Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 2,290.08 0.00 0.00% -0.3613 0.92 0.08 2,111.66 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 827.34 0.00 0.00 2,939.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 6,328.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6289 0.76 0.24 4,836.62 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -3,979.85 0.00 0.00 856.76 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.9260 0.05 0.95 0.00 4,773.46 Sat Aug 10 2024 -4,630.00 0.00 0.00 143.46 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 400.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1429 0.47 0.53 188.10 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -57.17 0.00 0.00 130.93 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6086 0.79 0.21 556.06 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -426.00 0.00 0.00 130.06 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.78 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 74.28 0.00 0.00 74.28 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 314.99 0.00% 0.8706 0.10 0.90 0.00 282.84 Tue Sep 10 2024 -274.23 0.00 0.00 8.62 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Will the richer man win? Yes No 1.79 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.50 0.50 0.89 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -0.79 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 -14.15 0.00 0.00 -14.15 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 452.43 0.00 0.00% 0.1105 0.04 0.96 18.02 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -31.98 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck Musk Zuck 108.98 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -47.95 0.00 0.00 -47.95 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -97.68 0.00 0.00 -97.68 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -104.00 0.00 0.00 -104.00 Trades
Ansem vs Bitlord Ansem Bitlord 252.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -126.00 0.00 0.00 -126.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 359.61 0.00% 1.3160 0.03 0.97 0.00 347.08 Tue Sep 10 2024 -473.24 0.00 0.00 -126.16 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -135.00 0.00 0.00 -135.00 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 510.06 0.00 0.00% 0.2684 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -136.91 0.00 0.00 -136.91 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -148.00 0.00 0.00 -148.00 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 350.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -210.00 0.00 0.00 -210.00 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -320.00 0.00 0.00 -320.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -420.00 0.00 0.00 -420.00 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -720.00 0.00 0.00 -720.00 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 0.00 1,007.50 0.00% 0.7439 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -749.50 0.00 0.00 -749.50 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 1,200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7567 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -908.00 0.00 0.00 -908.00 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -925.23 0.00 0.00 -925.23 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9570 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -957.00 0.00 0.00 -957.00 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 1,500.00 0.00% 0.9233 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,385.00 0.00 0.00 -1,385.00 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 8,200.00 0.00% 0.8937 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,328.00 0.00 0.00 -7,328.00 Trades
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 37,318.91 0.00 0.00 37,318.91 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 12,666.22 0.00 0.00 12,666.22 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 5,834.38 0.00 0.00 5,834.38 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ 4,039.02 0.00 0.00 4,039.02 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 3,988.89 0.00 0.00 3,988.89 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ 3,336.89 0.00 0.00 3,336.89 Trades
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 2,090.00 0.00 0.00 2,090.00 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 4.14 0.00% -355.5219 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ 1,471.90 206.26 0.00 1,678.16 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 1,426.48 0.00 0.00 1,426.48 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,097.13 0.00 0.00 1,097.13 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 959.47 0.00 0.00 959.47 Trades
Buccaneers vs. Eagles Buccaneers Eagles 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 ✅ 911.39 0.00 0.00 911.39 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 881.60 0.00 0.00 881.60 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 876.06 0.00 0.00 876.06 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 800.00 0.00 0.00 800.00 Trades
UFC 284: Who will win - Makhachev or Volkanovski? Makhachev Volkanovski 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 11 2023 ✅ 710.00 0.00 0.00 710.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ 678.99 0.00 0.00 678.99 Trades
UFC 278: Who will win - Usman vs Edwards 2 Usman Edwards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 20 2022 ✅ 676.45 0.00 0.00 676.45 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.69 0.00% -89.4071 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 598.09 20.05 0.00 618.14 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ 527.57 0.00 0.00 527.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ 526.96 0.00 0.00 526.96 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 515.37 0.00 0.00 515.37 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 413.00 0.00 0.00 413.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 397.16 0.00 0.00 397.16 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 375.07 0.00 0.00 375.07 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 15.66 0.00 0.00% -23.8464 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ 373.33 0.08 0.00 373.41 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 371.00 0.00 0.00 371.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 353.95 0.00 0.00 353.95 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 346.25 0.00 0.00 346.25 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 322.64 0.00 0.00 322.64 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 5.21 0.00 0.03% -58.7989 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 306.11 8.86 0.00 314.97 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 307.25 0.00 0.00 307.25 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ 302.78 0.00 0.00 302.78 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.99 0.00% -60.7469 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 242.27 49.94 0.00 292.21 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 279.00 0.00 0.00 279.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.52 0.00% -25.5168 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 217.44 46.20 0.00 263.64 Trades
Will Coinbase list PEPE by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 240.94 0.00 0.00 240.94 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 235.94 0.00 0.00 235.94 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 219.97 0.00 0.00 219.97 Trades
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 ✅ 219.86 0.00 0.00 219.86 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 ✅ 200.97 0.00 0.00 200.97 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 196.00 0.00 0.00 196.00 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 ✅ 193.26 0.00 0.00 193.26 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 180.79 0.00 0.00 180.79 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes Pena Nunes 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ 177.26 0.00 0.00 177.26 Trades
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 ✅ -325.00 0.00 0.00 175.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ 169.18 0.00 0.00 169.18 Trades
49ers vs. Giants 49ers Giants 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 21 2023 ✅ 163.30 0.00 0.00 163.30 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 160.00 0.00 0.00 160.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 156.21 0.00 0.00 156.21 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ 152.97 0.00 0.00 152.97 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 140.77 0.00 0.00 140.77 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 131.43 0.00 0.00 131.43 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 121.28 0.00 0.00 121.28 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 121.15 0.00 0.00 121.15 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Moreno vs Kara-France Moreno Kara-France 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ 116.21 0.00 0.00 116.21 Trades
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 113.42 0.00 0.00 113.42 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 113.30 0.00 0.00 113.30 Trades
Lens Protocol Airdrop by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ 107.00 0.00 0.00 107.00 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ 103.69 0.00 0.00 103.69 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 100.45 0.00 0.00 100.45 Trades
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Sep 05 2022 ✅ 97.82 0.00 0.00 97.83 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 8.22 0.00 0.00% -11.1092 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 91.29 5.49 0.00 96.77 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 96.39 0.00 0.00 96.39 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by May 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 19 2023 ✅ 95.81 0.00 0.00 95.81 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ 92.21 0.00 0.00 92.21 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 92.00 0.00 0.00 92.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 91.00 0.00 0.00 91.00 Trades
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 ✅ 89.92 0.00 0.00 89.92 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 87.17 0.00 0.00 87.17 Trades
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.7950 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -318.00 0.00 0.00 82.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ 80.41 0.00 0.00 80.41 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 79.00 0.00 0.00 79.00 Trades
MLB: Who will win Atlanta Braves v. Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 9, 7:10 PM ET? Braves Red Sox 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 09 2022 ✅ 78.91 0.00 0.00 78.91 Trades
Ravens vs. Colts Ravens Colts 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 24 2023 ✅ 78.33 0.00 0.00 78.33 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 78.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 75.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ 75.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ 74.88 0.00 0.00 74.88 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 410.01 0.00% 0.8287 0.00 1.00 0.00 410.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -339.77 0.00 0.00 70.24 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 70.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 70.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 156.92 0.00% 0.5591 0.00 1.00 0.00 156.92 Thu Nov 10 2022 ✅ -87.73 0.75 0.00 69.93 Trades
UFC 278: Who will win - Aldo vs Dvalishvili Aldo Dvalishvili 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 20 2022 ✅ 67.10 0.00 0.00 67.10 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 ✅ 66.91 0.00 0.00 66.91 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 65.00 0.00 0.00 65.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 60.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 15 2023 ✅ 56.50 0.00 0.00 56.50 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 56.00 0.00 0.00 56.00 Trades
Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 05 2022 ✅ 55.16 0.00 0.00 55.16 Trades
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 55.00 0.00 0.00 55.00 Trades
Will US inflation be greater than 0.4% from January to February 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -146.00 0.00 0.00 54.00 Trades
Vikings vs. Chargers Vikings Chargers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 24 2023 ✅ 53.00 0.00 0.00 53.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.05 0.00% 1.5106 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -12.17 64.64 0.00 52.47 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 50.39 0.00 0.00 50.39 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 48.00 0.00 0.00 48.00 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 47.28 0.00 0.00 47.28 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -455.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
NFL Thursday: Bills vs. Rams Bills Rams 0.00 2,792.71 0.00% -0.0160 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 ✅ 44.62 0.00 0.00 44.62 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 ✅ 41.53 0.00 0.00 41.53 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 40.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ 40.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -261.00 0.00 0.00 39.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 593.27 0.00 0.00% 0.9355 1.00 0.00 593.27 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 38.27 Trades
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? SBF Bitboy 98.21 0.00 0.00% 0.6109 1.00 0.00 98.21 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -60.00 0.00 0.00 38.21 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 28 2024 ✅ 35.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 33.00 0.00 0.00 33.00 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -67.00 0.00 0.00 33.00 Trades
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY? Yes No 0.00 211.17 0.00% 0.8474 0.00 1.00 0.00 211.17 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -178.94 0.00 0.00 32.23 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -368.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 519.58 0.00% 0.9388 0.00 1.00 0.00 519.58 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -487.80 0.00 0.00 31.78 Trades
Will Schwab fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 ✅ -170.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -270.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 30.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 30.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 29.79 0.00 0.00 29.79 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 361.89 0.00% 0.9202 0.00 1.00 0.00 361.89 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -333.00 0.00 0.00 28.89 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 28.76 0.00 0.00 28.76 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 28.56 0.00 0.00 28.56 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 282.70 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 282.70 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -254.43 0.00 0.00 28.27 Trades
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 ✅ 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Dolphins vs. Broncos Dolphins Broncos 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 24 2023 ✅ 23.46 0.00 0.00 23.46 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 134.17 0.00% 0.8273 0.00 1.00 0.00 134.17 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 23.17 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 69.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 69.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -47.61 0.00 0.00 21.39 Trades
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 20.98 0.00 0.00 20.98 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9480 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -379.20 0.00 0.00 20.80 Trades
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Bahrain Grand Prix? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 05 2023 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 ✅ 19.32 0.00 0.00 19.32 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 ✅ 19.28 0.00 0.00 19.28 Trades
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? Yes No 0.00 129.76 0.00% 0.8554 0.00 1.00 0.00 129.76 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 18.76 Trades
Colts vs. Rams Colts Rams 0.00 53.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 53.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -34.45 0.00 0.00 18.55 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 1.68 0.00 0.00% 336.2092 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -563.93 582.21 0.00 18.28 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 18.04 0.00 0.00 18.04 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ 18.01 0.00 0.00 18.02 Trades
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 37.54 0.00 0.00% 0.5328 1.00 0.00 37.54 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 17.54 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 114.64 0.00% 0.8723 0.00 1.00 0.00 114.64 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 14.64 Trades
Will US inflation be greater than 0.5% from January to February 2023? Yes No 0.00 255.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 255.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -242.25 0.00 0.00 12.75 Trades
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ 12.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ 9.53 0.00 0.00 9.53 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 6.62 0.00 0.00% -1.3686 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 9.05 0.05 0.00 9.10 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 9.03 0.00 0.00 9.03 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ 8.92 0.00 0.00 8.92 Trades
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 53.34 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 53.34 Fri Mar 17 2023 ✅ -45.34 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? Independent Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 6.67 0.00 0.00 6.68 Trades
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 48.31 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 48.31 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -42.03 0.00 0.00 6.28 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 103.90 0.00 0.00% 0.9625 1.00 0.00 103.90 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 3.90 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 0.00 54.09 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 54.09 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -50.30 0.00 0.00 3.79 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 0.00 55.39 0.00% 0.9396 0.00 1.00 0.00 55.39 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -52.04 0.00 0.00 3.35 Trades
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 2.48 0.00 0.00 2.48 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will US inflation be greater than 0.6% from January to February 2023? Yes No 0.00 160.00 0.00% 0.9891 0.00 1.00 0.00 160.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -158.25 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.65 0.00 0.00% 1.5290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -10.17 11.80 0.00 1.63 Trades
$ARB above $10 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 29.33 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 29.33 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -28.45 0.00 0.00 0.88 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 10.47 0.00 0.00% 0.9551 1.00 0.00 10.47 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? Yes No 18.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.18 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.95 0.00% 5.1420 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -30.60 30.36 0.00 -0.24 Trades
Will HOP token be above $0.25 on June 16, 2022? Yes No 234.63 0.00 0.00% 0.0074 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 16 2022 ✅ -1.74 0.02 0.00 -1.72 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.38 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.38 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.17 0.00 0.00 -1.79 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by Sep 30? Yes No 25.26 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -2.53 0.00 0.00 -2.53 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -5.19 0.00 0.00 -5.19 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ -5.29 0.00 0.00 -5.29 Trades
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? Yes No 115.56 0.00 0.00% 0.0467 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -5.40 0.00 0.00 -5.40 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on July 18? Yes No 95.92 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 18 2022 ✅ -8.63 0.00 0.00 -8.63 Trades
Panthers vs. Vikings Panthers Vikings 19.61 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -9.61 0.00 0.00 -9.61 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? Yes No 229.51 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -11.48 0.00 0.00 -11.48 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 75.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -12.75 0.00 0.00 -12.75 Trades
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 27.34 0.00 0.00% 0.6474 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -17.70 0.00 0.00 -17.70 Trades
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -18.70 0.00 0.00 -18.70 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 573.23 0.00% 0.0502 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -28.78 9.43 0.00 -19.35 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? Yes No 50.06 0.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -20.02 0.00 0.00 -20.02 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 49.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4729 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -23.17 0.00 0.00 -23.17 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 8.62 0.00 0.00% 2.9160 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -25.12 0.00 0.00 -25.12 Trades
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ -25.50 0.00 0.00 -25.50 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 7.40 0.00% 4.6073 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -34.09 4.12 0.00 -29.97 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -34.00 0.00 0.00 -34.00 Trades
Bengals vs. Rams Bengals Rams 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.3500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 ✅ -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 449.27 0.00 0.00% 0.1048 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ -47.07 9.41 0.00 -37.67 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ -38.00 0.00 0.00 -38.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 500.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0858 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -43.00 0.00 0.00 -43.00 Trades
UFC 286: Who will win - Gaethje or Fiziev? Gaethje Fiziev 0.00 64.00 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 ✅ -44.80 0.00 0.00 -44.80 Trades
Will anyone say "GPT" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -47.32 0.00 0.00 -47.31 Trades
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? Yes No 89.86 0.00 0.00% 0.5398 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -48.50 0.00 0.00 -48.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -49.54 0.00 0.00 -49.54 Trades
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? $1 first $2 first 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 112.12 0.00% 0.4459 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? Yes No 298.02 0.00 0.00% 0.1678 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 20 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Lewis vs Pavlovich Lewis Pavlovich 117.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4242 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
UFC 278: Who will win - Costa vs Rockhold Costa Rockhold 0.00 185.05 0.00% 0.2702 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 20 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Did SBF launch BALD? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
NFL Thursday: Ravens vs. Buccaneers Ravens Buccaneers 0.00 89.22 0.02% 0.6134 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 ✅ -54.73 2.34 0.00 -52.39 Trades
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1060 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -53.00 0.00 0.00 -53.00 Trades
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 ✅ -56.00 0.00 0.00 -56.00 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? Yes No 2,102.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0295 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -62.04 0.00 0.00 -62.04 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.3200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -64.00 0.00 0.00 -64.00 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ -64.00 0.00 0.00 -64.00 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -70.00 0.00 0.00 -70.00 Trades
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? Yes No 0.00 140.31 0.00% 0.5345 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 1,173.82 0.00% 0.0639 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 ✅ -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 9.98 0.00% 9.1821 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -91.65 16.23 0.00 -75.42 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -84.08 0.00 0.00 -84.08 Trades
SBF jail by August 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -85.00 0.00 0.00 -85.00 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 123.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8094 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 322.00 0.00% 0.3107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -100.04 0.00 0.00 -100.04 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.5300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 ✅ -106.00 0.00 0.00 -106.00 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 170.54 0.00 0.00% 0.6450 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 19 2022 ✅ -110.00 0.00 0.00 -110.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? Yes No 202.53 0.00 0.00% 0.5481 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 18 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 -111.00 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -120.00 0.00 0.00 -120.00 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 151.21 0.00% 0.8267 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ -125.00 0.00 0.00 -125.00 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -128.00 0.00 0.00 -128.00 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -128.00 0.00 0.00 -128.00 Trades
UFC 286: Who will win - Edwards or Usman? Edwards Usman 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 ✅ -140.00 0.00 0.00 -140.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 509.46 0.00 0.00% 0.2754 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -140.30 0.00 0.00 -140.30 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -144.00 0.00 0.00 -144.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -144.30 0.00 0.00 -144.30 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -146.00 0.00 0.00 -146.00 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -148.00 0.00 0.00 -148.00 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -156.04 0.00 0.00 -156.04 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -168.47 0.00 0.00 -168.42 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 388.03 0.00% 0.5154 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on July 25? Yes No 262.65 0.00 0.00% 0.7615 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 ✅ -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 ✅ -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -201.00 0.00 0.00 -201.00 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.7767 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 ✅ -233.00 0.00 0.00 -233.00 Trades
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? Yes No 0.00 749.90 0.00% 0.3246 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -243.45 0.00 0.00 -243.45 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -247.00 0.00 0.00 -247.00 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 522.62 0.00 0.00% 0.4784 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 ✅ -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
UFC 277: Will Nunes KO/TKO Pena? Yes No 551.96 0.00 0.00% 0.4529 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -280.00 0.00 0.00 -280.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.70 0.00% 35.5964 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 ✅ -309.74 15.97 0.00 -293.77 Trades
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 702.19 0.00 0.00% 0.4272 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 ✅ -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% 55.8377 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -370.77 53.78 0.00 -316.99 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 719.37 0.00% 0.4629 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -333.00 0.00 0.00 -333.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? Yes No 626.41 0.00 0.00% 0.5316 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ -333.00 0.00 0.00 -333.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 485.16 0.00% 0.7379 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -358.00 0.00 0.00 -358.00 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 492.59 0.00% 0.8101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -399.07 0.00 0.00 -399.07 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -408.37 0.00 0.00 -408.37 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,214.95 0.00% 0.3654 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 -444.00 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6429 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -450.00 0.00 0.00 -450.00 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.76 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -478.43 0.00 0.00 -478.43 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -509.26 0.00 0.00 -509.26 Trades
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -520.00 0.00 0.00 -520.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 995.13 0.00% 0.5577 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 -555.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -714.69 0.00 0.00 -714.69 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -811.07 0.00 0.00 -811.07 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 1,570.93 0.00 0.00% 0.6546 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,028.26 23.92 0.00 -1,004.34 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,500.00 0.00% 0.8880 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ -1,332.00 0.00 0.00 -1,332.00 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 1,769.01 0.00% 0.8677 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 ✅ -1,535.00 0.00 0.00 -1,535.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,213.58 0.00% 0.7522 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -1,665.00 0.00 0.00 -1,665.00 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 331.53 0.00% 5.7858 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ -1,918.19 1.92 0.00 -1,916.27 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 2,205.92 0.00 0.00% 0.8711 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,921.66 0.00 0.00 -1,921.66 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 16,515.10 0.00 0.00% 0.1366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -2,256.25 70.59 0.00 -2,185.66 Trades
Resolved 1,512.39 5,729.78 60,988.55 1,234.40 0.00 69,465.12
Unresolved 7,711.36 5,403.38 -23,962.07 0.00 0.00 -10,847.33
Total 9,223.75 11,133.16 37,026.48 1,234.40 0.00 58,617.79