Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
6.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.89
|
Trades
|
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
5.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.51
|
Trades
|
Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
0.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.54
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the 2022 Austrian Grand Prix, Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? |
Verstappen |
Leclerc |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 10 2022
|
β
|
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
0.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
β
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in July 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sergei Shoigu remain Minister of Defense of Russia through July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will JoΓ£o Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0039
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Kim Kardashian announce sheβs pregnant by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 20 2022
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.08
|
Trades
|
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Cristiano Ronaldo leave Manchester United by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will 'Thor: Love and Thunder' get a 75% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
44.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0079
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.35
|
Trades
|
Will βThor: Love and Thunderβ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
66.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0060
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.57
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.66
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.77
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.50
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.50
|
|