Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
3.73
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.27
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
345.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-75.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.91
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
18.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.75
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.2449
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.42
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.42
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
161.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9286
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
161.53
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.53
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
10.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.56
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
59.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.8451
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
59.16
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.16
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
7.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.39
|
Trades
|
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
4.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.72
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
3.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.90
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
3.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.81
|
Trades
|
Will βNopeβ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.6218
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
9.99
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
β
|
-6.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.78
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
3.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.51
|
Trades
|
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMaskβs $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.4450
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
21.14
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-18.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.33
|
Trades
|
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.89
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.9026
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
11.08
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.08
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
20.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9534
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.98
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.98
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? |
Token |
Public |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.82
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
203.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0049
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
47.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0213
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
39.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.0752
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
26.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1142
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
40.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0734
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
108.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0369
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
906.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.0044
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
219.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0228
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
22.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2215
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? |
Artemis |
Starship |
0.00
|
24.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.2024
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0497
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
466.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yeah |
Nope |
22.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3171
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
β
|
-7.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.07
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
224.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.0401
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
52.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1728
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.4517
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
16.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5312
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-9.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.2896
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
30.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3281
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
167.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.0596
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.3745
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? |
SBF |
Bitboy |
0.00
|
22.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.4509
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.3637
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
65.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.1534
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
40.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.2920
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
40.33
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-52.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
46.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.3013
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
162.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.0983
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
102.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2341
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.2712
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
92.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3231
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
580.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0862
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
222.84
|
121.80
|
|
|
-570.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-225.65
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
3.73
|
|
|
-85.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.18
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
222.84
|
125.53
|
|
|
-656.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-307.83
|
|