Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
360.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
360.54
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
152.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.46
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
102.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.02
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
100.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.68
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
182.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9145
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
182.58
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-166.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.61
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
15.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.32
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
10.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.83
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
10.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.62
|
Trades
|
MetaMask airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
10.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.62
|
Trades
|
Will Trump have a Blue checkmark on April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
10.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.20
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 03 2023
|
✅ |
10.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.20
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
6.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.68
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
44.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8733
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
44.82
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-39.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.68
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
5.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.42
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
76.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9363
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
76.38
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-71.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.86
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
3.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.95
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
113.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9707
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
113.32
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.32
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.56
|
Trades
|
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 15 2023
|
✅ |
0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.69
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on April 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
✅ |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-2.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.66
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
8.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
14.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in March? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
47.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6316
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
121.20
|
295.91
|
|
|
359.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
776.20
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
121.20
|
295.91
|
|
|
359.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
776.20
|
|