COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
52.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.47
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
10.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.12
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
7.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.73
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
873.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.2762
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-241.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-241.27
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,647.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.6437
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-6,209.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,209.99
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11,096.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.8754
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-9,714.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,714.68
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8858
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-11,516.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11,516.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
5,384.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,384.60
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
2,672.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,672.78
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
β
|
681.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
681.90
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
289.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
289.57
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,606.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.8306
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,606.07
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,334.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.07
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,814.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.9259
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,814.45
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,680.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.45
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
132.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.56
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
β
|
127.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
127.14
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
115.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.12
|
Trades
|
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
β
|
86.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
86.64
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
533.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.8410
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
533.96
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-449.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.88
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
75.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.95
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
68.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.36
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
66.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.45
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
61.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.31
|
Trades
|
Facebook outage caused by hack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 10 2024
|
β
|
61.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.11
|
Trades
|
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9850
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,700.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-3,644.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.50
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,924.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.9713
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,924.67
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-1,869.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.32
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
52.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.64
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,633.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9787
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,633.10
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,598.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.80
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
72.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
72.73
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.73
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,021.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9894
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,021.38
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.38
|
Trades
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
19.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.69
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
105.88
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.88
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by March 5? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
30.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-15.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.10
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
555.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9758
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
555.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-541.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.43
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.41
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.29
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
0.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH dip below $2,000 by end of Jan? |
Yes |
No |
435.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0340
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-14.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.81
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-31.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.33
|
Trades
|
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,025.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.1580
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
-162.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-162.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
533.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4072
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-217.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-217.05
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
214.96
|
0.00% |
|
2.9319
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-630.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-630.25
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,805.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6401
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-1,795.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,795.35
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.00
|
13,967.27
|
|
|
-6,281.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,716.17
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-27,603.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27,603.38
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.00
|
13,967.27
|
|
|
-33,884.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19,887.20
|
|