅ |
44.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.62
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? |
Celtics |
Warriors |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 02 2022
|
✅ |
41.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.53
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.00
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-261.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
593.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9355
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
593.27
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
-555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.27
|
Trades
|
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? |
SBF |
Bitboy |
98.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6109
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
98.21
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 28 2024
|
✅ |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.00
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
100.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
-67.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.00
|
Trades
|
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
211.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.8474
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
211.17
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-178.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.23
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
-368.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
519.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9388
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
519.58
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-487.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.78
|
Trades
|
Will Schwab fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
✅ |
-170.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
-270.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
29.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.79
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
361.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.9202
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
361.89
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-333.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.89
|
Trades
|
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
28.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.76
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
28.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.56
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
282.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
282.70
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-254.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.27
|
Trades
|
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
✅ |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Dolphins vs. Broncos |
Dolphins |
Broncos |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
✅ |
23.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.46
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
134.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.8273
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
134.17
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-111.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.17
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
69.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
69.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-47.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.39
|
Trades
|
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
20.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.98
|
Trades
|
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9480
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
-379.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.80
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Bahrain Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 05 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
✅ |
19.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.32
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 01 2022
|
✅ |
19.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.28
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
129.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.8554
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
129.76
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-111.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.76
|
Trades
|
Colts vs. Rams |
Colts |
Rams |
0.00
|
53.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
53.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-34.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.55
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
336.2092
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
-563.93
|
582.21
|
0.00
|
18.28
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
18.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.04
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
18.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.02
|
Trades
|
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
37.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5328
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
37.54
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.54
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
114.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.8723
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
114.64
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.64
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
13.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.94
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be greater than 0.5% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
255.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
255.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
-242.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.75
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
✅ |
12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.00
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
9.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.53
|
Trades
|
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.3686
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
9.05
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
9.10
|
Trades
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
9.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.03
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
8.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.92
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
53.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
53.34
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
-45.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? |
Independent |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
6.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.68
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck |
Musk |
Zuck |
108.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
54.49
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-47.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.54
|
Trades
|
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
48.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
48.31
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-42.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.28
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
103.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9625
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
103.90
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.90
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
54.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
54.09
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
-50.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.79
|
Trades
|
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.9396
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
55.39
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
✅ |
-52.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.35
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.48
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be greater than 0.6% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
160.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9891
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
160.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
-158.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.75
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.5290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
-10.17
|
11.80
|
0.00
|
1.63
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $10 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
29.33
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-28.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
10.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9551
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.47
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.47
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Will the richer man win? |
Yes |
No |
1.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.89
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Ansem vs Bitlord |
Ansem |
Bitlord |
252.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
126.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-126.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
18.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.18
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.95
|
0.00% |
|
5.1420
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
-30.60
|
30.36
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Will HOP token be above $0.25 on June 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
234.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0074
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 16 2022
|
✅ |
-1.74
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
-1.72
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.38
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.38
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.79
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
25.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.53
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-5.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.19
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.29
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
115.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0467
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.40
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on July 18? |
Yes |
No |
95.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
✅ |
-8.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.63
|
Trades
|
Panthers vs. Vikings |
Panthers |
Vikings |
19.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-9.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.61
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
229.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-11.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.48
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-12.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.75
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-14.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.15
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
27.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6474
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
-17.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.70
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-18.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.70
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
573.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.0502
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
-28.78
|
9.43
|
0.00
|
-19.35
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-20.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.02
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
49.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4729
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
-23.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.17
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
8.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.9160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-25.12
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
-25.12
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 13 2023
|
✅ |
-25.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.50
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.40
|
0.00% |
|
4.6073
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-34.09
|
4.12
|
0.01
|
-29.96
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-34.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.00
|
Trades
|
Bengals vs. Rams |
Bengals |
Rams |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
✅ |
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
449.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1048
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
✅ |
-47.07
|
9.41
|
0.00
|
-37.67
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
✅ |
-38.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
500.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0858
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
-43.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 286: Who will win - Gaethje or Fiziev? |
Gaethje |
Fiziev |
0.00
|
64.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
-44.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.80
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "GPT" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-47.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.31
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
89.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5398
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-48.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-48.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-49.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.54
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
112.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.4459
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
298.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1678
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 20 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 277: Who will win - Lewis vs Pavlovich |
Lewis |
Pavlovich |
117.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4242
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 278: Who will win - Costa vs Rockhold |
Costa |
Rockhold |
0.00
|
185.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.2702
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 20 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Did SBF launch BALD? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
NFL Thursday: Ravens vs. Buccaneers |
Ravens |
Buccaneers |
0.00
|
89.22
|
0.02% |
|
0.6134
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
✅ |
-54.73
|
2.34
|
0.00
|
-52.38
|
Trades
|
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1060
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
-53.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.00
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
✅ |
-56.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.00
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2,102.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0295
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-62.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.04
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-64.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.00
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
✅ |
-64.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.00
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
140.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.5345
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
-75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,173.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.0639
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
✅ |
-75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.98
|
0.00% |
|
9.1821
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-91.65
|
16.23
|
0.00
|
-75.42
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
-84.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.08
|
Trades
|
SBF jail by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.00
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
123.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8094
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
322.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3107
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-100.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.04
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
✅ |
-106.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-106.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
170.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
✅ |
-110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.00
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? |
Yes |
No |
202.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5481
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 18 2022
|
✅ |
-111.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-111.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
-120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-120.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
151.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.8267
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
-125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.00
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
-128.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.00
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-128.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 286: Who will win - Edwards or Usman? |
Edwards |
Usman |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
-140.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-140.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
509.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2754
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
-140.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-140.30
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-144.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-144.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
222.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-144.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-144.30
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
-146.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-146.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-148.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-148.00
|
Trades
|
Ethena airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-148.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-148.00
|
Trades
|
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
✅ |
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-156.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-156.04
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.05
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.05
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-168.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-168.42
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
388.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.5154
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on July 25? |
Yes |
No |
262.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 10 2023
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-201.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-201.00
|
Trades
|
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7767
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 05 2023
|
✅ |
-233.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
749.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.3246
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-243.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-243.45
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
-247.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-247.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yeah |
Nope |
522.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4784
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
✅ |
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 277: Will Nunes KO/TKO Pena? |
Yes |
No |
551.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4529
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
✅ |
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-280.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-280.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.70
|
0.00% |
|
35.5964
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
✅ |
-309.74
|
15.97
|
0.00
|
-293.77
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
702.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4272
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
✅ |
-300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-300.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
55.8377
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-370.77
|
53.78
|
0.00
|
-316.99
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
719.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.4629
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-333.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-333.00
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? |
Yes |
No |
626.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5316
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
✅ |
-333.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-333.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
485.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.7379
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
-358.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-358.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
492.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.8101
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-399.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-399.07
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-408.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-408.37
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,214.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.3654
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-444.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-444.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6429
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-450.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-450.00
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.76
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-478.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-478.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-509.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-509.26
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-520.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
995.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.5577
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
-555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-555.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-714.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-714.69
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
-811.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-811.07
|
Trades
|
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
1,570.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6546
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-1,028.26
|
23.92
|
0.00
|
-1,004.34
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8880
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1,332.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,332.00
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,769.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.8677
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
-1,535.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,535.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,213.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.7522
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
✅ |
-1,665.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,665.00
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
331.53
|
0.00% |
|
5.7858
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
✅ |
-1,918.19
|
1.92
|
0.00
|
-1,916.27
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,205.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8711
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-1,921.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,921.66
|
Trades
|
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
16,515.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1366
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
-2,256.25
|
70.59
|
0.00
|
-2,185.66
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,298.81
|
5,730.79
|
|
|
60,466.61
|
1,234.40
|
0.03
|
69,730.64
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6,290.01
|
632.01
|
|
|
-4,499.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,422.17
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8,588.81
|
6,362.80
|
|
|
55,966.77
|
1,234.40
|
0.03
|
72,152.81
|
|