Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.42
|
Trades
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.38
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
✅ |
83.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.43
|
Trades
|
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 05 2022
|
✅ |
58.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.96
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
✅ |
36.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.57
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
25.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.23
|
0.04% |
|
8.8073
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
✅ |
-28.45
|
49.77
|
0.00
|
21.32
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
✅ |
20.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.21
|
Trades
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
✅ |
11.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.46
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
8.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.97
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.75
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
✅ |
8.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.24
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
7.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.70
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
✅ |
5.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.83
|
Trades
|
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 24 2021
|
✅ |
4.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.02
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
✅ |
2.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.34
|
Trades
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.80
|
Trades
|
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 24 2021
|
✅ |
-0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.17
|
Trades
|
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 03 2023
|
✅ |
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 22 2021
|
✅ |
-2.96
|
1.01
|
0.00
|
-1.95
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.73
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 30 2021
|
✅ |
-3.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.18
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.0888
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
108.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.50
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
555.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.0158
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.75
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
✅ |
-9.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.94
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
142.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? |
Yes |
No |
1,637.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0061
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 09 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
116.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.2148
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 20 2021
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
97.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.5116
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
385.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1299
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
205.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3585
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-73.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-73.50
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? |
Yes |
No |
162.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
824.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1256
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-103.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.59
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3,048.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
-137.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-137.26
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
-433.37
|
50.79
|
0.00
|
-382.57
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-2.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.42
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
-435.79
|
50.79
|
0.00
|
-384.99
|
|