Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
9.50
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-11.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.70
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
12.93
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.07
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.7101
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
111.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.4476
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
22.97
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.03
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,900 on April 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 10 2023
|
โ
|
1,196.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,196.12
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
โ
|
936.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
936.70
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
569.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
569.57
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
โ
|
471.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
471.38
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
โ
|
342.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
342.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
โ
|
282.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
282.65
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
โ
|
255.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
255.48
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
โ
|
247.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
247.59
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
181.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
181.69
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
โ
|
139.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
139.67
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
121.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
121.10
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
1k |
2k |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
114.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.17
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
108.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
108.65
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
โ
|
106.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.54
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
105.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.93
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from March to April 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
โ
|
105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
โ
|
84.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.19
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5850
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-117.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
โ
|
70.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.01
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,100 on April 16? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 15 2023
|
โ
|
60.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.18
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 06 2023
|
โ
|
57.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
57.03
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
55.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.17
|
Trades
|
Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner |
Medvedev |
Sinner |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
โ
|
49.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.59
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
โ
|
48.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.21
|
Trades
|
DOGE above 8ยข on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
190.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7595
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
190.91
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
โ
|
-145.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.91
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8480
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
250.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
-212.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
โ
|
34.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.80
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
232.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
232.56
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.56
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6850
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-68.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
30.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.50
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
โ
|
28.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
โ
|
27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.00
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
โ
|
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
168.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8530
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
168.75
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-143.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.81
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
โ
|
20.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.77
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
130.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.8461
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
130.38
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
โ
|
-110.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.06
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
โ
|
19.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.05
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
113.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
113.10
|
Wed May 03 2023
|
โ
|
-95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.10
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
17.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.55
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
115.28
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
-97.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.29
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
37.04
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.04
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 22 2023
|
โ
|
16.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.80
|
Trades
|
Antony suspended by Man United? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 12 2023
|
โ
|
16.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.55
|
Trades
|
$ETH above $1800 on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
131.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8756
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
131.80
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
โ
|
-115.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.40
|
Trades
|
Scorigami in NFL Week 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 09 2023
|
โ
|
16.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.32
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6029
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
35.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-21.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.90
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
โ
|
12.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.75
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
40.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-27.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.40
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
12.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.36
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
143.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
143.68
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
-132.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.49
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
109.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
109.89
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.89
|
Trades
|
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
โ
|
9.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.74
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
44.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.7889
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
44.37
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.37
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,100 on April 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 16 2023
|
โ
|
9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
โ
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
โ
|
8.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.51
|
Trades
|
$ETH above $2000 on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
โ
|
8.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.48
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
โ
|
7.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.82
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
75.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-68.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.75
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
โ
|
6.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.24
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-94.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9157
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
70.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-64.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.90
|
Trades
|
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the US in September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-9.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.70
|
Trades
|
$ETH above $1850 on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
โ
|
-14.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.40
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
โ
|
5.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.26
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
โ
|
-9.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still allow trading through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
4.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.7619
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
19.69
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.69
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
19.48
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.48
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
โ
|
4.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.39
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 67 ETH on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
84.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
84.21
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.21
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.10
|
Trades
|
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift |
Killers |
Taylor Swift |
0.00
|
15.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.07
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
โ
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.07
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
4.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.06
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
29.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
29.89
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
โ
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.89
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
23.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
23.81
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.81
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? |
Yes |
No |
15.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.38
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
โ
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.38
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranโs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.3800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.26
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.26
|
Trades
|
Will โTaylor Swift: Eras Tourโ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.25
|
Trades
|
SUI above $1.00 on May 10? |
Yes |
No |
53.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
53.19
|
0.00
|
Wed May 10 2023
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.19
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.7200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
11.38
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-8.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.19
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
28.09
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.09
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7.94
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.94
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22.73
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.73
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.66
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
โ
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.66
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7.58
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.58
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-47.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.6700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7.15
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
โ
|
-4.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.36
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.5600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.36
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.36
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
โ
|
-12.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
14.94
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.94
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
26.88
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.88
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.85
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.85
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6.67
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.67
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-18.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03ยฐC or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
โ
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
โ
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.9481
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
26.37
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.37
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4.29
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.29
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
21.28
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.28
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.6200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.23
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.23
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
16.13
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.13
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.6500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.08
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.08
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9450
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-17.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
10.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.99
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.95
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.88
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.87
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.87
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.9490
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.81
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.79
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
โ
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
โ
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
25.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.64
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Any Hamas leader out in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.62
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.7700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.60
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.57
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.57
|
Trades
|
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.53
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by October 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.53
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9290
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.38
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.23
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? |
Yes |
No |
1.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
5.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.4900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
4.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.48
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
โ
|
-2.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.55
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.5700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
โ
|
-3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.85
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
10.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.2300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
9.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
โ
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-6.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.45
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
-6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.90
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-7.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.80
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
โ
|
-8.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.6200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-8.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.97
|
Trades
|
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
โ
|
-8.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.99
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
โ
|
-9.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.30
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.5497
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
15.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5175
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
โ
|
-10.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.35
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.95
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-10.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
15.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6968
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
-11.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.03
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-11.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.85
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
19.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6645
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
โ
|
-12.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.90
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
20.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7227
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
โ
|
-14.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.50
|
Trades
|
Will Rubiales remain Spanish FA president through Sep 11? |
Yes |
No |
21.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7055
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
โ
|
-15.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.15
|
Trades
|
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 16 2023
|
โ
|
-17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
โ
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
โ
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
โ
|
-19.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.20
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
30.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6512
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.7549
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 26 2023
|
โ
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.2226
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
-22.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.26
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5787
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-23.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.15
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
27.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9245
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? |
Yes |
No |
35.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7664
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
โ
|
-27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $27,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.8292
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-28.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 07 2023
|
โ
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.8890
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
โ
|
-30.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.65
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
โ
|
-31.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.50
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-33.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.16
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
48.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.6863
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-33.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
โ
|
-36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,850 on April 9? |
Yes |
No |
84.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 08 2023
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,900 on April 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
61.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 12 2023
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6606
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
โ
|
-56.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.15
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
65.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.9148
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
โ
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.00
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
โ
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
104.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-86.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-86.38
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
โ
|
-93.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.00
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
โ
|
-96.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-96.00
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
202.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.7526
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
โ
|
-152.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-152.50
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,100 on April 15? |
Yes |
No |
209.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8387
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
โ
|
-175.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.73
|
Trades
|
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
206.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.9430
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
โ
|
-194.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-194.50
|
Trades
|
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
โ
|
-251.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-251.62
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,800 on April 2? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7560
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 02 2023
|
โ
|
-378.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-378.00
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
โ
|
-9,426.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,426.53
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
682.73
|
2,432.10
|
|
|
-8,434.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,319.22
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.50
|
35.90
|
|
|
-91.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.80
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
692.23
|
2,468.00
|
|
|
-8,525.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,365.02
|
|