Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
95.40
|
0.00% |
|
-0.9164
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
87.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.42
|
Trades
|
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
165.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1782
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-29.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.40
|
Trades
|
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1295
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-67.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-67.35
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
650.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-279.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-279.50
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
352.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-320.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-320.59
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-405.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-405.00
|
Trades
|
Is John McAfee alive? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-576.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-576.00
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,029.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6621
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2,005.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,005.49
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28,167.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.8673
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-24,431.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24,431.27
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
8,580.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,580.71
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
β
|
8,081.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,081.53
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
6,341.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,341.54
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
3,768.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,768.35
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 11 2024
|
β
|
3,082.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,082.42
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
2,538.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,538.98
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Washington Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
2,002.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,002.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
2,955.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4238
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,955.74
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
β
|
-1,252.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,703.00
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,415.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,415.36
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,443.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.4242
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,443.57
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1,036.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,406.97
|
Trades
|
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
β
|
1,100.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,100.86
|
Trades
|
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 11 2024
|
β
|
1,015.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,015.00
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,012.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,012.38
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,511.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.8390
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,511.75
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
-4,624.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
887.59
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
792.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
792.23
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
578.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
578.93
|
Trades
|
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 26 2024
|
β
|
520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
520.00
|
Trades
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,799.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.7184
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,799.19
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1,292.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
506.63
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
469.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
469.61
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
469.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
469.60
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Jan 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
β
|
463.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
463.57
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
412.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
412.43
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
411.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
411.25
|
Trades
|
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
405.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
405.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
329.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
329.70
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
305.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
305.54
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,015.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6999
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,015.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-710.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
304.60
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
275.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
275.67
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
272.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.00
|
Trades
|
DOGE all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
257.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
257.68
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
200.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.40
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,800.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,800.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-5,625.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.15
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8270
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-827.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
173.00
|
Trades
|
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8746
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,300.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,137.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
163.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,100.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,034.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.00
|
Trades
|
Haiti intervention in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-940.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
56.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.10
|
Trades
|
Tensor airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
56.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.00
|
Trades
|
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
54.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.50
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-348.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.00
|
Trades
|
TikTok sale announced in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-950.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
780.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9390
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
780.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-732.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.58
|
Trades
|
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
405.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8905
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
405.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-360.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.35
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
450.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
450.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-409.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.50
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
600.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-564.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
34.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.30
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
450.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
450.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-423.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.00
|
Trades
|
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
337.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
337.50
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-310.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
300.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-276.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
21.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.20
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
20.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.90
|
Trades
|
Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
20.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.50
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9668
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
600.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-580.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.90
|
Trades
|
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-282.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
17.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.03
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate launch a cryptocurrency in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.71
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.71
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
14.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.23
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
255.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9422
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
255.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-240.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.73
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
570.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9742
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
570.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-555.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.70
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
14.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.54
|
Trades
|
Will ETH dip below $2,000 by end of Jan? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
900.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9847
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
900.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-886.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.80
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9640
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-289.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.80
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
320.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9678
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
320.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-309.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.30
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
10.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.17
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-291.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
8.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.50
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.20
|
Trades
|
Zvbear arrested before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
205.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
205.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-196.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.20
|
Trades
|
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-92.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
858.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.9914
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
858.96
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-851.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.37
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
900.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9923
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
900.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-893.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
6.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.14
|
Trades
|
marginfi airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9910
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
600.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-594.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.41
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
822.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9949
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
822.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-817.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.15
|
Trades
|
Facebook outage caused by hack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9970
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Mar 10 2024
|
β
|
-997.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9420
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
β
|
-47.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Georgia Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
-1,998.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Mississippi Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
-1,998.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Washington Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
-1,998.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Mississippi Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
-1,998.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9970
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
600.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-598.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9970
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
600.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-598.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.80
|
Trades
|
$BITCOIN (HPOS10i) all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,750.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,750.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-1,748.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.75
|
Trades
|
SHIB all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,300.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-1,298.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
Trades
|
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.20
|
Trades
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
600.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-599.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9760
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-19.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.48
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9810
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-19.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.38
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.29
|
Trades
|
Ansem vs. Barney |
Ansem |
Barney |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0002
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 19 2024
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0575
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
-2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.30
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-18.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.75
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.07
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-27.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.92
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-40.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.09
|
Trades
|
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-42.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high today? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-42.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.00
|
Trades
|
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.00
|
Trades
|
College Football Championship: Michigan vs. Washington |
Michigan |
Washington |
0.00
|
149.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 08 2024
|
β
|
-50.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.66
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-67.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-67.75
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
11,634.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0058
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
11,634.95
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-11,702.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-67.77
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
205.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
β
|
-79.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-79.95
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-81.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-81.64
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
381.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2605
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-99.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.25
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
747.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2222
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-166.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-166.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-237.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-237.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,015.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3352
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
β
|
-340.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-340.20
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
746.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6213
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-463.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-463.48
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,646.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4780
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-786.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-786.74
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,240.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4269
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
β
|
-956.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-956.20
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,633.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0458
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-1,708.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,708.76
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
2,428.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7138
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
β
|
-1,733.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,733.08
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-2,085.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,085.67
|
Trades
|
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,492.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.6436
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-3,535.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,535.13
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,690.75
|
36,613.69
|
|
|
-22,568.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38,736.32
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-28,027.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28,027.18
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,690.75
|
36,613.69
|
|
|
-50,595.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,709.14
|
|