Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.69
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
1.16
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.32
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.31
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5700
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.83
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.17
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win the Pacers v. Nuggets game on November 10th? |
Pacers |
Nuggets |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
✅ |
4.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.68
|
Trades
|
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
✅ |
3.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.82
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
✅ |
2.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.05
|
Trades
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
13.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8952
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
13.41
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
✅ |
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.41
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Mavericks by more than 3.5 points in their November 10th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
✅ |
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.15
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 14 2021
|
✅ |
1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will year-to-year inflation in the European Union be 4.3% or more in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 17 2021
|
✅ |
0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.95
|
Trades
|
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 29 2021
|
✅ |
0.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.82
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 13 2021
|
✅ |
0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.74
|
Trades
|
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? |
Magnus Carlsen |
Ian Nepomniachtchi |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 16 2021
|
✅ |
0.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.47
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.92
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.81
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.91
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.91
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Wizards beat the Cavaliers by more than 3.5 points in their November 10th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
✅ |
0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? |
Yes |
No |
1.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7410
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.35
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 24 2022
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
✅ |
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
No |
0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.51
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Magic by more than 9.5 points in their November 10th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
✅ |
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
✅ |
0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.39
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.56
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.56
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? |
Artemis |
Starship |
0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.25
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
✅ |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.22
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.22
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.21
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.21
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter? |
Yes |
No |
2.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0346
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? |
More |
Less |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 14 2021
|
✅ |
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be tiebreaks? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 14 2021
|
✅ |
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Will France or the USA report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 30? |
France |
USA |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
✅ |
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
✅ |
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
✅ |
-0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.86
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
✅ |
-0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.87
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5564
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their November 10th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 10 2021
|
✅ |
-1.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.23
|
Trades
|
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 20 2021
|
✅ |
-1.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.29
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Raptors by more than 2.5 points in their November 11th matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 11 2021
|
✅ |
-1.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.62
|
Trades
|
Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? |
Germany |
United Kingdom |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 25 2021
|
✅ |
-2.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.45
|
Trades
|
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 27 2021
|
✅ |
-6.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.96
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.64
|
1.90
|
|
|
-16.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.62
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.69
|
0.31
|
|
|
-2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.33
|
2.21
|
|
|
-19.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.82
|
|