Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7600
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
-15.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.20
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8025
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-32.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.10
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8860
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-8.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.86
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4560
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-22.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.80
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-1.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.70
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-4.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.15
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.80
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3450
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-3.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.45
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9150
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
-18.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.57
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.17
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0240
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-7.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.80
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
-8.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.17
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
10.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.27
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
4.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.28
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3567
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-10.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.70
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.46
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.63
|
Trades
|
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-53.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.20
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.00
|
20.00
|
|
|
-88.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-48.79
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-61.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.51
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.00
|
20.00
|
|
|
-150.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.30
|
|