Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
121.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.3452
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
8.72
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-41.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.15
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
20.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.53
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
20.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.47
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
12.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.18
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 8.8% or more in May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 17 2022
|
✅ |
5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.66
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
✅ |
3.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.73
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
3.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.46
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.74
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.46
|
Trades
|
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 20 2022
|
✅ |
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
✅ |
0.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.39
|
Trades
|
Will the Progressive Conservative Party win a majority in the 2022 Ontario General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 02 2022
|
✅ |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0149
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
88.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0056
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 07 2022
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
101.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0074
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.96
|
Trades
|
NHL 2022 Stanley Cup Finals: Who will win Avalanche vs. Lightning, Game 3? |
Avalanche |
Lightning |
2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4827
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 20 2022
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-4.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.17
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.2300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
16.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6410
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
-10.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.26
|
Trades
|
Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
89.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.2800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
613.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.0921
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-56.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.50
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
|
|
-38.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.05
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
8.72
|
|
|
-41.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.15
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
8.72
|
|
|
-79.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-71.20
|
|