Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.06
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.39
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.49 |
0.51 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-1.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.62
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
12.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.45
|
Trades
|
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
10.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.12
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
5.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.53
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
5.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.01
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
4.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.58
|
Trades
|
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
4.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.48
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
3.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.73
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.52
|
Trades
|
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
3.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.22
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
2.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.44
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.31
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
1.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.27
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.15
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.57
|
Trades
|
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
✅ |
0.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.27
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
3.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.43
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.89
|
Trades
|
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
-2.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.05
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
✅ |
-3.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.39
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.24
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-6.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.04
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-6.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.79
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-6.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.94
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.8848
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-8.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.89
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.03
|
|
|
20.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.52
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.94
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.03
|
|
|
19.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.58
|
|