Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.50
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.25
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4833
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-43.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.50
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
150.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.22
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
44.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.09
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.00
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics |
Heat |
Celtics |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
33.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.41
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
29.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
24.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.61
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
20.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.40
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
18.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
15.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.86
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
13.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.30
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
11.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.85
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
210.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
210.76
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-202.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.43
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
7.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.62
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
7.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.52
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump post on Threads by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
77.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
77.78
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-73.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.67
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
3.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.08
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
2.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.62
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.38
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.23
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
2.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.08
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.12
|
Trades
|
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 11 2024
|
β
|
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.44
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of less than 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? |
Yes |
No |
92.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-3.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.69
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.20
|
Trades
|
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-5.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.15
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.40
|
Trades
|
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 04 2023
|
β
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7233
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.85
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-14.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.75
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
37.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-25.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.53
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-29.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.64
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
210.76
|
77.78
|
|
|
42.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
330.69
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-32.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.25
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
210.76
|
77.78
|
|
|
9.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
298.44
|
|