Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 8,630.54 0.00% 0.4322 0.04 0.96 0.00 8,304.26 -3,730.06 0.00 0.00 4,574.19 Trades
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 17,086.34 68.30% 0.7233 0.21 0.79 0.00 13,475.51 -12,358.30 0.00 385.62 1,502.83 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 1,736.88 0.00% 0.5936 0.17 0.83 0.00 1,439.96 -1,030.99 0.00 0.00 408.98 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 751.03 0.00% 0.6658 0.12 0.88 0.00 659.74 -500.00 0.00 0.00 159.74 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,588.53 0.00% 0.5795 0.37 0.63 0.00 1,626.88 -1,500.00 0.00 0.00 126.88 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 427.30 0.00% 0.7021 0.11 0.89 0.00 380.46 -300.00 0.00 0.00 80.46 Trades
Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? Yes No 0.00 167.27 0.00% 0.5978 0.56 0.44 0.00 74.17 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -25.83 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,579.05 0.00% 0.6650 0.38 0.62 0.00 976.94 -1,050.00 0.00 0.00 -73.06 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
0.00
0.00
273.78
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.31
-100.00 0.00 0.00 -99.69 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 439.03 0.00 0.00% 0.4555 0.06 0.94 25.93 0.00 -200.00 0.00 0.00 -174.07 Trades
Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? Yes No 2,009.63 0.00 0.00% 0.3981 0.31 0.69 623.58 0.00 -800.00 0.00 0.00 -176.42 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 3,376.59 0.00% 0.0592 0.99 0.01 0.00 23.53 -200.00 0.00 0.00 -176.47 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 6,838.86 0.00 0.00% 0.0439 0.01 0.99 47.83 0.00 -300.00 0.00 0.00 -252.17 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 7,924.07 0.00 0.00% 0.2145 0.14 0.86 1,106.76 0.00 -1,700.00 0.00 0.00 -593.24 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 16,976.84 0.00 0.00% 0.5170 0.45 0.55 7,700.08 0.00 -8,776.34 0.00 0.00 -1,076.27 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 10,449.18 0.00% 0.1424 0.98 0.02 0.00 231.73 -1,487.65 34.93 0.00 -1,220.99 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 677.49 0.00 0.00 677.49 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 325,799.80 31.46 0.00 325,831.26 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 52,669.68 0.00 0.00 52,669.68 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 41,929.08 0.00 0.00 41,929.08 Trades
Will England win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 22,362.58 0.00 0.00 22,362.58 Trades
(Live Trading) Will England or Italy win the Euro 2020 final? England Italy 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 15,721.47 0.00 0.00 15,721.47 Trades
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 8,092.91 0.00 0.00 8,092.91 Trades
Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship? Packers Buccaneers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 8,005.77 0.00 0.00 8,005.77 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 2? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 7,456.34 0.00 0.00 7,456.34 Trades
Will Italy win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 6,467.62 0.00 0.00 6,467.62 Trades
Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 5,745.28 0.00 0.00 5,745.28 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 5,522.30 0.00 0.00 5,522.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 4,788.05 0.00 0.00 4,788.05 Trades
Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? Bucks Heat 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 4,685.36 0.00 0.00 4,685.36 Trades
Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 4,017.12 0.00 0.00 4,017.12 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 3,872.30 0.00 0.00 3,872.30 Trades
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 3,424.87 0.00 0.00 3,424.87 Trades
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? Dems Reps 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 3,150.43 0.00 0.00 3,150.43 Trades
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 9,135.26 0.00% 0.6896 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,135.26 βœ… -6,300.00 0.00 0.00 2,835.26 Trades
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,822.08 0.00 0.00 2,822.08 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,639.51 0.00 0.00 2,639.51 Trades
Will the Buffalo Bills or the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC Championship? Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,593.32 0.00 0.00 2,593.32 Trades
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,571.89 0.00 0.00 2,571.89 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.67 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,551.78 0.73 0.00 2,552.51 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his August 20 speech? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,271.75 0.00 0.00 2,271.75 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? Yes No 3,986.24 0.00 0.00% 0.4340 1.00 0.00 3,986.24 0.00 βœ… -1,730.00 0.00 0.00 2,256.24 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,094.93 0.00 0.00 2,094.93 Trades
Who will win Nets vs. Celtics: Game 2? Nets Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,093.14 0.00 0.00 2,093.14 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2,058.37 0.00 0.00 2,058.37 Trades
Who will win the 2020 League of Legends World Championship? Damwon Suning 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,740.00 0.00 0.00 1,740.00 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,737.65 0.00 0.00 1,737.65 Trades
Will Khabib win his UFC 254 Fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,649.44 0.00 0.00 1,649.44 Trades
Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? Man City PSG 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,479.65 0.00 0.00 1,479.65 Trades
Will the majority of Germany’s starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,346.91 0.00 0.00 1,346.91 Trades
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,232.56 0.00 0.00 1,232.56 Trades
Which party will control the senate? Republican Democratic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 1,022.03 0.00 0.00 1,022.03 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 908.25 0.00 0.00 908.25 Trades
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 859.11 0.00 0.00 859.11 Trades
What will the final score points spread be for Super Bowl 55? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 756.00 0.00 0.00 756.00 Trades
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 749.74 0.00 0.00 749.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 747.55 0.00 0.00 747.55 Trades
What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 βœ… 743.06 0.00 0.00 743.06 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRare’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.51 0.49 0.00 0.00 βœ… 697.96 0.00 0.00 697.96 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… 676.49 0.00 0.00 676.49 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 670.42 0.00 0.00 670.42 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 644.80 0.00 0.00 644.80 Trades
Will Sweden or Ukraine qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Sweden Ukraine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 636.20 0.00 0.00 636.20 Trades
Will Italy or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? Italy Spain 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 543.97 0.00 0.00 543.97 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 527.28 0.00 0.00 527.28 Trades
Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 1? Jazz Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 505.49 0.00 0.00 505.49 Trades
What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL) be on November 17th, 2020? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.49 0.51 0.00 0.00 βœ… 481.67 0.00 0.00 481.67 Trades
Will TSM or Cloud 9 win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 22, 2021? TSM Cloud 9 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 434.80 0.00 0.00 434.80 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 720.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4166 1.00 0.00 720.11 0.00 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 420.11 Trades
Will Brazil win the 2021 Copa America? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 379.21 0.00 0.00 379.21 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 354.85 0.00 0.00 354.85 Trades
Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 328.75 0.00 0.00 328.75 Trades
(NBA) Bucks in six? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 328.62 0.00 0.00 328.62 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 321.02 0.00 0.00 321.02 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 320.70 0.00 0.00 320.70 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 298.27 0.00 0.00 298.27 Trades
Will the Netherlands or the Czech Republic qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Netherlands Czech Republic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 270.74 0.00 0.00 270.74 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 261.65 0.00 0.00 261.65 Trades
Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 5? Jazz Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 259.57 0.00 0.00 259.57 Trades
Will France or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? France Germany 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 244.90 0.00 0.00 244.90 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 5? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 212.40 0.00 0.00 212.40 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 211.34 0.00 0.00 211.34 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 177.59 0.00 0.00 177.59 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 2? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 177.29 0.00 0.00 177.29 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 173.27 0.00 0.00 173.27 Trades
Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? Botez Hoffman Cusack Younessi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 170.60 0.00 0.00 170.60 Trades
Will TSM or Immortals win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 20, 2021? TSM Immortals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 162.64 0.00 0.00 162.64 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 160.33 0.00 0.00 160.33 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? Nakamura Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 157.82 0.00 0.00 157.82 Trades
Will Portugal or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? Portugal Germany 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 136.40 0.00 0.00 136.40 Trades
Will England or Scotland win their Euro 2020 match? England Scotland 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 βœ… 134.89 0.00 0.00 134.89 Trades
Will Tom Dwan make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 133.05 0.00 0.00 133.05 Trades
Will Argentina win the 2021 Copa America? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 131.00 0.00 0.00 131.00 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 119.11 0.00 0.00 119.11 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? Yes No 0.00 677.49 0.00% 0.8856 0.00 1.00 0.00 677.49 βœ… -600.00 0.00 0.00 77.49 Trades
Will Portugal or France win their Euro 2020 match? Portugal France 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 βœ… 63.11 0.00 0.00 63.11 Trades
Will Belgium be the Group B winner in the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 53.37 0.00 0.00 53.37 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 45.54 0.00 0.00 45.54 Trades
Will Italy or Switzerland win their Euro 2020 match? Italy Switzerland 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 26.11 0.00 0.00 26.11 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Fabiano Caruana win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Carlsen Caruana 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 βœ… 13.71 0.00 0.00 13.71 Trades
Will Slovakia or Spain win their Euro 2020 match? Slovakia Spain 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 11.57 0.00 0.00 11.57 Trades
Will Spain or Poland win their Euro 2020 match? Spain Poland 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 βœ… 11.36 0.00 0.00 11.36 Trades
Will Turkey or Italy win their Euro 2020 match? Turkey Italy 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -42.55 0.00 0.00 -42.55 Trades
Will Messi sign a contract to stay with FC Barcelona by September 1? Yes No 1,029.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0486 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? Carlsen Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 βœ… -66.24 0.00 0.00 -66.24 Trades
Will Lionel Messi sign for Paris-Saint Germain on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 3,928.08 0.00% 0.0204 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -80.00 0.00 0.00 -80.00 Trades
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -85.04 0.00 0.00 -85.04 Trades
Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will North Macedonia or Austria win their Euro 2020 match? North Macedonia Austria 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? Yes No 194.71 0.00 0.00% 0.5136 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -128.02 0.00 0.00 -128.02 Trades
Will Russia or Belgium win their Euro 2020 match? Russia Belgium 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 5? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 βœ… -170.26 0.00 0.00 -170.26 Trades
Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Game 2? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 6? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Sweden or Poland win their Euro 2020 match? Sweden Poland 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Croatia or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Croatia Spain 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 3? Jazz Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -220.00 0.00 0.00 -220.00 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 7? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
Will Belgium or Italy qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? Belgium Italy 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will France or Switzerland qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? France Switzerland 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? Yes No 0.00 614.83 0.00% 0.4879 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 801.42 0.00 0.00% 0.4991 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? Long Short 0.00 1,588.23 0.00% 0.5027 0.78 0.22 0.00 355.87 βœ… -798.39 0.00 0.00 -442.51 Trades
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,944.95 0.00% 0.2571 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Team Liquid or 100 Thieves win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 21, 2021? Team Liquid 100 Thieves 0.00 1,294.30 0.00% 0.3863 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Ukraine or England qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? Ukraine England 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -515.00 0.00 0.00 -515.00 Trades
Will England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? England Germany 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -518.19 0.00 0.00 -518.19 Trades
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.25 0.75 0.00 0.00 βœ… -578.22 0.00 0.00 -578.22 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -600.00 0.00 0.00 -600.00 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -700.00 0.00 0.00 -700.00 Trades
Will Belgium or Portugal qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Belgium Portugal 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -700.00 0.00 0.00 -700.00 Trades
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,000.00 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,000.00 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 3? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,000.00 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 Trades
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,000.00 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 Trades
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,680.81 0.00% 0.5950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,000.00 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,100.00 0.00 0.00 -1,100.00 Trades
Will Ukraine or the Netherlands win their Euro 2020 match? Ukraine Netherlands 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,100.00 0.00 0.00 -1,100.00 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.94% 0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… -1,309.98 139.07 0.00 -1,170.92 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 1,829.26 0.00 0.00% 0.6560 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,200.00 0.00 0.00 -1,200.00 Trades
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,201.07 0.00 0.00 -1,201.07 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,400.00 0.00 0.00 -1,400.00 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,500.00 0.00 0.00 -1,500.00 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? Yes No 3,561.35 0.00 0.00% 0.5054 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,800.00 0.00 0.00 -1,800.00 Trades
Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,920.88 0.00% 0.6334 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -1,850.00 0.00 0.00 -1,850.00 Trades
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Roy Jones Jr? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 -2,000.00 Trades
Will BTC break $15k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 -2,000.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 -2,000.00 Trades
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 -2,000.00 Trades
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 -2,000.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,480.00 0.00 0.00 -2,480.00 Trades
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,500.00 0.00 0.00 -2,500.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? Bitcoin Tesla 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -2,800.00 0.00 0.00 -2,800.00 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -3,000.00 0.00 0.00 -3,000.00 Trades
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? Jeff Bezos
Elon Musk
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… -3,000.00 0.00 0.00 -3,000.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -3,200.00 0.00 0.00 -3,200.00 Trades
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? 52 or fewer
53-55
56-58
59-61
62 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… -3,700.00 0.00 0.00 -3,700.00 Trades
Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis? Calacanis Sacks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -3,700.00 0.00 0.00 -3,700.00 Trades
Will Trump complete his first term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -3,912.79 0.00 0.00 -3,912.79 Trades
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -4,344.61 0.00 0.00 -4,344.61 Trades
Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -4,645.63 0.00 0.00 -4,645.63 Trades
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -4,700.00 0.00 0.00 -4,700.00 Trades
Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 2? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -4,830.00 0.00 0.00 -4,830.00 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œTrump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? Yes No 10,055.53 0.00 0.00% 0.4873 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -4,900.00 0.00 0.00 -4,900.00 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 24,773.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2104 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -5,213.19 256.75 0.00 -4,956.44 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 3? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -5,000.00 0.00 0.00 -5,000.00 Trades
Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 2? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -5,100.00 0.00 0.00 -5,100.00 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -5,600.00 0.00 0.00 -5,600.00 Trades
Who will win Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: Game 2? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -5,600.00 0.00 0.00 -5,600.00 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -6,050.00 0.00 0.00 -6,050.00 Trades
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chiefs Bucs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -6,300.00 0.00 0.00 -6,300.00 Trades
Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? Man City Chelsea 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -7,200.00 0.00 0.00 -7,200.00 Trades
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -7,500.00 0.00 0.00 -7,500.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -8,370.35 0.00 0.00 -8,370.35 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -8,835.08 0.00 0.00 -8,835.08 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 25,560.89 0.00% 0.3521 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -9,000.00 0.00 0.00 -9,000.00 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -10,000.00 0.00 0.00 -10,000.00 Trades
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -11,000.00 0.00 0.00 -11,000.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 24,095.82 0.00 0.00% 0.6142 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -14,799.55 0.00 0.00 -14,799.55 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -15,700.00 0.00 0.00 -15,700.00 Trades
Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -21,000.00 0.00 0.00 -21,000.00 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -28,000.00 0.00 0.00 -28,000.00 Trades
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -29,235.97 41.62 0.00 -29,194.35 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 174,279.09 0.00% 0.4900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -85,400.00 0.00 0.00 -85,400.00 Trades
Resolved 4,706.35 10,168.63 175,204.39 469.63 0.00 190,548.99
Unresolved 9,504.18 27,193.18 -33,455.85 34.93 385.62 3,662.37
Total 14,210.52 37,361.81 141,748.54 504.56 385.62 194,211.36