Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
6,140.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,140.79
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3,183.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,183.75
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
2,716.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,716.19
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
1,541.58
|
119.67
|
0.00
|
1,661.25
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22,008.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.9554
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22,008.54
|
Thu Sep 30 2021
|
β
|
-21,026.41
|
306.82
|
0.00
|
1,288.95
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
23,756.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9570
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
23,756.52
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-22,735.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,021.42
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
20,617.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9515
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20,617.41
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-19,618.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
999.26
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
882.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
882.74
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
795.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
795.35
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
730.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
730.21
|
Trades
|
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? |
Paul |
Woodley |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 29 2021
|
β
|
453.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
453.99
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 30 2021
|
β
|
403.09
|
48.43
|
0.00
|
451.53
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.82
|
0.00% |
|
-114.1107
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.82
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
435.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
439.50
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
244.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
244.86
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
239.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
239.36
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,090.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.8408
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,090.12
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-916.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
173.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
152.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.09
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 30 2021
|
β
|
75.99
|
58.17
|
0.00
|
134.16
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
51.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.22
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
199.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.7465
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
199.99
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-149.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.69
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
852.89
|
0.69% |
|
0.9779
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
852.89
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-834.01
|
21.11
|
0.00
|
39.99
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
36.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 31 2021
|
β
|
5.90
|
27.76
|
0.00
|
33.65
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
29.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.70
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.30
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 31 2021
|
β
|
20.02
|
5.10
|
0.00
|
25.41
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
24.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.71
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8790
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-175.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.20
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.00
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8897
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-177.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.06
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
16.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.21
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9971
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
β
|
-4,985.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.41
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.95
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.80
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9960
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-199.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
129.28
|
0.00% |
|
1.0546
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
129.28
|
Tue Jul 20 2021
|
β
|
-136.34
|
1.13
|
0.00
|
-5.93
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-18.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.02
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-43.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.44
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-221.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-221.29
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2,465.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0948
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,465.14
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2,698.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.74
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-351.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-351.48
|
Trades
|
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-934.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-934.65
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
10,850.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2134
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,315.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,315.57
|
Trades
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.45% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 01 2021
|
β
|
-3,954.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,954.03
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-9,648.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,648.17
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51,839.37
|
24,884.65
|
|
|
-72,929.43
|
588.20
|
0.00
|
4,382.80
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51,839.37
|
24,884.65
|
|
|
-72,929.43
|
588.20
|
0.00
|
4,382.80
|
|