Account
0x4ab9b54427ec4b7f3646b1a0ef1bed73bc708ebe Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 325,799.80 | 31.46 | 0.00 | 325,831.26 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 52,669.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52,669.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | ✅ | 44,509.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44,509.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 41,929.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41,929.08 | Trades | ||
| Will England win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | 22,362.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22,362.58 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | 20,218.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20,218.36 | Trades | ||
| (Live Trading) Will England or Italy win the Euro 2020 final? | England | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | 15,721.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15,721.47 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 8,200.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,200.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 05 2020 | ✅ | 8,092.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,092.91 | Trades | ||
| Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship? | Packers | Buccaneers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 25 2021 | ✅ | 8,005.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,005.77 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 26 2022 | ✅ | 7,902.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7,902.71 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 2? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 26 2021 | ✅ | 7,456.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7,456.34 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 6,691.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,691.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | 6,467.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,467.62 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 7,924.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2145 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,924.07 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -1,700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6,224.07 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | 5,914.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,914.19 | Trades | ||
| Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 06 2020 | ✅ | 5,745.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,745.28 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 5,522.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,522.30 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 4,900.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,900.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 4,788.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,788.05 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? | Bucks | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 4,685.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,685.36 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 02 2020 | ✅ | 4,017.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,017.12 | Trades | ||
| Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | ✅ | 3,872.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,872.30 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | ✅ | 3,424.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,424.87 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? | Dems | Reps | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | 3,150.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,150.43 | Trades | ||
| World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina | France | Argentina | 0.00 | 6,167.92 | 0.00% | 0.5403 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,167.92 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | ✅ | -3,332.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,835.50 | Trades | |
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 2,835.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,835.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | ✅ | 2,822.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,822.08 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 2,639.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,639.51 | Trades | ||
| Will the Buffalo Bills or the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC Championship? | Bills | Chiefs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 25 2021 | ✅ | 2,593.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,593.32 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | 2,571.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,571.89 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 2,551.78 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 2,552.51 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 20 speech? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | 2,271.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,271.75 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | ✅ | 2,256.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,256.24 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 2,094.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,094.93 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nets vs. Celtics: Game 2? | Nets | Celtics | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | 2,093.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,093.14 | Trades | ||
| (In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 17 2021 | ✅ | 2,058.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,058.37 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2020 League of Legends World Championship? | Damwon | Suning | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,740.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,740.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 1,737.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,737.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Khabib win his UFC 254 Fight? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 25 2020 | ✅ | 1,649.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,649.44 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | 1,490.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,490.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? | Man City | PSG | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | ✅ | 1,479.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,479.65 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 1,414.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,414.91 | Trades | ||
| Will the majority of Germany’s starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 1,346.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,346.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | 1,232.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,232.56 | Trades | ||
| Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | 1,147.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,147.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,100.41 | 0.00% | 0.4761 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,100.41 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,100.41 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,022.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,022.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | 908.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 908.25 | Trades | ||
| Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 01 2020 | ✅ | 859.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 859.11 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,261.82 | 0.00% | 0.3963 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,261.82 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 761.82 | Trades | |
| What will the final score points spread be for Super Bowl 55? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | 756.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 756.00 | Trades | ||
| Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | 749.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 749.74 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | 747.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 747.55 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 04 2020 | ✅ | 743.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 743.06 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | ✅ | 705.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 705.90 | Trades | ||
| What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRare’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 697.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 697.96 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 676.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 676.49 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | ✅ | 670.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 670.42 | Trades | ||
| World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England | France | England | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 10 2022 | ✅ | 646.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 646.88 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | 644.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 644.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Sweden or Ukraine qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Sweden | Ukraine | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | ✅ | 636.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 636.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | ✅ | 622.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 622.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,059.42 | 0.00% | 0.4720 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,059.42 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 559.42 | Trades | |
| Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 546.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 546.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | Italy | Spain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 06 2021 | ✅ | 543.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 543.97 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,579.05 | 0.00% | 0.6650 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,579.05 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -1,050.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 529.05 | Trades | |
| (In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 14 2021 | ✅ | 527.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 527.28 | Trades | ||
| World Cup: Friday - Argentina vs. Netherlands | Argentina | Netherlands | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 09 2022 | ✅ | 522.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 522.32 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 1? | Jazz | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 08 2021 | ✅ | 505.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 505.49 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Trump in his press conference on January 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | ✅ | 495.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 495.24 | Trades | ||
| What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL) be on November 17th, 2020? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 17 2020 | ✅ | 481.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 481.67 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 968.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5165 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 968.08 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 468.08 | Trades | |
| Will TSM or Cloud 9 win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 22, 2021? | TSM | Cloud 9 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 22 2021 | ✅ | 434.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 434.80 | Trades | ||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | 420.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 420.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Brazil win the 2021 Copa America? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 379.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 379.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 354.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 354.85 | Trades | ||
| Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 328.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 328.75 | Trades | ||
| (NBA) Bucks in six? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 328.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 328.62 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 321.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 321.02 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 17 2021 | ✅ | 320.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 320.70 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 298.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 298.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the Netherlands or the Czech Republic qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Netherlands | Czech Republic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 27 2021 | ✅ | 270.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 270.74 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | 261.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 261.65 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 5? | Jazz | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | 259.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 259.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 751.03 | 0.00% | 0.6658 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 751.03 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 251.03 | Trades | |
| Will France or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? | France | Germany | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 244.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 244.90 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 5? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 212.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 212.40 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 211.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 211.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 422.92 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 422.92 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | ✅ | -219.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.00 | Trades | |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 177.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 177.59 | Trades | ||
| Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 2? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 08 2021 | ✅ | 177.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 177.29 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 173.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 173.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? | Botez Hoffman | Cusack Younessi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 12 2021 | ✅ | 170.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 170.60 | Trades | ||
| Will TSM or Immortals win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 20, 2021? | TSM | Immortals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | 162.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 162.64 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 160.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 160.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Hikaru Nakamura or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Nakamura | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | 157.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 157.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Portugal or Germany win their Euro 2020 match? | Portugal | Germany | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | ✅ | 136.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 136.40 | Trades | ||
| Will England or Scotland win their Euro 2020 match? | England | Scotland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | 134.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 134.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Tom Dwan make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 133.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.05 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? | Magnus Carlsen | Ian Nepomniachtchi | 632.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7903 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 632.70 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.70 | Trades | |
| Will Argentina win the 2021 Copa America? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 131.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 131.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 427.30 | 0.00% | 0.7021 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 427.30 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 127.30 | Trades | |
| Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | ✅ | 119.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.11 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH hit $2000 by August 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 20 2022 | ✅ | 85.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.43 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | 77.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Portugal or France win their Euro 2020 match? | Portugal | France | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 63.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium be the Group B winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 53.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | 45.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy or Switzerland win their Euro 2020 match? | Italy | Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | 26.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen or Fabiano Caruana win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Carlsen | Caruana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | 13.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Slovakia or Spain win their Euro 2020 match? | Slovakia | Spain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 11.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Spain or Poland win their Euro 2020 match? | Spain | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | ✅ | 11.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Turkey or Italy win their Euro 2020 match? | Turkey | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 11 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -42.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Messi sign a contract to stay with FC Barcelona by September 1? | Yes | No | 1,029.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0486 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | No | 176.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2827 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,431.14 | 0.00% | 0.0146 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Magnus Carlsen or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Carlsen | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | -66.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -66.24 | Trades | ||
| Will Lionel Messi sign for Paris-Saint Germain on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,928.08 | 0.00% | 0.0204 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
| Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 166.00 | 0.00% | 0.4819 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | ✅ | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -85.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.04 | Trades | |||
| Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will North Macedonia or Austria win their Euro 2020 match? | North Macedonia | Austria | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 273.78 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 167.27 | 0.00% | 0.5978 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? | Yes | No | 194.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5136 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Oscars 2022: Will Licorice Pizza win Best Original Screenplay? | Yes | No | 252.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3955 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Poker: Will any straight flush be exposed at Triton Series Madrid 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 179.49 | 0.00% | 0.5571 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 25 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -128.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -128.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia or Belgium win their Euro 2020 match? | Russia | Belgium | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 5? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 407.48 | 0.00% | 0.3681 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
| Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -170.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -170.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,376.59 | 0.00% | 0.0592 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
| Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Game 2? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 07 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 6? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Sweden or Poland win their Euro 2020 match? | Sweden | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Croatia or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Croatia | Spain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 439.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4555 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? | Yes | No | 1,450.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1379 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 19 2022 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
| Will ApeCoin (APE) reach $20 by May 4? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 422.77 | 0.00% | 0.4731 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 04 2022 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
| Who will win Jazz v. Clippers: Conference Semifinal Game 3? | Jazz | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | -220.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -220.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 7? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium or Italy qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Belgium | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | ||
| Will France or Switzerland qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | France | Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 6,838.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0439 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 614.83 | 0.00% | 0.4879 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 1,009.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2971 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? | Yes | No | 720.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4162 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? | Yes | No | 1,369.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2190 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 450.00 | 0.00% | 0.6667 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 1,395.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2150 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.94 | 0.00% | 80.3377 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | -396.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -396.98 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 801.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4991 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.00 | Trades | |
| Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 3,032.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1319 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.00 | Trades | |
| How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 05 2021 | ✅ | -442.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -442.51 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |||
| What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |||
| Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,944.95 | 0.00% | 0.2571 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Team Liquid or 100 Thieves win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 21, 2021? | Team Liquid | 100 Thieves | 0.00 | 1,294.30 | 0.00% | 0.3863 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 21 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,362.09 | 0.00% | 0.0786 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,864.66 | 0.00% | 0.1745 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? | Yes | No | 1,696.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2948 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 09 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 970.70 | 0.00% | 0.5151 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 14 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,825.11 | 0.00% | 0.1770 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? | Yes | No | 8,820.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0567 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ukraine or England qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Ukraine | England | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | ✅ | -515.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -515.00 | Trades | ||
| Will England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | England | Germany | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | ✅ | -518.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -518.19 | Trades | ||
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | -578.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -578.22 | Trades | ||
| Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 11 2021 | ✅ | -600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -600.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,503.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1713 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | -600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -600.00 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -700.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium or Portugal qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Belgium | Portugal | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 27 2021 | ✅ | -700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -700.00 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 2,009.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3981 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -800.00 | Trades | |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2022 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz? | Yes | No | 2,296.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3484 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 30 2022 | ✅ | -800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -800.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,550.88 | 0.00% | 0.2535 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -900.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -900.00 | Trades | |
| How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |||
| Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 3? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 28 2021 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,680.81 | 0.00% | 0.5950 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |
| Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,241.32 | 0.00% | 0.1381 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |
| NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Heat, scheduled for May 29, 8:30 PM ET? | Celtics | Heat | 0.00 | 2,280.04 | 0.00% | 0.4386 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 29 2022 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |
| World Cup: Monday - Japan vs. Croatia | Japan | Croatia | 2,438.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4101 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 05 2022 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | ✅ | -1,100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine or the Netherlands win their Euro 2020 match? | Ukraine | Netherlands | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | -1,100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,100.00 | Trades | ||
| WBC Heavyweight World Champion: Who will win - Tyson Fury or Dillian Whyte? | Fury | Whyte | 0.00 | 5,724.61 | 0.00% | 0.2009 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 23 2022 | ✅ | -1,150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,150.00 | Trades | |
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
2.94% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -1,309.98 | 139.07 | 0.00 | -1,170.92 | Trades | |||||||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 1,829.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6560 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -1,200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,200.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -1,201.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,201.07 | Trades | |||
| Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? | Yes | No | 9,845.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1320 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -1,300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,300.00 | Trades | |
| Will Tyson Fury KO/TKO/RTD Dillian Whyte? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,869.08 | 0.00% | 0.4531 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 23 2022 | ✅ | -1,300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,300.00 | Trades | |
| Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | -1,400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,400.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,449.19 | 0.00% | 0.1424 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -1,487.65 | 34.93 | 0.00 | -1,452.72 | Trades | |
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,588.53 | 0.00% | 0.5795 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,500.00 | Trades | |
| World Cup: Tuesday - Portugal vs. Switzerland | Portugal | Switzerland | 0.00 | 4,444.32 | 0.00% | 0.3600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | ✅ | -1,600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,600.00 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 3,561.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5054 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | ✅ | -1,800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,800.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? | Yes | No | 8,923.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2017 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | ✅ | -1,800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,800.00 | Trades | |
| Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,920.88 | 0.00% | 0.6334 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,850.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,850.00 | Trades | |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Roy Jones Jr? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 29 2020 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will BTC break $15k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? | Yes | No | 4,317.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4633 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | |
| Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,259.98 | 0.00% | 0.4695 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 27 2022 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,000.00 | Trades | |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 41,192.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0510 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | -2,480.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,480.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? | Yes | No | 6,203.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4030 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | ✅ | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 23,616.84 | 0.00% | 0.1059 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 03 2022 | ✅ | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,500.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9,900.74 | 0.00% | 0.2525 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 16 2022 | ✅ | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -2,800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,800.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -3,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | ✅ | -3,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,000.00 | Trades | ||||||
| World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia | Brazil | Croatia | 3,434.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8736 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 09 2022 | ✅ | -3,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,000.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -3,200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,200.00 | Trades | ||
| Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 7,072.82 | 0.00% | 0.4807 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -3,400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,400.00 | Trades | |
| How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -3,700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,700.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis? | Calacanis | Sacks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -3,700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,700.00 | Trades | |||
| Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | -3,912.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,912.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? | Yes | No | 5,822.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6870 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 28 2022 | ✅ | -4,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,000.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -4,344.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,344.61 | Trades | |||
| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | -4,645.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,645.63 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -4,700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,700.00 | Trades | |||
| Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 2? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -4,830.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,830.00 | Trades | ||
| Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? | Rams | Bengals | 0.00 | 12,905.98 | 0.00% | 0.3766 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | ✅ | -4,860.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,860.00 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 10,055.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4873 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | -4,900.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,900.00 | Trades | |
| Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 24,773.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2104 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -5,213.19 | 256.75 | 0.00 | -4,956.44 | Trades | |
| Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 3? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 11 2021 | ✅ | -5,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 2? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -5,100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5,100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | -5,600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5,600.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: Game 2? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -5,600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5,600.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -6,050.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6,050.00 | Trades | ||
| Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | -6,300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6,300.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? | Man City | Chelsea | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | ✅ | -7,200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7,200.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | -7,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7,500.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -8,370.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8,370.35 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -8,835.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8,835.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 25,560.89 | 0.00% | 0.3521 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | -9,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9,000.00 | Trades | |
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -10,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -11,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | ✅ | -14,799.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14,799.55 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | -15,700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15,700.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | -17,713.46 | 1,105.67 | 0.00 | -16,607.79 | Trades | ||
| Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -21,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 54,892.10 | 0.00% | 0.4554 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | ✅ | -25,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25,000.00 | Trades | |
| Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | -28,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28,000.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | -29,235.97 | 41.62 | 0.00 | -29,194.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 157,831.36 | 0.00% | 0.1939 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -30,600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30,600.00 | Trades | |
| Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 61,296.81 | 0.00% | 0.5231 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -32,063.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32,063.60 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 138,994.35 | 0.00% | 0.4114 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | -57,184.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57,184.00 | Trades | |
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 174,279.09 | 0.00% | 0.4900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -85,400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85,400.00 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 9,947.77 | 13,346.95 | 71,205.42 | 1,610.23 | 0.00 | 96,110.37 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 9,947.77 | 13,346.95 | 71,205.42 | 1,610.23 | 0.00 | 96,110.37 | ||||||||||||