Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
68.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.93
|
Trades
|
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-68.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.07
|
Trades
|
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
β
|
11,478.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11,478.70
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
4,213.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,213.89
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
3,801.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,801.55
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3,098.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,098.40
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
2,461.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,461.19
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
2,456.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,456.31
|
Trades
|
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 14 2024
|
β
|
2,454.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,454.90
|
Trades
|
Do Kwon extradited before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
2,267.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,267.16
|
Trades
|
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 26 2023
|
β
|
2,072.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,072.95
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
1,685.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,685.85
|
Trades
|
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
1,530.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,530.50
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
1,469.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,469.20
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1,441.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,441.93
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
1,389.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,389.23
|
Trades
|
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
β
|
1,368.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,368.30
|
Trades
|
Will ProgresΓvne Slovensko win over 18% of votes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
1,211.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,211.06
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,205.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,205.67
|
Trades
|
Will Drake's album drop by 10/6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 06 2023
|
β
|
1,080.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,080.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
1,065.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,065.71
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
1,010.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,010.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
984.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
984.11
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
983.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
983.33
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
968.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
968.70
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
846.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
846.83
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.05
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
807.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
807.70
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
750.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
750.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
738.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
738.83
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
708.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
708.73
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
682.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
682.10
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
667.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
667.16
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
601.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
601.85
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
592.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
592.84
|
Trades
|
Ansem vs. trading_axe - Most Liked Post Today |
Ansem |
Axe |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
568.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
568.75
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
500.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
500.38
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
473.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
473.09
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
468.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
468.49
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
453.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
453.05
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
448.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
448.00
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of less than 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
429.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
429.95
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
423.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
423.59
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
408.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
408.85
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
408.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
408.55
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
397.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
397.27
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
387.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
387.59
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
387.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
387.42
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
376.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
376.49
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
371.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
371.14
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
356.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
356.05
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
343.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
343.82
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
340.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
340.94
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
305.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
305.53
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
282.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
282.31
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
276.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
276.20
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
272.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.62
|
Trades
|
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
269.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
269.35
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
232.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
232.70
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
227.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
227.77
|
Trades
|
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
226.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
226.01
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
153.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.63
|
Trades
|
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
129.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
107.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.47
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
71.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.26
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
67.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
39.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.34
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
36.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.85
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
30.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.75
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
29.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.83
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.75
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
24.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.71
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
21.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.44
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© sign for Real Madrid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 01 2024
|
β
|
20.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.93
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
19.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.55
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,981.02
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0098
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
β
|
19.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.50
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
13.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.35
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
11.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.75
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
9.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.14
|
Trades
|
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
5.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.74
|
Trades
|
Will Salah join a Saudi club next transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
5.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.26
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 next week? |
Yes |
No |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.06
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
1.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.64
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 22 2024
|
β
|
0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Inventor' gross over $8m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.96
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
295.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.0150
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.22
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.08
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-8.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.98
|
Trades
|
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? |
Haaland |
Chelsea |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-13.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.99
|
Trades
|
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
198.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0990
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
-19.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.60
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester United make it out of their group? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-19.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.71
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-20.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.90
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-21.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.78
|
Trades
|
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? |
Yes |
No |
524.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0472
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
β
|
-24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.75
|
Trades
|
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
200.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-26.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.10
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
469.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0614
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-28.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.84
|
Trades
|
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
91.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.3800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-34.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.83
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
87.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4341
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-37.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.77
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 25 2024
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-63.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-63.05
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
129.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5736
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-74.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-74.45
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-82.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) cry? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1580
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
-94.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.78
|
Trades
|
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
205.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5217
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
β
|
-106.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-106.95
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
281.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-107.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-107.00
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
β
|
-125.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.12
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
454.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.2802
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-127.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-127.39
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
160.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9047
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-144.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-144.75
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3060
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-153.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.00
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,950.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0790
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-154.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-154.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
17.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-170.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-170.30
|
Trades
|
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 25 2024
|
β
|
-171.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-171.85
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8098
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-202.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-202.45
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
521.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.4598
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-239.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-239.99
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
383.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.6278
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-240.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-240.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
804.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3058
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-245.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-245.97
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
225.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.1081
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-250.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.08
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
β
|
-256.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-256.14
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
831.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.3139
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-261.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-261.12
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
455.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6862
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
-312.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-312.20
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
1,482.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2158
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-319.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-319.86
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-339.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-339.87
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
1,674.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.2115
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
-354.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-354.13
|
Trades
|
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? |
Yes |
No |
474.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7472
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
β
|
-354.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-354.63
|
Trades
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
2,323.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1527
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
β
|
-354.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-354.78
|
Trades
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
484.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7722
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
β
|
-374.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-374.02
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,114.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3764
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-419.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-419.60
|
Trades
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
1,968.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2142
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-421.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-421.59
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-470.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-470.55
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
4,800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1037
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
-498.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-498.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,098.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.4865
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-534.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-534.34
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
768.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7638
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-586.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-586.60
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
1,253.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6499
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-814.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-814.42
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? |
Yes |
No |
2,791.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3228
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-901.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-901.02
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,520.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.6822
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,037.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,037.60
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
6,896.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2291
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-1,580.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,580.02
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.11
|
1.01
|
|
|
55,443.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55,445.10
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
2.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.86
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.11
|
1.01
|
|
|
55,446.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55,447.96
|
|