Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,809.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.6022
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,089.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,089.65
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,132.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.5340
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
440.91
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-3,274.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,833.64
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
465.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
465.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
358.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
358.56
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
113.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.11
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
83.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.25
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
57.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
57.71
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
79.36
|
0.00% |
|
-0.5542
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
β
|
43.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.98
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
42.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.55
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
22.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.32
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
20.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.55
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
19.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.95
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
14.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.42
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
10.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.60
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
6.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.97
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.40
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.59
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-30.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.91
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-54.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.32
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
806.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-64.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.53
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-85.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.28
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-96.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-96.87
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
307.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
-194.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-194.01
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
|
|
778.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
778.88
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
440.91
|
|
|
-4,331.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,890.29
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
440.94
|
|
|
-3,552.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,111.40
|
|